Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welayta Dicha: match statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema sits in second position in the table and is showing excellent form, winning four of their last five matches overall. The hosts are incredibly solid at home, where they concede an average of only 0.71 goals per match and boast 43% clean sheets. Welayta Dicha occupies the last, eighteenth place in the league and has not won any away match this season, averaging just 1 point per match in their last five fixtures. The visitors have a negative goal difference (-5) on the road and have not kept a single clean sheet away from home. Given the hosts' advantage in form, league position, and home statistics, a victory for Negele Arsi Ketema appears to be the most likely scenario.
Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welayta Dicha: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Negele Arsi Ketema played Welayta Dicha in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 16 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Negele Arsi Ketema: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Welayta Dicha: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.14 and concedes 0.64 goals per match. Welayta Dicha scores 1.00 and concedes 1.29. League average: 1.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Negele Arsi Ketema 36%, Welayta Dicha 71%. Over 2.5: Negele Arsi Ketema 36%, Welayta Dicha 43%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Welayta Dicha has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.14. Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.6 shots per match, Welayta Dicha: 8.7.
Match halves
Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.57. Welayta Dicha: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Negele Arsi Ketema: 0-15 (6 goals). Welayta Dicha: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.69 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Negele Arsi Ketema sits in second position in the table and is showing excellent form, winning four of their last five matches overall. The hosts are incredibly solid at home, where they concede an average of only 0.71 goals per match and boast 43% clean sheets. Welayta Dicha occupies the last, eighteenth place in the league and has not won any away match this season, averaging just 1 point per match in their last five fixtures. The visitors have a negative goal difference (-5) on the road and have not kept a single clean sheet away from home. Given the hosts' advantage in form, league position, and home statistics, a victory for Negele Arsi Ketema appears to be the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1 pts / match - Welayta Dicha
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1 goals / match - Welayta Dicha
Negele Arsi Ketema is 102% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.64 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 1.29 goals / match - Welayta Dicha
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).
Welayta Dicha scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 50% (7 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Negele Arsi Ketema
Over / Under - Welayta Dicha
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema · 0.86 pts / match - Welayta Dicha
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Welayta Dicha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Negele Arsi Ketema
Welayta Dicha
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Negele Arsi Ketema | Liga | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.79 | 1.69 | ▲ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 41% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 57% | 56% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Negele Arsi Ketema 1:1 Welayta Dicha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?
Negele Arsi Ketema score 1.14 goals per game on average and Welayta Dicha 1.00. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Negele Arsi Ketema's matches and 71% of Welayta Dicha's.
What form are Negele Arsi Ketema and Welayta Dicha in?
Over the last 5 games Negele Arsi Ketema have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Welayta Dicha 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?
The statistical background for Negele Arsi Ketema vs Welayta Dicha — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.