Newcastle United vs Manchester United: match statistics
This match promises to be extremely tight. Newcastle United displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and a +3 goal difference, averaging 1.86 goals per game. Manchester United is in excellent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches, remaining unbeaten in that run; however, they draw 43% of their away fixtures, the highest draw rate in the league. Both sides share similar possession stats (53% vs 54%) and comparable xG values, indicating a balanced contest. Given the hosts' strong recent home performance and United's tendency to draw on the road, sharing the points seems the most likely scenario, though Newcastle holds a slight edge due to home advantage.
Newcastle United vs Manchester United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Newcastle United played Manchester United in Premier League (England). The match was played on 4 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Newcastle United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Manchester United: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Newcastle United scores 1.43 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Manchester United scores 1.79 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Newcastle United 64%, Manchester United 71%. Over 2.5: Newcastle United 64%, Manchester United 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Manchester United has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.59. Newcastle United: 13.4 shots per match, Manchester United: 16.0.
Match halves
Newcastle United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.71. Manchester United: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.07.
Goals by minute
Newcastle United: 76-90+ (11 goals). Manchester United: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
This match promises to be extremely tight. Newcastle United displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and a +3 goal difference, averaging 1.86 goals per game. Manchester United is in excellent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches, remaining unbeaten in that run; however, they draw 43% of their away fixtures, the highest draw rate in the league. Both sides share similar possession stats (53% vs 54%) and comparable xG values, indicating a balanced contest. Given the hosts' strong recent home performance and United's tendency to draw on the road, sharing the points seems the most likely scenario, though Newcastle holds a slight edge due to home advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Newcastle United | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Manchester United is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Newcastle United · 2.6 pts / match - Manchester United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester United is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Newcastle United · 1.79 goals / match - Manchester United
Manchester United is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Newcastle United · 1.36 goals / match - Manchester United
Newcastle United scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Manchester United keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
Manchester United scores in 89% of matches (25 of 28 matches), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Newcastle United
Over / Under - Manchester United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester United is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Newcastle United · 1.54 pts / match - Manchester United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Manchester United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 80% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Newcastle United
Manchester United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Newcastle United | Liga | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.93 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 71% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Newcastle United 0 - 0 - 1 Manchester United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Newcastle United vs Manchester United?
The Premier League match finished Newcastle United 2:1 Manchester United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Newcastle United vs Manchester United?
Newcastle United score 1.43 goals per game on average and Manchester United 1.79. The Premier League average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Newcastle United's matches and 71% of Manchester United's.
What form are Newcastle United and Manchester United in?
Over the last 5 games Newcastle United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Manchester United 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newcastle United vs Manchester United?
The statistical background for Newcastle United vs Manchester United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.