Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıBakcell ArenaData current as of 03 November 2026

Neftçi vs Kapaz: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Neftçi vs Kapaz: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Neftçi play Kapaz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match date is 6 November 2026. Venue: Bakcell Arena.

Current form

Neftçi: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Kapaz: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Neftçi scores 2.50 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Kapaz scores 1.11 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.60 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Neftçi 60%, Kapaz 44%. Over 2.5: Neftçi 70%, Kapaz 22%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Neftçi has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.22. Neftçi: 13.0 shots per match, Kapaz: 9.7.

Match halves

Neftçi: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.10. Kapaz: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Neftçi: 31-45+ (6 goals). Kapaz: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.5Goals scored / match1.11
NeftçiKapaz
1.1Goals conceded / match1
NeftçiKapaz
49%Average possession46%
NeftçiKapaz
5.8Shots on target / match3.33
NeftçiKapaz

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13Shots per match9.67
NeftçiKapaz
5.8Shots on target3.33
NeftçiKapaz
19.2%Shot conversion11.5%
NeftçiKapaz
49%Possession46%
NeftçiKapaz
1.66xG for1.22
NeftçiKapaz
1.43xG against1.42
NeftçiKapaz

Shooting quality

Neftçi: Efficient finishingKapaz: Balanced
NeftçiKapaz
Accuracy (shots on target)45%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kapaz is 22% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Neftçi · 2.2 pts / match - Kapaz

Neftçi
WDDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
60% W30% D10% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-1
2.10 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 at home
2-2-0
WWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Kapaz
DWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
56% W22% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-2
1.89 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 away
2-0-1
LWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Neftçi is 125% better for: goals scored per match.

2.5 goals / match - Neftçi · 1.11 goals / match - Kapaz

Kapaz is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.1 goals / match - Neftçi · 1 goals / match - Kapaz

Neftçi scoring profile: strong

Neftçi scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Kapaz keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).

Kapaz scoring profile: very strong

Kapaz scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).

25Goals scored (season)10
NeftçiKapaz
11Goals conceded (season)9
NeftçiKapaz
3.6Average goals in match2.11
NeftçiKapaz
10Goals scored (last 5)7
NeftçiKapaz
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
NeftçiKapaz

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal89%
NeftçiKapaz
70%2 goals22%
NeftçiKapaz
70%3 goals0%
NeftçiKapaz
20%4 goals0%
NeftçiKapaz

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal56%
NeftçiKapaz
30%2 goals22%
NeftçiKapaz
10%3 goals11%
NeftçiKapaz
0%4 goals11%
NeftçiKapaz

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time0%
NeftçiKapaz
20%BTTS in both halves0%
NeftçiKapaz
70%Scored in both halves11%
NeftçiKapaz

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS22%
NeftçiKapaz
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NeftçiKapaz
60%BTTS - last 560%
NeftçiKapaz

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
NeftçiKapaz
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time11%
NeftçiKapaz
30%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
NeftçiKapaz

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
NeftçiKapaz
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
NeftçiKapaz
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
NeftçiKapaz

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Neftçi is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.1 pts / match - Neftçi · 1 pts / match - Kapaz

Neftçi - half-time state
60% leading30% draw10% trailing
Kapaz - half-time state
11% leading67% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.1Points per match (1st half)1
NeftçiKapaz
1.4Goals scored (1st half)0.11
NeftçiKapaz
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
NeftçiKapaz
1.9Average goals (1st half)0.44
NeftçiKapaz
60%Clean sheet before half-time78%
NeftçiKapaz
20%No goal before half-time89%
NeftçiKapaz

After half-time (2nd half)

1.8Points per match (2nd half)2.11
NeftçiKapaz
1.1Goals scored (2nd half)1
NeftçiKapaz
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
NeftçiKapaz
1.7Average goals (2nd half)1.67
NeftçiKapaz
50%Clean sheet after half-time56%
NeftçiKapaz
30%No goal after half-time11%
NeftçiKapaz

Neftçi - second-half results

50% W30% D20% L
21
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kapaz - second-half results

67% W11% D22% L
9
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding509%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Neftçi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Kapaz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.60
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.41.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Neftçi
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
4
3
16-30
6
2
31-45
3
1
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Kapaz
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Neftçi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.84
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
175%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Kapaz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

NeftçiLigaKapaz
Average goals in match▲ 3.602.60▼ 2.11
Both teams scored▲ 60%52%▼ 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 70%48%▼ 22%
Clean sheets• 30%29%▲ 44%
Goal before half-time▲ 90%66%▼ 33%
Goal after half-time• 80%79%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.60
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Neftçi 3 - 0 - 0 Kapaz. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

When do Neftçi and Kapaz play?

Neftçi face Kapaz on 6 November 2026 in Premyer Liqası at Bakcell Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Neftçi and Kapaz?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Neftçi won 3, Kapaz won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Neftçi vs Kapaz?

Neftçi score 2.50 goals per game on average and Kapaz 1.11. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Neftçi's matches and 44% of Kapaz's.

What form are Neftçi and Kapaz in?

Over the last 5 games Neftçi have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Kapaz 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Neftçi vs Kapaz?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Neftçi vs Kapaz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.