Neom SC vs Al Feiha: match statistics

Neom SC are showing slightly better current form: they have collected 7 points from their last five matches, thanks to 2 wins and a draw, while Al Feiha have managed just 4 points. The hosts have scored 4 goals and conceded 6 during this period, a clearly better record than the 6 goals scored and as many as 9 conceded by the visitors. Al Feiha have lost 3 of their last 5 matches, and their defence has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game in this run, so they may struggle to stabilise their performance away from home. Al Feiha’s position in the table—sixth compared with Neom SC’s eighteenth—favours the visitors, but in the absence of complete season-long data, greater weight should be given to the current trend. A slight home advantage and the better recent results record point to a Neom SC win, although a draw remains a realistic outcome.

The data from the last 5 matches provides a mixed signal: BTTS occurred in 40% of Neom SC’s games and 60% of Al Feiha’s, which does not create a clear advantage for the “Yes” option. Neom SC scored only 0.8 goals per match during this period, while Al Feiha netted 1.2, so the biggest risk to BTTS is the hosts’ limited attacking efficiency. Both teams allowed opponents chances worth 1.44 and 1.54 xG, respectively, but created only 1.08 and 1.11 xG per match themselves. Al Feiha conceded 9 goals in five matches, but a run of three consecutive defeats could encourage a more cautious approach. Therefore, the scenario in which at least one side fails to score is slightly more likely than both teams finding the net.

Neom SC have averaged 0.8 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while Al Feiha have conceded as many as 1.8 goals per game during this period, raising the hosts’ projection to around 1.28 goals. The visitors have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Neom SC have conceded 1.2, with the two teams’ average xG figures standing at 1.11 and 1.08, respectively. The opponents’ defensive xG figures are higher, as Neom SC have allowed 1.44 xG and Al Feiha 1.54 xG, meaning both teams regularly give opponents access to quality chances. Al Feiha’s last five matches produced a total of 15 goals, or 3.0 per game, while Neom SC’s matches featured 10 goals, averaging 2.0 per match. The Over 1.5 goals line therefore has a clearer edge than Over 2.5, particularly as only 20% of Neom SC’s recent matches went over the 2.5-goal threshold.

The strongest HT/FT option is Neom SC to lead at the break and win the match, as the team had a half-time lead in 40% of their last five games, while Al Feiha were trailing at half-time in as many as 60%. Neom SC collected 7 points during this period, winning 2 of 5 matches, whereas Al Feiha earned only 4 points and suffered 3 defeats. The hosts conceded an average of 0.6 goals before half-time, fewer than Al Feiha’s 0.8, while the visitors had a negative goal difference after 45 minutes, standing at -1. After the break, Al Feiha drew the second half in 80% of cases and failed to win any of their last five second halves, which reduces the likelihood of a successful turnaround. Seasonal data beyond the most recent run is unavailable, so Neom SC’s advantage is moderate, with a draw at half-time and a home win remaining a significant alternative.