United States - MLSGillette StadiumData current as of 16 October 2026

New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire: match statistics

Reasoning:

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New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

New England Revolution play Chicago Fire in MLS (United States). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Gillette Stadium.

Current form

New England Revolution: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Chicago Fire: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

New England Revolution scores 1.66 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Chicago Fire scores 1.79 and concedes 1.48. League average: 3.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: New England Revolution 62%, Chicago Fire 72%. Over 2.5: New England Revolution 72%, Chicago Fire 76%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Chicago Fire has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.50. New England Revolution: 12.4 shots per match, Chicago Fire: 14.1.

Match halves

New England Revolution: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.93. Chicago Fire: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

New England Revolution: 76-90+ (14 goals). Chicago Fire: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.30)
(3.90)
(2.63)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

New England RevolutionChicago Fire
1.66Goals scored / match1.79
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
1.41Goals conceded / match1.48
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
50%Average possession51%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
4.9Shots on target / match5.17
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
New England RevolutionChicago Fire

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.45Shots per match14.1
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
4.9Shots on target5.17
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
13.3%Shot conversion12.7%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
50%Possession51%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
1.5xG for1.59
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
1.56xG against1.45
New England RevolutionChicago Fire

Shooting quality

New England Revolution: Efficient finishingChicago Fire: Attacking
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
Accuracy (shots on target)39%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

New England Revolution
WWLLW
Season result split
52% W14% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-4-10
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-2-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
Chicago Fire
LWWWL
Season result split
48% W21% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-6-9
1.66 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-4
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DDDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Chicago Fire is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.66 goals / match - New England Revolution · 1.79 goals / match - Chicago Fire

New England Revolution is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.41 goals / match - New England Revolution · 1.48 goals / match - Chicago Fire

New England Revolution scoring profile: very strong

New England Revolution scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Chicago Fire keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).

Chicago Fire scoring profile: very strong

Chicago Fire scores in 93% of matches (27 of 29 matches), while New England Revolution keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).

48Goals scored (season)52
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
41Goals conceded (season)43
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
3.07Average goals in match3.28
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
9Goals scored (last 5)7
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
11Goals conceded (last 5)8
New England RevolutionChicago Fire

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal93%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
48%2 goals55%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
24%3 goals21%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
10%4 goals7%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal76%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
38%2 goals41%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
17%3 goals28%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
3%4 goals3%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
New England Revolution - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.18 of 29 matches
64%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time31%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
3%BTTS in both halves14%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
34%Scored in both halves38%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS66%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
60%BTTS - last 560%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time34%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Chicago Fire is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.34 pts / match - New England Revolution · 1.59 pts / match - Chicago Fire

New England Revolution - half-time state
38% leading21% draw41% trailing
Chicago Fire - half-time state
41% leading34% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.34Points per match (1st half)1.59
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
0.72Goals scored (1st half)0.79
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
0.79Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
1.52Average goals (1st half)1.41
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
41%Clean sheet before half-time52%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
52%No goal before half-time31%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire

After half-time (2nd half)

1.66Points per match (2nd half)1.38
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
0.93Goals scored (2nd half)1
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.86
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
52%Clean sheet after half-time45%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire
38%No goal after half-time38%
New England RevolutionChicago Fire

New England Revolution - second-half results

45% W31% D24% L
39
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.34
PPG before half-time
Lead holding137%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Chicago Fire - second-half results

38% W24% D38% L
46
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

New England Revolution - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.6
Average goals in match1.42.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%100%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Chicago Fire - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

New England Revolution
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
5
6
16-30
11
11
31-45
9
4
46-60
4
8
61-75
14
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Chicago Fire
ScoredConceded
9
2
0-15
8
6
16-30
6
10
31-45
8
9
46-60
11
3
61-75
10
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

New England Revolution

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Chicago Fire

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

New England RevolutionLigaChicago Fire
Average goals in match▼ 3.073.26• 3.28
Both teams scored▼ 62%64%▲ 72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 72%64%▲ 76%
Clean sheets▼ 17%21%▲ 24%
Goal before half-time▲ 86%78%▲ 86%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%83%▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.86
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: New England Revolution 1 - 0 - 0 Chicago Fire. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do New England Revolution and Chicago Fire play?

New England Revolution face Chicago Fire on 17 October 2026 in MLS at Gillette Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?

New England Revolution score 1.66 goals per game on average and Chicago Fire 1.79. The MLS average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 62% of New England Revolution's matches and 72% of Chicago Fire's.

What form are New England Revolution and Chicago Fire in?

Over the last 5 games New England Revolution have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Chicago Fire 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?

The statistical background for New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.