Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Negele Arsi Ketema play Adama Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 20 November 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Negele Arsi Ketema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Adama Kenema: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.97 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Adama Kenema scores 0.92 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Negele Arsi Ketema 37%, Adama Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Negele Arsi Ketema 29%, Adama Kenema 32%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Negele Arsi Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.12. Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.2 shots per match, Adama Kenema: 6.4.

Match halves

Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.53. Adama Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.47.

Goals by minute

Negele Arsi Ketema: 76-90+ (11 goals). Adama Kenema: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

40Possession (%)60
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
10Shots6
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
2Shots on target2
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
1.4xG1.17
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
5Corners4
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
88Dangerous attacks90
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
15Fouls10
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0Cards0
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0.97Goals scored / match0.92
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0.79Goals conceded / match1
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
48%Average possession52%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
2.74Shots on target / match2.5
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.16Shots per match6.39
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
2.74Shots on target2.5
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
13.6%Shot conversion14.4%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
48%Possession52%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
1.14xG for1.12
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
1.2xG against1.1
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

Shooting quality

Negele Arsi Ketema: Efficient finishingAdama Kenema: Efficient finishing
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)38%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.4 pts / match - Adama Kenema

Negele Arsi Ketema
DWDWL
Season result split
39% W39% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-15-8
1.58 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-8-3
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.88Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Adama Kenema
LWDLW
Season result split
26% W42% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-16-12
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-8-6
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 0.80BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

0.97 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 0.92 goals / match - Adama Kenema

Negele Arsi Ketema is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.79 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1 goals / match - Adama Kenema

Negele Arsi Ketema scoring profile: mixed

Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

Adama Kenema scoring profile: mixed

Adama Kenema scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 45% (17 of 38 matches).

37Goals scored (season)35
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
30Goals conceded (season)38
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
1.76Average goals in match1.92
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
5Goals scored (last 5)5
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal61%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
29%2 goals18%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
5%3 goals11%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0%4 goals3%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal58%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
16%2 goals32%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
5%3 goals11%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
3%4 goals0%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

37%
Negele Arsi Ketema - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 38 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time16%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0%BTTS in both halves3%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
18%Scored in both halves11%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
40%BTTS - last 540%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

2nd half

66%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.45 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.21 pts / match - Adama Kenema

Negele Arsi Ketema - half-time state
29% leading58% draw13% trailing
Adama Kenema - half-time state
21% leading58% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.45Points per match (1st half)1.21
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.45
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0.32Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0.76Average goals (1st half)0.89
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
76%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
61%No goal before half-time68%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.34Points per match (2nd half)1.13
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.47
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
1Average goals (2nd half)1.03
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
58%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema
58%No goal after half-time61%
Negele Arsi KetemaAdama Kenema

Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results

29% W47% R24% P
55
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Adama Kenema - second-half results

21% W50% R29% P
46
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Negele Arsi Ketema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Adama Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Negele Arsi Ketema
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
4
4
16-30
7
5
31-45
3
4
46-60
6
5
61-75
11
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Adama Kenema
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
8
11
16-30
3
5
31-45
5
4
46-60
5
8
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.84
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+63%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Negele Arsi Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Adama Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Negele Arsi KetemaLigaAdama Kenema
Average goals in match 1.761.78 1.92
Both teams scored 37%40% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%28% 32%
Clean sheets 45%40% 42%
Goal before half-time 53%56% 53%
Goal after half-time 66%59% 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Negele Arsi Ketema 1 - 0 - 0 Adama Kenema. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Negele Arsi Ketema 2:1 Adama Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema?

Negele Arsi Ketema score 0.97 goals per game on average and Adama Kenema 0.92. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Negele Arsi Ketema's matches and 42% of Adama Kenema's.

What form are Negele Arsi Ketema and Adama Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Negele Arsi Ketema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Adama Kenema 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema?

The statistical background for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Adama Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.