Uzbekistan - Uzbekistan Super LeagueMarkaziy StadionData current as of 13 August 2026

Nasaf vs Pakhtakor: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Nasaf vs Pakhtakor: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nasaf play Pakhtakor in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 16 August 2026. Venue: Markaziy Stadion.

Current form

Nasaf: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Pakhtakor: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nasaf scores 1.19 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Pakhtakor scores 1.75 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.61 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nasaf 56%, Pakhtakor 63%. Over 2.5: Nasaf 31%, Pakhtakor 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Pakhtakor has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.50. Nasaf: 13.3 shots per match, Pakhtakor: 13.5.

Match halves

Nasaf: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.75. Pakhtakor: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Nasaf: 76-90+ (6 goals). Pakhtakor: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uzbekistan Super League: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.19Goals scored / match1.75
NasafPakhtakor
0.88Goals conceded / match1
NasafPakhtakor
53%Average possession58%
NasafPakhtakor
4.63Shots on target / match4.81
NasafPakhtakor

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.25Shots per match13.5
NasafPakhtakor
4.63Shots on target4.81
NasafPakhtakor
9%Shot conversion13%
NasafPakhtakor
53%Possession58%
NasafPakhtakor
1.5xG for1.56
NasafPakhtakor
1.36xG against1.16
NasafPakhtakor

Shooting quality

Nasaf: BalancedPakhtakor: Efficient finishing
NasafPakhtakor
Accuracy (shots on target)35%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nasaf is 22% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Nasaf · 1.8 pts / match - Pakhtakor

Nasaf
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
38% W44% R19% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-7-3
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-2
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DLDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.85Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Pakhtakor
DWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
63% W31% R6% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-1
2.19 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-0
Last 5 away
3-2-0
WWDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Pakhtakor is 47% better for: goals scored per match.

1.19 goals / match - Nasaf · 1.75 goals / match - Pakhtakor

Nasaf is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.88 goals / match - Nasaf · 1 goals / match - Pakhtakor

Nasaf scoring profile: very strong

Nasaf scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Pakhtakor keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

Pakhtakor scoring profile: very strong

Pakhtakor scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Nasaf keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).

19Goals scored (season)28
NasafPakhtakor
14Goals conceded (season)16
NasafPakhtakor
2.06Average goals in match2.75
NasafPakhtakor
7Goals scored (last 5)6
NasafPakhtakor
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
NasafPakhtakor

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal88%
NasafPakhtakor
31%2 goals56%
NasafPakhtakor
6%3 goals19%
NasafPakhtakor
0%4 goals13%
NasafPakhtakor

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal69%
NasafPakhtakor
19%2 goals31%
NasafPakhtakor
6%3 goals0%
NasafPakhtakor
0%4 goals0%
NasafPakhtakor

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time19%
NasafPakhtakor
6%BTTS in both halves6%
NasafPakhtakor
19%Scored in both halves31%
NasafPakhtakor

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
NasafPakhtakor
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NasafPakhtakor
60%BTTS - last 560%
NasafPakhtakor

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
NasafPakhtakor
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
NasafPakhtakor
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
NasafPakhtakor

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
NasafPakhtakor
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
NasafPakhtakor
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
NasafPakhtakor

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Pakhtakor is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Nasaf · 1.81 pts / match - Pakhtakor

Nasaf - half-time state
13% leading75% draw13% trailing
Pakhtakor - half-time state
44% leading50% draw6% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.81
NasafPakhtakor
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.88
NasafPakhtakor
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.31
NasafPakhtakor
0.81Average goals (1st half)1.19
NasafPakhtakor
63%Clean sheet before half-time75%
NasafPakhtakor
63%No goal before half-time38%
NasafPakhtakor

After half-time (2nd half)

1.56Points per match (2nd half)1.56
NasafPakhtakor
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
NasafPakhtakor
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
NasafPakhtakor
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.56
NasafPakhtakor
56%Clean sheet after half-time50%
NasafPakhtakor
38%No goal after half-time44%
NasafPakhtakor

Nasaf - second-half results

38% W44% R19% P
18
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding292%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Pakhtakor - second-half results

44% W25% R31% P
29
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding143%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nasaf - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Pakhtakor - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nasaf
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
0
46-60
3
4
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Pakhtakor
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
6
2
16-30
5
1
31-45
6
3
46-60
5
4
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.41
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nasaf

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Pakhtakor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
145%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).

Teams vs league

NasafLigaPakhtakor
Average goals in match 2.062.61 2.75
Both teams scored 56%55% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 31%52% 50%
Clean sheets 38%26% 31%
Goal before half-time 50%67% 69%
Goal after half-time 75%76% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.61
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Nasaf 0 - 2 - 1 Pakhtakor. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Pakhtakor
2 : 2
Nasaf
FK Pakhtakor Tashkent
1 : 0
FC Nasaf Qarshi
FC Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 2
FK Pakhtakor Tashkent

FAQ

When do Nasaf and Pakhtakor play?

Nasaf face Pakhtakor on 16 August 2026 in Uzbekistan Super League at Markaziy Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nasaf and Pakhtakor?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nasaf won 0, Pakhtakor won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nasaf vs Pakhtakor?

Nasaf score 1.19 goals per game on average and Pakhtakor 1.75. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Nasaf's matches and 63% of Pakhtakor's.

What form are Nasaf and Pakhtakor in?

Over the last 5 games Nasaf have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Pakhtakor 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasaf vs Pakhtakor?

The statistical background for Nasaf vs Pakhtakor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.