Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves: match statistics
Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nasarawa United play Warri Wolves in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Nasarawa United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Warri Wolves: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nasarawa United scores 0.97 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Warri Wolves scores 0.95 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nasarawa United 34%, Warri Wolves 37%. Over 2.5: Nasarawa United 32%, Warri Wolves 34%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Nasarawa United has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.34. Nasarawa United: 8.0 shots per match, Warri Wolves: 4.9.
Match halves
Nasarawa United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.47. Warri Wolves: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Nasarawa United: 31-45+ (10 goals). Warri Wolves: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win (1): Nasarawa United sit 6th in the table versus Warri Wolves in 16th, and at home they win 65% of matches, scoring 1.35 goals and conceding only 0.53 per game. Nasarawa generates clearly more high-quality chances — home xG 2.10 vs xG against 1.25, averaging 15.4 shots per match with 6.4 on target and 57% possession, compared to Warri’s 8.14 shots (3.57 on target) and 48% possession away. Warri Wolves average 0.94 goals away, concede 1.59, have xG against 2.15 and 35% of away matches without scoring, with clean sheets on the road only 24%. Both teams show weaker form in the last 5 matches — Nasarawa 1 win, 0 draws (last 5: 5 scored, 6 conceded, PPG 0.6), Warri 1 win and 1 draw (last 5: 6-9 goals, PPG 0.8) — but seasonal advantages in xG, shots and defense favor the hosts, hence the 70%/18%/12% assessment.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nasarawa United | Warri Wolves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.52 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nasarawa United is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Nasarawa United · 1.08 goals / match - Warri Wolves
Nasarawa United scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Warri Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
Warri Wolves scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nasarawa United
Over / Under — Warri Wolves
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nasarawa United is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Nasarawa United · 0.95 pts / match - Warri Wolves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nasarawa United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Warri Wolves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Nasarawa United | Liga | Warri Wolves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.87 | 2.02 | • 2.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 34% | 38% | • 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 34% | • 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 34% | 37% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 61% | • 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 66% | 64% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nasarawa United 0 - 0 - 1 Warri Wolves. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves?
The NPFL match finished Nasarawa United 3:0 Warri Wolves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves?
Nasarawa United score 0.97 goals per game on average and Warri Wolves 0.95. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Nasarawa United's matches and 37% of Warri Wolves's.
What form are Nasarawa United and Warri Wolves in?
Over the last 5 games Nasarawa United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Warri Wolves 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.