Neftchi vs Xorazm: match statistics
Neftchi vs Xorazm: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Neftchi played Xorazm in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 7 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Istiqlol. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Neftchi: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Xorazm: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Neftchi scores 2.27 and concedes 0.77 goals per match. Xorazm scores 0.82 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Neftchi 36%, Xorazm 45%. Over 2.5: Neftchi 68%, Xorazm 41%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Neftchi has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.07. Neftchi: 15.6 shots per match, Xorazm: 8.2.
Match halves
Neftchi: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.32. Xorazm: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Neftchi: 46-60 (11 goals). Xorazm: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
League leaders Neftchi have won 16 of their 22 matches this season, while 14th-placed Xorazm have managed just 5 wins. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches, whereas the visitors have failed to win any during the same period and have scored just 2 goals. At home, Neftchi average 2.55 goals per match and win 82% of their games, while Xorazm average 0.64 goals away from home and win just 9% of their matches. The hosts’ superiority is also reflected in the quality of chances created: their home xG stands at 1.87, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 0.87, while Neftchi average 16.55 shots per match to Xorazm’s 6.18. Neftchi concede an average of 0.55 goals at home, and Xorazm fail to score in 45% of their away matches, making a home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument against both teams scoring is Xorazm’s lack of goals: the visitors average 0.64 goals per match and have failed to score in 45% of their games. They have managed just 2 goals across their last 5 matches, an average of 0.4, while Neftchi averaged 1.4 goals over the same period. Xorazm could take advantage of the hosts’ weaker defence, which concedes an average of 1.45 goals per match, but their average xG of 0.87 points to limited attacking potential. Both teams have recorded BTTS in 45% of their matches, below the league average of 55%, and that figure stands at 40% for each team across their last 5 games. Therefore, Neftchi scoring without a reply is more likely than both teams finding the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Neftchi average 1.0 goals per match, while Xorazm average 0.64, limiting the potential for a high-scoring game despite both teams conceding 1.45 goals per match. In their last five matches, the hosts averaged 1.4 goals, while the visitors managed just 0.4, although their attacking xG stood at 1.56 and 1.21, respectively. Fewer than 4 goals were scored in 73% of Neftchi’s matches and 82% of Xorazm’s, while Over 2.5 goals landed in 55% and 27% of cases, respectively. The forecast of 2.30 goals gives the Under 3.5 goals line the strongest edge: this outcome is more likely than the other market sides considered.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: over their last five matches, this result occurred in 60% of Neftchi’s games and 80% of Xorazm’s. During that period, the visitors averaged just 0.2 goals before the break and failed to score in the first half in 4 of 5 matches. After the break, the advantage should shift to the home side, who averaged 1.0 goals in second halves across their last five games, while Xorazm conceded an average of 1.0 and scored only 0.2. Neftchi have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Xorazm have lost 4 and failed to win any; the hosts also have a higher season average xG, at 1.27 compared with 0.87. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a Neftchi win is a stronger scenario than the hosts taking the lead at the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Neftchi | Xorazm | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftchi is 800% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Neftchi · 0.2 pts / match - Xorazm
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftchi is 177% better for: goals scored per match.
2.27 goals / match - Neftchi · 0.82 goals / match - Xorazm
Neftchi is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.77 goals / match - Neftchi · 1.45 goals / match - Xorazm
Neftchi scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Xorazm keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
Xorazm scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Neftchi keeps a clean sheet in 59% (13 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Neftchi
Over / Under - Xorazm
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftchi is 73% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.82 pts / match - Neftchi · 1.05 pts / match - Xorazm
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Neftchi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Xorazm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Neftchi
Xorazm
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Neftchi | Liga | Xorazm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 55% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 53% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 59% | 26% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 68% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Neftchi 2 - 0 - 1 Xorazm. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Neftchi vs Xorazm?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Neftchi 2:2 Xorazm. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Neftchi and Xorazm?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 2, Xorazm won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Neftchi vs Xorazm?
Neftchi score 2.27 goals per game on average and Xorazm 0.82. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Neftchi's matches and 45% of Xorazm's.
What form are Neftchi and Xorazm in?
Over the last 5 games Neftchi have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Xorazm 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftchi vs Xorazm?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Neftchi vs Xorazm: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.