Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nashville SC play Chicago Fire in MLS (United States). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: GEODIS Park.
Current form
Nashville SC: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Chicago Fire: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nashville SC scores 2.00 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Chicago Fire scores 1.88 and concedes 1.46. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nashville SC 48%, Chicago Fire 75%. Over 2.5: Nashville SC 60%, Chicago Fire 75%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Chicago Fire has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.40. Nashville SC: 12.1 shots per match, Chicago Fire: 14.1.
Match halves
Nashville SC: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.12. Chicago Fire: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Nashville SC: 76-90+ (12 goals). Chicago Fire: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nashville SC | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nashville SC is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Nashville SC · 0.8 pts / match - Chicago Fire
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nashville SC is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Nashville SC · 1.88 goals / match - Chicago Fire
Nashville SC is 74% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Nashville SC · 1.46 goals / match - Chicago Fire
Nashville SC scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Chicago Fire keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Chicago Fire scores in 96% of matches (23 of 24 matches), while Nashville SC keeps a clean sheet in 44% (11 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nashville SC
Over / Under - Chicago Fire
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nashville SC is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Nashville SC · 1.63 pts / match - Chicago Fire
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nashville SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Chicago Fire - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Nashville SC | Liga | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.84 | 3.20 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 21% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 77% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nashville SC 0 - 0 - 1 Chicago Fire. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Nashville SC and Chicago Fire play?
Nashville SC face Chicago Fire on 20 September 2026 in MLS at GEODIS Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?
Nashville SC score 2.00 goals per game on average and Chicago Fire 1.88. The MLS average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Nashville SC's matches and 75% of Chicago Fire's.
What form are Nashville SC and Chicago Fire in?
Over the last 5 games Nashville SC have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Chicago Fire 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.