Nice vs Rennes: match statistics
Nice vs Rennes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nice played Rennes in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Allianz Riviera. Final score: 5:2.
Current form
Nice: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Rennes: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nice scores 1.00 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Rennes scores 2.25 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nice 63%, Rennes 63%. Over 2.5: Nice 63%, Rennes 88%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Rennes has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.34. Nice: 11.5 shots per match, Rennes: 16.1.
Match halves
Nice: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.50. Rennes: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Nice: 16-30 (2 goals). Rennes: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Although Rennes are top of the table and have scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches, they have lost 2 of their 3 away games. Nice remain unbeaten at home, recording 2 wins and 2 draws, while conceding an average of just 0.75 goals per match there. The hosts’ biggest opportunity lies in Rennes’ defensive frailties: the visitors concede an average of 3 goals away from home, and opponents create chances worth 1.95 xG against them. Rennes do create more chances than Nice — their away xG stands at 1.64, compared with the hosts’ 1.21 at home — but that advantage has so far failed to offset their poor results on the road. Therefore, despite the league leaders’ attacking quality, a Nice win looks marginally more likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 60% of Nice’s home matches and 67% of Rennes’ away matches, while the rate was 80% in each team’s last five games. Nice average 2.6 goals at home, while Rennes concede 3.0 goals per away match, making a home goal highly likely. The visitors also have good reason to score: they average 1.67 goals away from home, with an average xG of 1.64 compared with the 1.61 xG Nice concede at home. Caution is warranted, however, as Nice have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their home matches, while Rennes have failed to score in 33% of their away games. Even so, the evidence of both teams’ attacking output and the frequency of BTTS points towards both sides scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals were scored in 80% of Nice’s matches and 100% of Rennes’ matches, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. Nice average 2.6 goals at home, while Rennes concede 3.0 on the road, significantly increasing the likelihood of goals from the hosts. The visitors also have attacking potential: their average xG is 1.64, and Nice allow opponents chances worth 1.61 xG. Both teams scored in 80% of each side’s last 5 matches, further supporting a total above the selected line. The projected total of 3.50 goals backs Over 1.5 more strongly than higher, more demanding lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Nice leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes: in the home matches analysed, the hosts led at half-time in 3 of 5 games and won 4 of 5, while Rennes were trailing at half-time in 2 of 3 away matches. Nice score an average of 1.4 goals at home before the break, while Rennes concede 1.67 goals away in that period, which points to an early lead for the hosts. After the break, Nice score an average of 1.2 goals at home, while Rennes concede 1.33 away, making Nice more likely to hold their advantage than to suffer a turnaround. Nice’s edge is also supported by an average of 2.6 goals scored at home, compared with Rennes conceding 3.0 goals away. However, this HT/FT pick is not certain: across their last five matches regardless of venue, Rennes averaged 2.8 goals scored and Nice 1.4, so some probability should also be assigned to other scenarios.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nice | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rennes is 125% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Nice · 2.25 goals / match - Rennes
Nice is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Nice · 1.75 goals / match - Rennes
Nice scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Rennes keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Rennes scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Nice keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nice
Over / Under - Rennes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rennes is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Nice · 1.75 pts / match - Rennes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rennes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nice
Rennes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Nice | Liga | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.97 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 63% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▲ 88% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 82% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nice 1 - 0 - 1 Rennes. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nice vs Rennes?
The Ligue 1 match finished Nice 5:2 Rennes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Rennes?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nice won 1, Rennes won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nice vs Rennes?
Nice score 1.00 goals per game on average and Rennes 2.25. The Ligue 1 average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Nice's matches and 63% of Rennes's.
What form are Nice and Rennes in?
Over the last 5 games Nice have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Rennes 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nice vs Rennes?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.