NEC vs KCCA: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly matched. NEC has the home field advantage with a solid record of 43% clean sheets at home and good form (1.6 points per match in the last 5 meetings). KCCA presents a better overall seasonal record (9 wins) and higher possession (58%), however, on the road they show weaker scoring statistics (0.86 goals per match) and a high FTS% rate (43%). The hosts score an average of 1.14 goals per match at home, while the visitors concede 0.86 goals away, suggesting a tight rivalry. Taking into account NEC's high percentage of draws at home (57%) and the close xG values of both teams, the most likely scenario is a split of points, although a slight edge is given to the hosts due to the home field factor.
NEC vs KCCA: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
NEC played KCCA in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 13 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
NEC: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. KCCA: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
NEC scores 0.93 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. KCCA scores 1.40 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: NEC 53%, KCCA 47%. Over 2.5: NEC 27%, KCCA 47%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
KCCA has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.57. NEC: 9.5 shots per match, KCCA: 11.6.
Match halves
NEC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.47. KCCA: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
NEC: 0-15 (3 goals). KCCA: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.21 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly matched. NEC has the home field advantage with a solid record of 43% clean sheets at home and good form (1.6 points per match in the last 5 meetings). KCCA presents a better overall seasonal record (9 wins) and higher possession (58%), however, on the road they show weaker scoring statistics (0.86 goals per match) and a high FTS% rate (43%). The hosts score an average of 1.14 goals per match at home, while the visitors concede 0.86 goals away, suggesting a tight rivalry. Taking into account NEC's high percentage of draws at home (57%) and the close xG values of both teams, the most likely scenario is a split of points, although a slight edge is given to the hosts due to the home field factor.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| NEC | KCCA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
NEC is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - NEC · 1.4 pts / match - KCCA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KCCA is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - NEC · 1.4 goals / match - KCCA
KCCA is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - NEC · 0.8 goals / match - KCCA
NEC scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while KCCA keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
KCCA scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NEC
Over / Under - KCCA
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NEC is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - NEC · 1.53 pts / match - KCCA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NEC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
KCCA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
NEC
KCCA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| NEC | Liga | KCCA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.87 | 2.21 | • 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 39% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 36% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 60% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- NECGoalRichard Basangwa
- KCCAGoalIvan Ahimbisibwe
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: NEC 0 - 0 - 1 KCCA. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of NEC vs KCCA?
The Uganda Premier League match finished NEC 3:1 KCCA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before NEC vs KCCA?
NEC score 0.93 goals per game on average and KCCA 1.40. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 53% of NEC's matches and 47% of KCCA's.
What form are NEC and KCCA in?
Over the last 5 games NEC have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and KCCA 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NEC vs KCCA?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.