New York City II vs Philadelphia Union II: match statistics
New York City II vs Philadelphia Union II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New York City II played Philadelphia Union II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 1 August 2026. Venue: Belson Stadium at St John's University. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
New York City II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Philadelphia Union II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
New York City II scores 1.61 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. Philadelphia Union II scores 1.05 and concedes 1.35. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New York City II 61%, Philadelphia Union II 45%. Over 2.5: New York City II 67%, Philadelphia Union II 50%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
New York City II has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.24. New York City II: 10.9 shots per match, Philadelphia Union II: 10.4.
Match halves
New York City II: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.89. Philadelphia Union II: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
New York City II: 61-75 (8 goals). Philadelphia Union II: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-3. Average goals 3.75, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
New York City II are favorites for this match: in the last 5 games the hosts have scored 10 goals compared to Philadelphia Union II's 4, season-to-date 29 vs 21 in favor of the hosts, indicating an offensive edge. The hosts are more efficient — shot conversion in home matches is 18% versus 10% for the visitors on the road, with average shots on target 3.63 vs 3.2. Defensively both teams concede a fair number of goals (1.75 conceded at home for NYC II vs 1.8 conceded away for Union II), but the visitors allow higher expected chances (avg xG against 1.85 vs 1.53), and their away goal difference is -8 versus -1 for the hosts. In the last 5 matches the hosts average 1.4 points per game, the visitors only 0.8, and Union II fail to score in 50% of away games while New York City II are shut out in only 13% of home matches, which further supports a home win. Based on this, I predict a New York City II victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season and league stats are mixed: seasonal BTTS is 50% for New York City II and 40% for Philadelphia Union II, while the league BTTS rate is 61%. However, the signal from the last 5 matches is strong and one-sided — New York City II has BTTS 60% in their last 5, scoring an average of 2.0 and conceding 1.6, whereas Philadelphia has 0% BTTS, scores 0.8 on average and concedes 2.2. xG and shot metrics confirm the home advantage: home xG is 1.36 versus 1.11 for the away side, and xG against Philadelphia is 1.85, with an average of 4.3 shots on target for hosts and 3.2 for guests. Additionally, the hosts have 30% clean sheets this season versus only 10% for the visitors, meaning Philadelphia less frequently finishes matches with a clean sheet; combined with their poor attacking form this lowers the probability they will score. Considering the dominant, fresh signal of away goal drought over the last 5 matches and the hosts’ superiority in xG and shots, I back BTTS = NO with an estimated 60% vs 40% for YES.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG and form: xG for New York City II is 1.36, while xG against Philadelphia Union II is 1.85, yielding an expected 1.61 goals for the home side; conversely xG for Union II is 1.11 with xG against NYC II of 1.45, giving an expected 1.28 goals for the away side, totaling 2.89 expected goals. In the last 5 matches New York City II contests averaged 3.6 goals (10 scored and 8 conceded), and Union II matches averaged 3.0 goals (4 scored, 11 conceded), which increases the probability of Over 2.5 goals. Seasonal Over 2.5 percentages are 40% for NYC II and 60% for Union II, and in the last 5 matches NYC II had Over 2.5 in 80% of games; the league average for matches over 2.5 is 66%, further supporting the over option. The percentage of matches with both teams scoring is 50% for the home side and 40% for the away side, and Union II have only 10% clean sheets, so the best line to play appears to be Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hosts led at the break in 40% of matches (4 of 10), half-time draws occurred in 50% (5 of 10), and visitors led only in 10% (1 of 10), so the highest probability HT outcomes are a draw or a home lead. Goal statistics confirm this trend: hosts average 0.7 goals by half-time versus 0.3 for visitors and keep a clean sheet at half-time in 80% of fixtures compared to 30% for visitors. For full-time the hosts have the offensive edge — on average 1.1 goals per match, 4.3 shots on target and xG 1.36 versus 1.0 goals, 3.2 shots on target and xG 1.11 for visitors — which favors a home win. At the same time visitors are stronger after the break: they earn on average 1.3 points in second halves versus 0.8 for hosts and win 30% of second halves compared to 10% for hosts, so the distribution also accounts for draws and turnarounds. As a result the strongest signal is 1/1 (I assign it 24%), with meaningful alternatives X/X 20% and X/2 20%; overall HT=1 receives 40% and HT=X 50%, reflecting the provided statistics.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New York City II | Philadelphia Union II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
New York City II is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - New York City II · 0.8 pts / match - Philadelphia Union II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York City II is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.61 goals / match - New York City II · 1.05 goals / match - Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.61 goals / match - New York City II · 1.35 goals / match - Philadelphia Union II
New York City II scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Philadelphia Union II keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
Philadelphia Union II scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while New York City II keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New York City II
Over / Under - Philadelphia Union II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York City II is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - New York City II · 1.15 pts / match - Philadelphia Union II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New York City II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Philadelphia Union II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New York City II
Philadelphia Union II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| New York City II | Liga | Philadelphia Union II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.22 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | • 61% | 61% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 67% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 22% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 84% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): New York City II 1 - 0 - 3 Philadelphia Union II. Average goals 3.75, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of New York City II vs Philadelphia Union II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished New York City II 1:1 Philadelphia Union II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between New York City II and Philadelphia Union II?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches New York City II won 1, Philadelphia Union II won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before New York City II vs Philadelphia Union II?
New York City II score 1.61 goals per game on average and Philadelphia Union II 1.05. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 61% of New York City II's matches and 45% of Philadelphia Union II's.
What form are New York City II and Philadelphia Union II in?
Over the last 5 games New York City II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Philadelphia Union II 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York City II vs Philadelphia Union II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.