Neftchi vs Bunyodkor: match statistics
Neftchi vs Bunyodkor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Neftchi played Bunyodkor in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 14 November 2026. Venue: Stadion Istiqlol. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Neftchi: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Bunyodkor: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Neftchi scores 2.35 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Bunyodkor scores 1.04 and concedes 1.65. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Neftchi 46%, Bunyodkor 54%. Over 2.5: Neftchi 73%, Bunyodkor 58%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Neftchi has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.26. Neftchi: 15.4 shots per match, Bunyodkor: 10.1.
Match halves
Neftchi: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.46. Bunyodkor: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Neftchi: 76-90+ (15 goals). Bunyodkor: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftchi sit top of the table and have won 19 of their 26 league matches, while 14th-placed Bunyodkor have suffered 16 defeats. At home, the hosts win 77% of their matches, scoring an average of 2.46 goals and conceding 0.69; away, the visitors lose 58% of their matches, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 1.83. Neftchi’s advantage is also reflected in the quality of their chances: their home xG stands at 1.94, compared with Bunyodkor’s away xG of 1.20, and the hosts average 6.46 shots on target to the visitors’ 3.36. Both teams have won 2 of their last 5 matches, but Neftchi scored 10 goals in that spell compared with Bunyodkor’s 7. Although the hosts conceded 10 goals across those five matches, their clear home advantage points to a victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches involving either team, both sides scored every time, making this the strongest signal in favor of BTTS - Yes. Neftchi averaged 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded during this period, while Bunyodkor averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded. Their attacking potential is supported by recent xG averages of 1.52 for the hosts and 1.55 for the visitors. However, Bunyodkor's season scoring record calls for caution: the visitors failed to score in 42% of their matches, and BTTS landed in 42% of their games, compared with 64% of Neftchi's. Despite this risk, the current run and the teams' regular goals conceded support the pick for both teams to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, Neftchi averaged 4.0 total goals, while Bunyodkor averaged 3.0; both teams scored in every one of those games. During this period, the hosts averaged 2.0 goals scored and the visitors 1.4, although their season averages are lower at 1.07 and 1.0, respectively. The hosts’ season xG of 1.31, compared with the 1.79 xG conceded by the visitors, also points to goal-scoring potential. Over 1.5 goals is the safest pick: it landed in 71% of Neftchi’s matches and 58% of Bunyodkor’s, while the recent form of both teams suggests greater scoring potential than these season-long rates.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by a Neftchi win appears the most likely outcome: the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches and did not lead at half-time in any of them. Across the season, Bunyodkor failed to score before half-time in 73% of their matches, increasing the likelihood that the visitors will not establish an early lead. Neftchi’s recent form supports a result after the break: they have averaged 1.4 goals in the second half across their last five matches, while Bunyodkor have scored 0.4. The hosts also have a slightly higher season xG average—1.31 compared with 1.20—while the visitors allow opponents chances worth 1.79 xG, versus 1.55 for Neftchi. However, this scenario is not a clear favourite, as Bunyodkor led at the break in 2 of their last 5 matches, while Neftchi conceded an average of 1.2 goals before half-time over that period.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Neftchi | Bunyodkor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftchi is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Neftchi · 1.4 pts / match - Bunyodkor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 126% better for: goals scored per match.
2.35 goals / match - Neftchi · 1.04 goals / match - Bunyodkor
Neftchi is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Neftchi · 1.65 goals / match - Bunyodkor
Neftchi scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while Bunyodkor keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Bunyodkor scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 50% (13 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neftchi
Over / Under - Bunyodkor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftchi is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / match - Neftchi · 0.77 pts / match - Bunyodkor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bunyodkor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Neftchi
Bunyodkor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Neftchi | Liga | Bunyodkor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.23 | 2.63 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 56% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 67% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 75% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Neftchi 1 - 1 - 1 Bunyodkor. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftchi vs Bunyodkor?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Neftchi 4:0 Bunyodkor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Neftchi and Bunyodkor?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 1, Bunyodkor won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftchi vs Bunyodkor?
Neftchi score 2.35 goals per game on average and Bunyodkor 1.04. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Neftchi's matches and 54% of Bunyodkor's.
What form are Neftchi and Bunyodkor in?
Over the last 5 games Neftchi have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Bunyodkor 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftchi vs Bunyodkor?
The statistical background for Neftchi vs Bunyodkor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.