Náutico vs Ponte Preta: match statistics
Náutico vs Ponte Preta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Náutico played Ponte Preta in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Náutico: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Ponte Preta: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Náutico scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Ponte Preta scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Náutico 50%, Ponte Preta 100%. Over 2.5: Náutico 50%, Ponte Preta 50%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Ponte Preta has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.11. Náutico: 9.5 shots per match, Ponte Preta: 9.5.
Match halves
Náutico: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Ponte Preta: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Náutico: 76-90+ (2 goals). Ponte Preta: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ponte Preta appears a narrow favorite due to superior away efficiency: the visitors average 1.0 goal per away match and have 0% scoreless games, while Náutico averages 0.0 goals at home and 100% scoreless home matches. The visitors register on average 3 shots on target per away match versus 1 for the hosts and have a conversion rate around 10% versus 0% for Náutico, with comparable average xG per match of 1.15 (Ponte Preta) vs 1.10 (Náutico). Náutico’s defense looks stronger locally — the hosts concede 1.0 goal at home and allow 1.04 xG to opponents, whereas Ponte Preta concedes 2.0 goals away and 1.96 xG, indicating defensive vulnerabilities for the visitors. In the last 5 matches Náutico scored 7 goals and averages 1.4 points per game compared to Ponte Preta’s 4 goals and 0.8 points, showing better overall form for the hosts, but this does not translate into home finishing. Considering Ponte Preta’s advantage in creating shots on target and finishing chances and Náutico’s statistical inefficiency at home, I tip a away win for Ponte Preta.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 100% (Náutico 100%, Ponte Preta 100%) versus a league average of 60%, which is the strongest signal supporting a Goal/Goal scenario (BTTS - Yes). In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 40% for Náutico and 60% for Ponte Preta; Náutico averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Ponte Preta averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded, indicating both sides remain prone to conceding. xG figures corroborate chance creation and leakage: xG_for 1.19 vs 1.15 and xG_against 1.51 (Náutico) and 1.96 (Ponte Preta), with the particularly high xG_against 1.96 for Ponte Preta favoring the opponent scoring. Additionally, both teams have 0% season clean sheets, a league average of 2.25 goals per match, and average shots on target of 4.0 and 3.0 with conversion rates of 11% and 10%, which collectively provide a strong signal for BTTS; therefore I tip Yes with an estimated probability of about 80%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect 1.58 goals for Náutico and 1.33 for Ponte Preta (total 2.91), calculated as the average of home xG 1.19 and opponent defense 1.96, and away xG 1.15 and home defense 1.51 ((1.19+1.96)/2=1.58, (1.15+1.51)/2=1.33). Both teams have 100% of season matches with over 1.5 goals and 100% BTTS, which is a strong signal for Over 1.5. Despite conflicting season data for Over 2.5 (Náutico 0% vs Ponte Preta 100%), the combined xG of 2.91 and last 5 matches showing Over 2.5 at 60% for the home side and 40% for the away side lead me to assess Over 2.5 as moderately likely (~63%). Over 3.5 appears unlikely since both teams have 0% of matches with at least 4 goals this season and the league average goals is 2.25, so I estimate the chance of exceeding 3.5 at about 12%. Therefore I recommend an Over 1.5 wager as the strongest pick (over, line 1.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Náutico leads at half-time and wins) because the home side shows a moderate edge in recent metrics. In the last 5 matches Náutico has won 40% of games versus Ponte Preta’s 20%, with average xG of 1.19 for the hosts against 1.15 for the visitors. Ponte Preta concedes an average xG of 1.96 while Náutico’s opponents register 1.51 xG, meaning the away defense is roughly 0.45 xG worse. The hosts average 4 shots on target per match versus 3 for the visitors and have slightly higher finishing efficiency (11% vs 10%), and in the last 5 meetings Náutico scored 7 first-half goals (1.4 per game) compared to Ponte Preta’s 4 (0.8), increasing the likelihood of a lead at the break. Additionally, the visitors concede on average 2.0 goals per season versus 1.0 for the hosts, and both teams have a 100% both-teams-to-score rate, so the strongest signal is the hosts leading at half-time and securing the full-time win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Náutico | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Náutico is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Náutico · 0.5 pts / match - Ponte Preta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Náutico is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Náutico · 1.5 goals / match - Ponte Preta
Náutico scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Ponte Preta keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Ponte Preta scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Náutico keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Náutico
Over / Under - Ponte Preta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Náutico - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ponte Preta - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Náutico
Ponte Preta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Náutico | Liga | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.29 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Náutico vs Ponte Preta?
The Serie B match finished Náutico 1:0 Ponte Preta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Náutico vs Ponte Preta?
Náutico score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ponte Preta 1.00. The Serie B average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Náutico's matches and 100% of Ponte Preta's.
What form are Náutico and Ponte Preta in?
Over the last 5 games Náutico have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Ponte Preta 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Náutico vs Ponte Preta?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Náutico vs Ponte Preta: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.