Nashville SC vs Toronto: match statistics
Nashville SC vs Toronto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nashville SC played Toronto in MLS (United States). The match was played on 27 September 2026. Venue: GEODIS Park. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Nashville SC: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Toronto: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nashville SC scores 2.04 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Toronto scores 1.50 and concedes 1.88. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nashville SC 46%, Toronto 81%. Over 2.5: Nashville SC 62%, Toronto 69%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Nashville SC has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.38. Nashville SC: 12.2 shots per match, Toronto: 12.1.
Match halves
Nashville SC: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.15. Toronto: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 1.08.
Goals by minute
Nashville SC: 76-90+ (14 goals). Toronto: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nashville SC have been in excellent form at home, winning 92% of their matches, remaining unbeaten there, and averaging 3.00 goals per game. Toronto have won just 17% of their away matches, concede an average of 1.75 goals, and have a negative goal difference of -11. The hosts create more high-quality chances, as reflected by an xG of 1.61 compared with Toronto’s 1.26, while also averaging 5.92 shots on target versus 3.50 for their opponents. The difference in finishing efficiency is underlined by Nashville converting 22% of their shots into goals, compared with just 7% for the visitors. The last five matches also favour the hosts, who have conceded only 4 goals, while Toronto have allowed 12.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Nashville have scored in both of their league matches so far, resulting in a 100% BTTS rate, while also failing to keep a single clean sheet. Toronto have a lower season goals average of 0.83 per match, but have improved that figure to 1.6 goals across their last five games, and both teams have almost identical current xG figures: 1.62 and 1.63. The visitors’ defense looks particularly vulnerable to conceding, as Toronto have allowed an average of 2.4 goals in their last five matches, with 1.5 xG conceded to opponents. Nashville have conceded just 0.8 goals per game over the same period, which limits confidence in Toronto scoring, but the visitors recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five appearances. The hosts’ attacking quality advantage, with 5.21 shots on target per match compared with Toronto’s 3.5, combined with the visitors’ poor defensive form, supports a Goal/Goal scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Nashville score an average of 2.07 goals per match, while Toronto concede 1.75, with the visitors allowing opponents as many as 2.4 goals per game across their last five matches. The 1.5 line has been exceeded in 100% of Nashville’s matches and 75% of Toronto’s, providing very strong support for at least two goals. Both teams also have high rates of matches finishing Over 2.5 goals: 80% each in their last five outings. Nashville have averaged 1.62 xG over their last five matches, compared with 1.63 for Toronto, so the chance-creation profile also points to an open game. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest option, as it covers the two-goal scenario while also being supported by a projected total of 3.15 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Nashville leading at the break and maintaining that advantage through to the end of the match. In their last five games, Nashville led at half-time in 60% of cases, did not trail in any of them, and averaged 0.8 goals scored before the break while conceding just 0.2. During the same period, Toronto went into half-time trailing in as many as 80% of matches, scoring only 0.4 goals and conceding an average of 1.0. The hosts also have a clear edge in overall-season attacking efficiency: they average 2.07 goals per match compared with Toronto’s 0.83, while their xG stands at 1.50 versus 1.26 for the visitors. After the break, Nashville averages 1.57 goals, while Toronto has lost 58% of its matches this season, further supporting the 1/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nashville SC | Toronto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nashville SC is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Nashville SC · 1 pts / match - Toronto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nashville SC is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
2.04 goals / match - Nashville SC · 1.5 goals / match - Toronto
Nashville SC is 132% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.81 goals / match - Nashville SC · 1.88 goals / match - Toronto
Nashville SC scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).
Toronto scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Nashville SC keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nashville SC
Over / Under - Toronto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nashville SC is 153% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.85 pts / match - Nashville SC · 0.73 pts / match - Toronto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nashville SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Toronto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nashville SC
Toronto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Nashville SC | Liga | Toronto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.85 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 63% | ▲ 81% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 62% | 63% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 21% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 77% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 82% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nashville SC 0 - 0 - 1 Toronto. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nashville SC vs Toronto?
The MLS match finished Nashville SC 2:0 Toronto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nashville SC vs Toronto?
Nashville SC score 2.04 goals per game on average and Toronto 1.50. The MLS average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Nashville SC's matches and 81% of Toronto's.
What form are Nashville SC and Toronto in?
Over the last 5 games Nashville SC have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Toronto 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nashville SC vs Toronto?
The statistical background for Nashville SC vs Toronto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.