Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sheger Ketema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Negele Arsi Ketema play Sheger Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 2 December 2025 at 17:00. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Negele Arsi Ketema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Sheger Ketema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.97 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Sheger Ketema scores 0.92 and concedes 0.81. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Negele Arsi Ketema 37%, Sheger Ketema 41%. Over 2.5: Negele Arsi Ketema 29%, Sheger Ketema 22%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Negele Arsi Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.11. Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.2 shots per match, Sheger Ketema: 7.3.

Match halves

Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.53. Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

Negele Arsi Ketema: 76-90+ (11 goals). Sheger Ketema: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
8Shots7
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
4Shots on target4
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
1.27xG1.33
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
1Corners7
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
66Dangerous attacks83
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
14Fouls13
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0Cards0
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0.97Goals scored / match0.92
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0.79Goals conceded / match0.81
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
48%Average possession46%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
2.74Shots on target / match2.22
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.16Shots per match7.27
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
2.74Shots on target2.22
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
13.6%Shot conversion12.6%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
48%Possession46%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
1.14xG for1.11
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
1.2xG against1.11
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

Shooting quality

Negele Arsi Ketema: Efficient finishingSheger Ketema: Counter-attacking
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
Accuracy (shots on target)38%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sheger Ketema is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 2 pts / match - Sheger Ketema

Negele Arsi Ketema
DWDWL
Season result split
39% W39% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-15-8
1.58 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-8-3
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.88Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Sheger Ketema
WDLWW
Season result split
30% W46% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-17-9
1.35 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-6-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 0.88Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

0.97 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 0.92 goals / match - Sheger Ketema

Negele Arsi Ketema scoring profile: mixed

Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 49% (18 of 37 matches).

Sheger Ketema scoring profile: mixed

Sheger Ketema scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 45% (17 of 38 matches).

37Goals scored (season)34
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
30Goals conceded (season)30
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
1.76Average goals in match1.73
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
5Goals scored (last 5)5
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
5Goals conceded (last 5)2
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal68%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
29%2 goals19%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
5%3 goals5%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

How often they concede at least...

55%1 goal51%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
16%2 goals24%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
5%3 goals5%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
3%4 goals0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

37%
Negele Arsi Ketema - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 38 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time14%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
18%Scored in both halves3%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS22%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
40%BTTS - last 50%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time43%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

2nd half

66%Min. 1 goal after half-time62%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.45 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.19 pts / match - Sheger Ketema

Negele Arsi Ketema - half-time state
29% leading58% draw13% trailing
Sheger Ketema - half-time state
16% leading70% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.45Points per match (1st half)1.19
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.35
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0.32Goals conceded (1st half)0.3
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0.76Average goals (1st half)0.65
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
76%Clean sheet before half-time73%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
61%No goal before half-time70%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.34Points per match (2nd half)1.38
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.51
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
1Average goals (2nd half)1.08
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
58%Clean sheet after half-time65%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema
58%No goal after half-time59%
Negele Arsi KetemaSheger Ketema

Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results

29% W47% R24% P
55
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sheger Ketema - second-half results

30% W49% R22% P
44
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding188%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Negele Arsi Ketema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Sheger Ketema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.60.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Negele Arsi Ketema
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
4
4
16-30
7
5
31-45
3
4
46-60
6
5
61-75
11
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Sheger Ketema
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
5
2
16-30
6
7
31-45
7
4
46-60
6
7
61-75
8
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Negele Arsi Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Sheger Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.65
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Negele Arsi KetemaLigaSheger Ketema
Average goals in match 1.761.78 1.73
Both teams scored 37%40% 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%28% 22%
Clean sheets 45%40% 49%
Goal before half-time 53%56% 43%
Goal after half-time 66%59% 62%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Negele Arsi Ketema 0 - 1 - 0 Sheger Ketema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Negele Arsi Ketema 2:2 Sheger Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?

Negele Arsi Ketema score 0.97 goals per game on average and Sheger Ketema 0.92. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Negele Arsi Ketema's matches and 41% of Sheger Ketema's.

What form are Negele Arsi Ketema and Sheger Ketema in?

Over the last 5 games Negele Arsi Ketema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sheger Ketema 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sheger Ketema?

The statistical background for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sheger Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.