Nantes vs Olympique Marseille: match statistics
Nantes vs Olympique Marseille: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nantes play Olympique Marseille in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Nantes: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Olympique Marseille: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nantes scores 0.88 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Olympique Marseille scores 1.85 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nantes 45%, Olympique Marseille 50%. Over 2.5: Nantes 45%, Olympique Marseille 62%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Olympique Marseille has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.20. Nantes: 11.3 shots per match, Olympique Marseille: 15.1.
Match halves
Nantes: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.39. Olympique Marseille: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
Nantes: 31-45+ (9 goals). Olympique Marseille: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The favorite is Olympique Marseille: visitors sit 6th versus Nantes in 17th and have scored 59 goals this season compared to the hosts’ 26. Marseille generates more high-quality chances — averaging 5.07 shots on target and xG 1.62 per away match, while Nantes posts 3.33 shots on target and xG 1.27 in home games; additionally average possession is 56% versus 44%, giving the visitors control of the game. Defensively Nantes concedes 1.8 goals per home match with xG against 1.42, whereas Marseille concedes 1.47 goals away with xG against 1.15, indicating better defensive stability for the visitors. Form also confirms Marseille’s edge — Nantes are winless in their last 5 (0W, 3D, 2L) and average 0.6 points per match, while Marseille have 1 win in five and average 0.8 points per match. Considering the difference in goals scored (59 vs 26), superior xG (1.62 vs 1.27), higher shooting efficiency and possession, I tip an away victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nantes | Olympique Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Olympique Marseille is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Nantes · 1.4 pts / match - Olympique Marseille
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olympique Marseille is 110% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Nantes · 1.85 goals / match - Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Nantes · 1.32 goals / match - Olympique Marseille
Nantes scores in 58% of matches (19 of 33 matches), while Olympique Marseille keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Olympique Marseille scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nantes
Over / Under — Olympique Marseille
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olympique Marseille is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Nantes · 1.59 pts / match - Olympique Marseille
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Olympique Marseille - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -14 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nantes
Olympique Marseille
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Nantes | Liga | Olympique Marseille | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 53% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nantes 1 - 0 - 0 Olympique Marseille. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nantes vs Olympique Marseille?
The Ligue 1 match finished Nantes 3:0 Olympique Marseille. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nantes vs Olympique Marseille?
Nantes score 0.88 goals per game on average and Olympique Marseille 1.85. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Nantes's matches and 50% of Olympique Marseille's.
What form are Nantes and Olympique Marseille in?
Over the last 5 games Nantes have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Olympique Marseille 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nantes vs Olympique Marseille?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nantes vs Olympique Marseille: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.