United States - MLS Next ProData current as of 19 September 2026

New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II: match statistics

New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

New York RB II played FC Cincinnati II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 13 September 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

New York RB II: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. FC Cincinnati II: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

New York RB II scores 2.15 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. FC Cincinnati II scores 1.15 and concedes 2.27. League average: 3.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: New York RB II 77%, FC Cincinnati II 58%. Over 2.5: New York RB II 88%, FC Cincinnati II 73%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.

xG, shots and style

New York RB II has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.33. New York RB II: 14.7 shots per match, FC Cincinnati II: 10.6.

Match halves

New York RB II: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.23. FC Cincinnati II: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.73.

Goals by minute

New York RB II: 61-75 (13 goals). FC Cincinnati II: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS Next Pro: 3.34 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 67%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 4.20, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

New York RB II come into this match after winning 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 goals in the process, while FC Cincinnati II have lost 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded 14 goals. At home, the hosts average 2.83 goals per game with an xG of 2.01, whereas the visitors concede as many as 2.92 goals away from home and allow chances worth an average of 2.01 xG. New York RB II also hold the edge in chance creation, averaging 16.33 shots and 6.58 shots on target per game, compared with Cincinnati’s 9.85 and 3.31 respectively. FC Cincinnati II have won just 8% of their away fixtures, have kept no clean sheets on the road and have failed to score in as many as 46% of those matches. The hosts’ defence is not flawless, conceding an average of 1.58 goals at home, but the scale of their attacking advantage and the visitors’ very poor away form strongly point towards a New York RB II win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The BTTS signal is clear: in their last five matches, both teams scored in 100% of New York RB II’s games and 80% of FC Cincinnati II’s. During this period, the hosts averaged 3.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while the visitors scored 1.6 goals but allowed opponents as many as 2.8. FC Cincinnati II have failed to keep a clean sheet even once this season, and their average of 2.92 goals conceded strongly supports a goal for the hosts. At the same time, New York RB II concede an average of 1.62 goals per match, while the visitors’ attacking xG stands at 1.24 for the season and has risen to 1.56 across their last five appearances. Seasonal BTTS figures—62% for the hosts and 54% for the visitors—together with the high league average of 62%, confirm a greater likelihood of goals at both ends than of a BTTS - No outcome, which means that at least one team fails to score and does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

New York RB II score an average of 1.54 goals per game this season, while FC Cincinnati II concede as many as 2.92 goals per match and have kept no clean sheets. In their last five fixtures, the hosts have scored 15 goals, averaging 3.0 per game, while the visitors have conceded 14, an average of 2.8. Both teams are on a five-match run featuring at least three goals, with their average xG over this period standing at 1.88 and 1.56, respectively. The 1.5-goal line has been surpassed in 92% of Cincinnati II matches and 69% of New York RB II fixtures, which, combined with the visitors’ very weak defensive record, provides an exceptionally strong signal for the over. A projected total of 3.30 goals also indicates a realistic chance of Over 2.5 goals, but Over 1.5 remains the safest selection.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

New York RB II are clearly stronger in their current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while FC Cincinnati II have suffered 4 defeats over the same period. The hosts have recently averaged 3.0 goals per match and held a lead at the break in 60% of those games, whereas the visitors have conceded an average of 2.8 goals per match and were trailing after 45 minutes in 40% of their recent outings. Across the season, Cincinnati II have won just 8% of their matches, have kept no clean sheets and have conceded an average of 2.92 goals, strongly supporting the scenario of a home win. After half-time, New York RB II average 1.08 goals compared with just 0.38 for FC Cincinnati II, making 1/1 the most likely HT/FT outcome: the hosts lead at the break and maintain their advantage through to the final whistle.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

66Possession (%)34
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
21Shots9
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
4Shots on target3
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
2.35xG1.05
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
8Corners2
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
106Dangerous attacks37
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
15Fouls7
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
2Cards2
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
2.15Goals scored / match1.15
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
1.73Goals conceded / match2.27
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
57%Average possession43%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
5.65Shots on target / match3.85
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.65Shots per match10.58
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
5.65Shots on target3.85
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
14.7%Shot conversion10.9%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
57%Possession43%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
1.81xG for1.33
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
1.38xG against1.84
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II

Shooting quality

New York RB II: DominantFC Cincinnati II: Balanced
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
Accuracy (shots on target)39%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

New York RB II is 300% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - New York RB II · 0.6 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II

New York RB II
WWWWL
Season result split
50% W15% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-4-9
1.65 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-1-4
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
FC Cincinnati II
LLWLL
Season result split
19% W8% D73% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-19
0.65 pts / match · goal difference -29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-12
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.93BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

New York RB II is 87% better for: goals scored per match.

2.15 goals / match - New York RB II · 1.15 goals / match - FC Cincinnati II

New York RB II is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.73 goals / match - New York RB II · 2.27 goals / match - FC Cincinnati II

New York RB II scoring profile: very strong

New York RB II scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while FC Cincinnati II keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).

FC Cincinnati II scoring profile: very strong

FC Cincinnati II scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while New York RB II keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).

56Goals scored (season)30
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
45Goals conceded (season)59
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
3.88Average goals in match3.42
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
15Goals scored (last 5)8
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
9Goals conceded (last 5)14
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal69%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
62%2 goals31%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
31%3 goals8%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
23%4 goals4%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal88%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
46%2 goals69%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
27%3 goals38%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
12%4 goals15%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
FC Cincinnati II - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 26 matches
63%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time27%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
4%BTTS in both halves4%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
31%Scored in both halves8%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II

BTTS and goal count

65%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
23%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
100%BTTS - last 580%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
62%Min. 2 goals before half-time46%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
69%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

New York RB II is 123% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.54 pts / match - New York RB II · 0.69 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II

New York RB II - half-time state
38% leading38% draw23% trailing
FC Cincinnati II - half-time state
12% leading35% draw54% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.54Points per match (1st half)0.69
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
0.92Goals scored (1st half)0.42
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)1.23
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
1.65Average goals (1st half)1.65
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
50%Clean sheet before half-time23%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
42%No goal before half-time65%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II

After half-time (2nd half)

1.31Points per match (2nd half)0.96
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
1.23Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.04
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
2.23Average goals (2nd half)1.77
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
35%Clean sheet after half-time31%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II
38%No goal after half-time58%
New York RB IIFC Cincinnati II

New York RB II - second-half results

35% W27% D38% L
40
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.54
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

FC Cincinnati II - second-half results

23% W27% D50% L
18
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-21
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding158%

Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

New York RB II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.20
Goals scored / match1.41.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match2.02.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
FC Cincinnati II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match1.21.6
Average goals in match1.82.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

New York RB II
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
10
7
16-30
8
5
31-45
6
11
46-60
13
7
61-75
13
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

FC Cincinnati II
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
4
14
16-30
3
9
31-45
5
6
46-60
6
9
61-75
8
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

New York RB II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.75
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

FC Cincinnati II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).

Teams vs league

New York RB IILigaFC Cincinnati II
Average goals in match 3.883.34 3.42
Both teams scored 77%63% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 88%67% 73%
Clean sheets 12%21% 12%
Goal before half-time 81%76% 85%
Goal after half-time 88%85% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.34
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.92
Home goals / match
1.43
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. New York RB IIYellow cardJosh Munson
  2. FC Cincinnati IIYellow cardFélix Samson
  3. New York RB IISubstitutionOn: Christian GallagherOff: Nehuén Benedetti
  4. FC Cincinnati IIGoalJack MizeAssist: Mathias Fabian Vazquez De La Iglesia
  5. New York RB IISubstitutionOn: Connor FaelloOff: Tanner Rosborough
  6. FC Cincinnati IISubstitutionOn: Ayoub LajharOff: Jack Mize
  7. New York RB IISubstitutionOn: Aimar ModeloOff: Rafael Mosquera
  8. FC Cincinnati IIYellow cardAdemar Chavez
  9. New York RB IISubstitutionOn: Paul SokoloffOff: Benjamin Rodriguez
  10. New York RB IIGoalChristian GallagherAssist: Sean Baitinger
  11. FC Cincinnati IISubstitutionOn: Yair Alexander Ramos PerezOff: Nathan Gray
  12. New York RB IIYellow cardJosh Munson

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): New York RB II 1 - 2 - 2 FC Cincinnati II. Average goals 4.20, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FC Cincinnati II
2 : 2
New York RB II
New York RB II
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati II
FC Cincinnati II
2 : 1
New York Red Bulls II
New York Red Bulls II
3 : 3
FC Cincinnati II
FC Cincinnati II
3 : 1
New York Red Bulls II

FAQ

What was the result of New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II?

The MLS Next Pro match finished New York RB II 1:1 FC Cincinnati II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between New York RB II and FC Cincinnati II?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches New York RB II won 1, FC Cincinnati II won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II?

New York RB II score 2.15 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati II 1.15. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 77% of New York RB II's matches and 58% of FC Cincinnati II's.

What form are New York RB II and FC Cincinnati II in?

Over the last 5 games New York RB II have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and FC Cincinnati II 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for New York RB II vs FC Cincinnati II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.