Náutico vs Botafogo SP: match statistics
Náutico vs Botafogo SP: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Náutico played Botafogo SP in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 3 September 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Náutico: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Botafogo SP: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Náutico scores 1.20 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Botafogo SP scores 1.16 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Náutico 44%, Botafogo SP 52%. Over 2.5: Náutico 36%, Botafogo SP 44%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Náutico has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.38. Náutico: 16.9 shots per match, Botafogo SP: 12.6.
Match halves
Náutico: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.84. Botafogo SP: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Náutico: 76-90+ (10 goals). Botafogo SP: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Náutico have a clear edge at home, winning 50% of such matches, while Botafogo SP win only 23% of their away games. The hosts create significantly more chances, averaging 20.17 shots and 5.83 shots on target per match, with an xG of 2.14, compared with 11.38 shots, 2.69 shots on target and an xG of 1.21 for the visitors. Náutico concede an average of 0.75 goals at home, while Botafogo SP score just 0.62 goals away and fail to score in 62% of their matches. The hosts’ current form also looks more stable, as they are unbeaten in their last five games, recording 2 wins and 3 draws with a 6:4 goal difference. Botafogo SP have won 2 of their last 5 matches, but conceded 7 goals during that run, so home advantage and the quality of chances created favour Náutico.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument against BTTS - Yes is Botafogo SP’s very poor attacking efficiency away from home: the visitors average just 0.62 goals scored, and failed to find the net in 62% of their away matches. Náutico score an average of 1.75 goals at home, with an xG of 1.57, making a home win with a clean sheet a realistic scenario. Botafogo SP keep a clean sheet in 31% of their away matches, but their low conversion rate of 5% and just 2.69 shots on target per game limit the visitors’ chances of scoring. The last five matches do provide a warning signal, as BTTS landed in 80% of Náutico’s games and 60% of Botafogo SP’s, but the hosts conceded only 4 goals during this period, or 0.8 per match. With Botafogo SP’s season-long BTTS rate at just 23% compared with the league average of 48%, it is more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Náutico have a clear attacking advantage at home, scoring an average of 1.75 goals and producing 1.57 xG, while Botafogo SP score just 0.62 goals per away match. The visitors failed to score in as many as 62% of their away games, which limits their attacking outlook despite an average xG of 1.21. The 3.5 line is supported by seasonal trends: 75% of Náutico’s matches and 92% of Botafogo SP’s matches finished with fewer than four goals. The hosts’ last five appearances produced just 2.0 total goals per match, so the expected scenario is a controlled home win, most likely by a scoreline of 1:0, 2:0 or 2:1.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Náutico win, as Botafogo SP were level at the break in 10 of their 13 matches (77%) and took the lead only once. The visitors score just 0.23 goals per game before half-time and have failed to score in this period in each of their last five appearances. Náutico, however, have a clear edge over the full match: they average 1.57 xG compared with their opponents’ 1.21, record 4.92 shots on target per game versus Botafogo’s 2.69, and score 1.75 goals per match. After the break, the hosts average 1.00 goal, while Botafogo lose 46% of their matches and fail to score in 62% of games. Recent form also favours the hosts, who are unbeaten in their last five matches, whereas Botafogo have lost two of their last five.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Náutico | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Náutico is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Náutico · 1.4 pts / match - Botafogo SP
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Náutico scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Botafogo SP keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
Botafogo SP scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Náutico keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Náutico
Over / Under - Botafogo SP
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Botafogo SP is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Náutico · 1.28 pts / match - Botafogo SP
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Náutico - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Botafogo SP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Náutico
Botafogo SP
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Náutico | Liga | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.32 | 2.28 | • 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 41% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 31% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 65% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Náutico 0 - 1 - 0 Botafogo SP. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Náutico vs Botafogo SP?
The Serie B match finished Náutico 1:0 Botafogo SP. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Náutico vs Botafogo SP?
Náutico score 1.20 goals per game on average and Botafogo SP 1.16. The Serie B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Náutico's matches and 52% of Botafogo SP's.
What form are Náutico and Botafogo SP in?
Over the last 5 games Náutico have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Botafogo SP 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Náutico vs Botafogo SP?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.