Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sheger Ketema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Negele Arsi Ketema played Sheger Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 2 December 2025. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Negele Arsi Ketema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Sheger Ketema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.71 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Sheger Ketema scores 0.67 and concedes 0.67. League average: 1.73 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Negele Arsi Ketema 43%, Sheger Ketema 33%. Over 2.5: Negele Arsi Ketema 29%, Sheger Ketema 17%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 27%.

xG, shots and style

xG is very similar for both teams. Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.4 shots per match, Sheger Ketema: 9.2.

Match halves

Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.43. Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Negele Arsi Ketema: 76-90+ (2 goals). Sheger Ketema: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.73 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 27%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
8Shots7
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
4Shots on target4
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
1.27xG1.33
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
1Corners7
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
66Dangerous attacks83
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
14Fouls13
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0Cards0
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0.71Goals scored / match0.67
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0.71Goals conceded / match0.67
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
46%Average possession44%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
2.14Shots on target / match1.67
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.43Shots per match9.17
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
2.14Shots on target1.67
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
9.6%Shot conversion7.3%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
46%Possession44%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
1.12xG for1.12
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
1.21xG against1.27
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

Shooting quality

Negele Arsi Ketema: BalancedSheger Ketema: Balanced
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
Accuracy (shots on target)29%18%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Negele Arsi Ketema
LDDWW
Season result split
29% W43% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-2
1.29 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 at home
1-2-1
DLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Sheger Ketema
DWDWL
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-2
1.33 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 away
2-0-1
LWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

0.71 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 0.67 goals / match - Sheger Ketema

Sheger Ketema is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.71 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 0.67 goals / match - Sheger Ketema

Negele Arsi Ketema scoring profile: mixed

Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

Sheger Ketema scoring profile: mixed

Sheger Ketema scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

5Goals scored (season)4
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
5Goals conceded (season)4
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
1.43Average goals in match1.33
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
3Goals scored (last 5)4
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
2Goals conceded (last 5)3
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal67%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
14%2 goals0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal50%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
14%2 goals17%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
Negele Arsi Ketema - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.3 of 7 matches
38%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time33%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0%Scored in both halves0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
20%BTTS - last 540%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

29%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
14%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Negele Arsi Ketema - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Sheger Ketema - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0.57Average goals (1st half)0.67
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
71%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
71%No goal before half-time67%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1.33
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0.86Average goals (2nd half)0.67
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
57%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
71%No goal after half-time67%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results

29% W43% R29% P
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sheger Ketema - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Negele Arsi Ketema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.01.0
1 goal0%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Sheger Ketema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Negele Arsi Ketema
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Sheger Ketema
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
80%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Negele Arsi Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Sheger Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Negele Arsi KetemaLigaSheger Ketema
Average goals in match 1.431.73 1.33
Both teams scored 43%38% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%27% 17%
Clean sheets 43%40% 50%
Goal before half-time 29%56% 33%
Goal after half-time 57%58% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.73
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.87
Home goals / match
0.86
Away goals / match
+1%
Home attack advantage
+1%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Negele Arsi Ketema 2:2 Sheger Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?

Negele Arsi Ketema score 0.71 goals per game on average and Sheger Ketema 0.67. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Negele Arsi Ketema's matches and 33% of Sheger Ketema's.

What form are Negele Arsi Ketema and Sheger Ketema in?

Over the last 5 games Negele Arsi Ketema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sheger Ketema 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?

The statistical background for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sheger Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.