Brazil - Serie BData current as of 01 September 2026

Náutico vs Botafogo SP: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Náutico vs Botafogo SP: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Náutico play Botafogo SP in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 3 September 2026.

Current form

Náutico: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Botafogo SP: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Náutico scores 1.20 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Botafogo SP scores 1.16 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.29 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Náutico 44%, Botafogo SP 52%. Over 2.5: Náutico 36%, Botafogo SP 44%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Náutico has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.38. Náutico: 16.9 shots per match, Botafogo SP: 12.6.

Match halves

Náutico: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.84. Botafogo SP: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Náutico: 76-90+ (10 goals). Botafogo SP: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

NáuticoBotafogo SP
1.2Goals scored / match1.16
NáuticoBotafogo SP
1.12Goals conceded / match1.12
NáuticoBotafogo SP
58%Average possession48%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
4.8Shots on target / match3.76
NáuticoBotafogo SP

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.92Shots per match12.56
NáuticoBotafogo SP
4.8Shots on target3.76
NáuticoBotafogo SP
7.1%Shot conversion9.2%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
58%Possession48%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
1.82xG for1.38
NáuticoBotafogo SP
1.3xG against1.38
NáuticoBotafogo SP

Shooting quality

Náutico: DominantBotafogo SP: Balanced
NáuticoBotafogo SP
Accuracy (shots on target)28%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Náutico is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Náutico · 1.4 pts / match - Botafogo SP

Náutico
DDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
36% W28% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-9
1.36 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-4
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.05Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 20%
Botafogo SP
WWDLL
Season result split
32% W28% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-7-10
1.24 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-6
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Náutico scoring profile: strong

Náutico scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Botafogo SP keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).

Botafogo SP scoring profile: strong

Botafogo SP scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Náutico keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).

30Goals scored (season)29
NáuticoBotafogo SP
28Goals conceded (season)28
NáuticoBotafogo SP
2.32Average goals in match2.28
NáuticoBotafogo SP
6Goals scored (last 5)5
NáuticoBotafogo SP
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
NáuticoBotafogo SP

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal64%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
28%2 goals28%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
12%3 goals16%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
8%4 goals8%
NáuticoBotafogo SP

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal80%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
28%2 goals24%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
8%3 goals8%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
4%4 goals0%
NáuticoBotafogo SP

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time8%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
4%BTTS in both halves0%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
20%Scored in both halves20%
NáuticoBotafogo SP

BTTS and goal count

28%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
80%BTTS - last 560%
NáuticoBotafogo SP

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time52%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
12%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
NáuticoBotafogo SP

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
NáuticoBotafogo SP

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Botafogo SP is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.04 pts / match - Náutico · 1.28 pts / match - Botafogo SP

Náutico - half-time state
24% leading32% draw44% trailing
Botafogo SP - half-time state
24% leading56% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.04Points per match (1st half)1.28
NáuticoBotafogo SP
0.36Goals scored (1st half)0.48
NáuticoBotafogo SP
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.32
NáuticoBotafogo SP
0.96Average goals (1st half)0.8
NáuticoBotafogo SP
52%Clean sheet before half-time72%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
72%No goal before half-time68%
NáuticoBotafogo SP

After half-time (2nd half)

1.56Points per match (2nd half)1.2
NáuticoBotafogo SP
0.84Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
NáuticoBotafogo SP
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
NáuticoBotafogo SP
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.48
NáuticoBotafogo SP
60%Clean sheet after half-time40%
NáuticoBotafogo SP
44%No goal after half-time48%
NáuticoBotafogo SP

Náutico - second-half results

40% W36% R24% P
26
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Botafogo SP - second-half results

28% W36% R36% P
32
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Náutico - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Botafogo SP - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.42.0
1 goal20%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Náutico
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
2
3
16-30
6
6
31-45
3
3
46-60
8
3
61-75
10
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Botafogo SP
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
7
2
31-45
6
8
46-60
4
7
61-75
7
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.30
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Náutico

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.44
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Botafogo SP

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

NáuticoLigaBotafogo SP
Average goals in match 2.322.29 2.28
Both teams scored 44%48% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%42% 44%
Clean sheets 28%31% 20%
Goal before half-time 68%65% 52%
Goal after half-time 76%75% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.29
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.27
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Náutico 0 - 1 - 0 Botafogo SP. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Náutico and Botafogo SP play?

Náutico face Botafogo SP on 3 September 2026 in Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Náutico vs Botafogo SP?

Náutico score 1.20 goals per game on average and Botafogo SP 1.16. The Serie B average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Náutico's matches and 52% of Botafogo SP's.

What form are Náutico and Botafogo SP in?

Over the last 5 games Náutico have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Botafogo SP 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Náutico vs Botafogo SP?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.