Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM: match statistics
Pumas UNAM presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.0 points per match and winning three games, while Necaxa obtained only 1.2 points with two victories and three defeats. The hosts have an alarming 42% loss rate at home and as many as 42% of matches without scoring a goal at their own stadium, indicating serious offensive problems. Pumas UNAM stands out with efficiency in away matches with 36% wins and just 7% of matches without scored goals, which confirms their solidity in attack. Necaxa's goal difference in home matches is just +1, while the visitors have a higher average xG (1.21) compared to xG Against (1.62), suggesting the underrated quality of their play. Taking all these factors into account, Pumas UNAM has a realistic chance of winning, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to the relatively balanced history of the visitors' away matches.
Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Necaxa played Pumas UNAM in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Necaxa: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Pumas UNAM: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Necaxa scores 1.35 and concedes 1.81 goals per match. Pumas UNAM scores 1.56 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Necaxa 65%, Pumas UNAM 70%. Over 2.5: Necaxa 58%, Pumas UNAM 48%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Necaxa has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.32. Necaxa: 14.9 shots per match, Pumas UNAM: 12.0.
Match halves
Necaxa: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.73. Pumas UNAM: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Necaxa: 46-60 (7 goals). Pumas UNAM: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pumas UNAM presents significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.0 points per match and winning three games, while Necaxa obtained only 1.2 points with two victories and three defeats. The hosts have an alarming 42% loss rate at home and as many as 42% of matches without scoring a goal at their own stadium, indicating serious offensive problems. Pumas UNAM stands out with efficiency in away matches with 36% wins and just 7% of matches without scored goals, which confirms their solidity in attack. Necaxa's goal difference in home matches is just +1, while the visitors have a higher average xG (1.21) compared to xG Against (1.62), suggesting the underrated quality of their play. Taking all these factors into account, Pumas UNAM has a realistic chance of winning, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to the relatively balanced history of the visitors' away matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Necaxa | Pumas UNAM | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pumas UNAM is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Necaxa · 1.6 pts / match - Pumas UNAM
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pumas UNAM is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Necaxa · 1.56 goals / match - Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.81 goals / match - Necaxa · 1.41 goals / match - Pumas UNAM
Necaxa scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Pumas UNAM keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
Pumas UNAM scores in 89% of matches (24 of 27 matches), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Necaxa
Over / Under - Pumas UNAM
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pumas UNAM is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Necaxa · 1.44 pts / match - Pumas UNAM
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Necaxa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pumas UNAM - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Necaxa
Pumas UNAM
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Necaxa | Liga | Pumas UNAM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.15 | 2.96 | • 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Necaxa 0 - 1 - 0 Pumas UNAM. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM?
The Liga MX match finished Necaxa 0:1 Pumas UNAM. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM?
Necaxa score 1.35 goals per game on average and Pumas UNAM 1.56. The Liga MX average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Necaxa's matches and 70% of Pumas UNAM's.
What form are Necaxa and Pumas UNAM in?
Over the last 5 games Necaxa have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Pumas UNAM 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM?
The statistical background for Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.