Netherlands - EredivisieGoffertstadionData current as of 16 October 2026

NEC vs Fortuna Sittard: match statistics

Reasoning:

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NEC vs Fortuna Sittard: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

NEC play Fortuna Sittard in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Goffertstadion.

Current form

NEC: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Fortuna Sittard: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

NEC scores 1.63 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Fortuna Sittard scores 1.75 and concedes 1.88. League average: 3.74 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: NEC 88%, Fortuna Sittard 75%. Over 2.5: NEC 75%, Fortuna Sittard 63%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 72%.

xG, shots and style

NEC has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.20. NEC: 14.3 shots per match, Fortuna Sittard: 10.8.

Match halves

NEC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88. Fortuna Sittard: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

NEC: 0-15 (3 goals). Fortuna Sittard: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.74 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 72%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.40)
(5.32)
(7.26)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

NECFortuna Sittard
1.63Goals scored / match1.75
NECFortuna Sittard
1.75Goals conceded / match1.88
NECFortuna Sittard
58%Average possession37%
NECFortuna Sittard
3.88Shots on target / match4.63
NECFortuna Sittard

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.25Shots per match10.75
NECFortuna Sittard
3.88Shots on target4.63
NECFortuna Sittard
11.4%Shot conversion16.3%
NECFortuna Sittard
58%Possession37%
NECFortuna Sittard
1.61xG for1.2
NECFortuna Sittard
1.34xG against2.23
NECFortuna Sittard

Shooting quality

NEC: DominantFortuna Sittard: Counter-attacking
NECFortuna Sittard
Accuracy (shots on target)27%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fortuna Sittard is 233% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - NEC · 2 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard

NEC
LDLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
25% W38% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-3
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 at home
0-2-2
LLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Fortuna Sittard
WWLWD
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-2
1.75 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 away
3-1-0
DWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.94BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fortuna Sittard is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.63 goals / match - NEC · 1.75 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard

NEC is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.75 goals / match - NEC · 1.88 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard

NEC scoring profile: very strong

NEC scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Fortuna Sittard keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

Fortuna Sittard scoring profile: very strong

Fortuna Sittard scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

13Goals scored (season)14
NECFortuna Sittard
14Goals conceded (season)15
NECFortuna Sittard
3.38Average goals in match3.63
NECFortuna Sittard
5Goals scored (last 5)9
NECFortuna Sittard
10Goals conceded (last 5)10
NECFortuna Sittard

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal88%
NECFortuna Sittard
38%2 goals50%
NECFortuna Sittard
25%3 goals38%
NECFortuna Sittard
13%4 goals0%
NECFortuna Sittard

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal88%
NECFortuna Sittard
50%2 goals63%
NECFortuna Sittard
25%3 goals13%
NECFortuna Sittard
0%4 goals13%
NECFortuna Sittard

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time38%
NECFortuna Sittard
13%BTTS in both halves13%
NECFortuna Sittard
38%Scored in both halves50%
NECFortuna Sittard

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
NECFortuna Sittard
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NECFortuna Sittard
80%BTTS - last 580%
NECFortuna Sittard

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
NECFortuna Sittard
63%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
NECFortuna Sittard
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
NECFortuna Sittard

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
NECFortuna Sittard
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
NECFortuna Sittard
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
NECFortuna Sittard

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fortuna Sittard is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / match - NEC · 1.88 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard

NEC - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Fortuna Sittard - half-time state
50% leading38% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)1.88
NECFortuna Sittard
0.75Goals scored (1st half)1
NECFortuna Sittard
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
NECFortuna Sittard
1.63Average goals (1st half)1.5
NECFortuna Sittard
25%Clean sheet before half-time50%
NECFortuna Sittard
38%No goal before half-time38%
NECFortuna Sittard

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1
NECFortuna Sittard
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
NECFortuna Sittard
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)1.38
NECFortuna Sittard
1.75Average goals (2nd half)2.13
NECFortuna Sittard
50%Clean sheet after half-time38%
NECFortuna Sittard
38%No goal after half-time25%
NECFortuna Sittard

NEC - second-half results

38% W38% D25% L
10
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Fortuna Sittard - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
15
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.9

Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

NEC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3
Fortuna Sittard - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

NEC
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Fortuna Sittard
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
82%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+43%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
77%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

NEC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Fortuna Sittard

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.90
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

NECLigaFortuna Sittard
Average goals in match▼ 3.383.74▼ 3.63
Both teams scored▲ 88%69%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 75%72%▼ 63%
Clean sheets▼ 0%16%▼ 13%
Goal before half-time▲ 88%81%▼ 75%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%89%• 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.74
Average goals per match
69%
Both teams scored
72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
16%
Clean sheets
1.71
Home goals / match
2.03
Away goals / match
+-16%
Home attack advantage
+-19%
Home defence advantage
+-9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
65%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
19%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): NEC 0 - 0 - 2 Fortuna Sittard. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Nijmegen Eendracht Combinatie
2 : 3
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
3 : 2
Nijmegen Eendracht Combinatie

FAQ

When do NEC and Fortuna Sittard play?

NEC face Fortuna Sittard on 18 October 2026 in Eredivisie at Goffertstadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between NEC and Fortuna Sittard?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches NEC won 0, Fortuna Sittard won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs Fortuna Sittard?

NEC score 1.63 goals per game on average and Fortuna Sittard 1.75. The Eredivisie average is 3.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 88% of NEC's matches and 75% of Fortuna Sittard's.

What form are NEC and Fortuna Sittard in?

Over the last 5 games NEC have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Fortuna Sittard 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs Fortuna Sittard?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.