New York RB II vs Toronto II: match statistics
New York RB II vs Toronto II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
New York RB II played Toronto II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 23 August 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
New York RB II: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Toronto II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
New York RB II scores 1.96 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Toronto II scores 1.68 and concedes 1.91. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: New York RB II 74%, Toronto II 64%. Over 2.5: New York RB II 87%, Toronto II 77%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
New York RB II has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.26. New York RB II: 14.7 shots per match, Toronto II: 10.1.
Match halves
New York RB II: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.04. Toronto II: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
New York RB II: 76-90+ (10 goals). Toronto II: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-0. Average goals 3.75, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
New York RB II have a clear home advantage: they win 55% of their home matches, while Toronto II win only 25% of their away games and lose as many as 58% of them. The hosts average 2.64 goals scored at home with an xG of 1.99, whereas the visitors concede 2.00 goals per away match and allow opponents an xG of 1.72. The New York side also create significantly more chances, averaging 16.27 shots and 6.27 shots on target, compared with Toronto II’s 9.83 shots and 4.25 on target. The visitors have been more efficient recently, scoring 12 goals in their last five matches, but they fail to score in 42% of away games, which limits their chances against the hosts. New York RB II’s defence is not flawless, having conceded 11 goals in their last five matches, so a Toronto goal remains a realistic possibility. However, the advantage in chance quality and home-field advantage point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
New York RB II have recorded BTTS in 90% of their matches, while in Toronto II’s last five games, both teams scored in as many as 100% of cases. The hosts concede an average of 1.8 goals per match, compared with 2.0 for the visitors; over the last five matchdays, these figures have risen to 2.2 and 2.0 respectively. Toronto II are in good attacking form, averaging 2.4 goals recently, while New York RB II, despite dropping to 1.2 goals, are creating chances worth 1.77 xG. In addition, the hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in every match this season, while their opponents average 4.25 shots on target, strongly supporting a goal for Toronto. The main risk to BTTS - Yes is that Toronto II have failed to score in 42% of their matches this season, but their current form and the defensive weaknesses of both sides point more clearly towards the Goal/Goal scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last five matches, both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games, while their matches produced an average of 3.4 and 4.4 goals per game, respectively. During this period, New York RB II conceded 2.2 goals per match, whereas Toronto II scored as many as 2.4, clearly supporting the visitors’ scoring potential. Season-long data also points to an open game: the hosts score an average of 1.9 goals and concede 1.8, while Toronto II concede an average of 2.0 goals. In addition, the league-wide average stands at 3.27 goals, while Over 1.5 goals landed in 90% of the hosts’ matches and 75% of the visitors’ games. The strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5, as just two goals are needed for the bet to land, while the current form of both defenses points to significantly higher scoring potential, at around 3.25 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
New York RB II has the better season record, winning 50% of its matches compared with Toronto II’s 25%, but its recent form has been weaker: 3 defeats in 5 matches and an average of 2.2 goals conceded. At half-time, the hosts are usually solid, having led at the break in 5 of 10 matches while conceding only 0.5 goals per first half. Toronto II, however, has gained momentum early in matches: in its last 5 games, it led at half-time on 50% of occasions, scored an average of 1.5 goals in those matches, and recorded 2.4 goals per game overall. The second half is the key factor, with New York RB II scoring just 0.2 goals, conceding 1.6 and losing the second half in all of its last five appearances, while Toronto II averages 1.0 goal after the break. A draw at half-time followed by an away win, preferably X/2, best combines the hosts’ advantage in the opening phase with Toronto’s clearly superior current form in the closing stages.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| New York RB II | Toronto II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Toronto II is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - New York RB II · 1.4 pts / match - Toronto II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
New York RB II is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - New York RB II · 1.68 goals / match - Toronto II
New York RB II is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - New York RB II · 1.91 goals / match - Toronto II
New York RB II scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Toronto II keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Toronto II scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while New York RB II keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - New York RB II
Over / Under - Toronto II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York RB II is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - New York RB II · 1.5 pts / match - Toronto II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
New York RB II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Toronto II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
New York RB II
Toronto II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| New York RB II | Liga | Toronto II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.61 | 3.28 | ▲ 3.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 87% | 66% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 84% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): New York RB II 3 - 1 - 0 Toronto II. Average goals 3.75, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of New York RB II vs Toronto II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished New York RB II 5:1 Toronto II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between New York RB II and Toronto II?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches New York RB II won 3, Toronto II won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before New York RB II vs Toronto II?
New York RB II score 1.96 goals per game on average and Toronto II 1.68. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 74% of New York RB II's matches and 64% of Toronto II's.
What form are New York RB II and Toronto II in?
Over the last 5 games New York RB II have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Toronto II 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for New York RB II vs Toronto II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.