Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sidama Bunna: match statistics
Sidama Bunna, as the league leader, presents significantly higher form and quality than Negele Arsi Ketema. The visitors have won 50% of away matches and concede an average of only 0.88 goals per match, while the hosts have a record of just 38% wins at home. Crucial is Sidama Bunna's advantage in offensive statistics – averaging 1.63 goals away and a higher xG coefficient (1.41 vs 1.04). Recent form of both teams also favors the visitors (2.2 points per match vs 2.0). Despite the home pitch advantage, the difference in class between the leader and the 6th-placed team should translate into a favorable result for Sidama Bunna, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the hosts' solid defense.
Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sidama Bunna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Negele Arsi Ketema played Sidama Bunna in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 27 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Negele Arsi Ketema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Sidama Bunna: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.06 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Sidama Bunna scores 1.44 and concedes 0.50. League average: 1.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Negele Arsi Ketema 38%, Sidama Bunna 38%. Over 2.5: Negele Arsi Ketema 31%, Sidama Bunna 31%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Sidama Bunna has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.15. Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.3 shots per match, Sidama Bunna: 8.4.
Match halves
Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.56. Sidama Bunna: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Negele Arsi Ketema: 0-15 (6 goals). Sidama Bunna: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.74 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sidama Bunna, as the league leader, presents significantly higher form and quality than Negele Arsi Ketema. The visitors have won 50% of away matches and concede an average of only 0.88 goals per match, while the hosts have a record of just 38% wins at home. Crucial is Sidama Bunna's advantage in offensive statistics – averaging 1.63 goals away and a higher xG coefficient (1.41 vs 1.04). Recent form of both teams also favors the visitors (2.2 points per match vs 2.0). Despite the home pitch advantage, the difference in class between the leader and the 6th-placed team should translate into a favorable result for Sidama Bunna, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the hosts' solid defense.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Sidama Bunna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sidama Bunna is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 2.2 pts / match - Sidama Bunna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sidama Bunna is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.44 goals / match - Sidama Bunna
Sidama Bunna is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 0.5 goals / match - Sidama Bunna
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Sidama Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 56% (9 of 16 matches).
Sidama Bunna scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Negele Arsi Ketema
Over / Under - Sidama Bunna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sidama Bunna is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.56 pts / match - Sidama Bunna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sidama Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Negele Arsi Ketema
Sidama Bunna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Liga | Sidama Bunna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.81 | 1.74 | ▲ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 42% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 56% | • 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Negele Arsi Ketema 1:0 Sidama Bunna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
Negele Arsi Ketema score 1.06 goals per game on average and Sidama Bunna 1.44. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Negele Arsi Ketema's matches and 38% of Sidama Bunna's.
What form are Negele Arsi Ketema and Sidama Bunna in?
Over the last 5 games Negele Arsi Ketema have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Sidama Bunna 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Sidama Bunna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.