Niger Tornadoes vs Barau: match statistics
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Niger Tornadoes vs Barau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Niger Tornadoes play Barau in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 30 October 2026. Venue: Ilorin Township Stadium.
Current form
Niger Tornadoes: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Barau: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Niger Tornadoes scores 0.90 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Barau scores 1.30 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Niger Tornadoes 40%, Barau 60%. Over 2.5: Niger Tornadoes 30%, Barau 40%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Barau has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.72. Niger Tornadoes: 9.9 shots per match, Barau: 9.6.
Match halves
Niger Tornadoes: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.70. Barau: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Niger Tornadoes: 76-90+ (5 goals). Barau: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Niger Tornadoes | Barau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Niger Tornadoes is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 0.6 pts / match - Barau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Barau is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.3 goals / match - Barau
Niger Tornadoes is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.1 goals / match - Barau
Niger Tornadoes scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
Barau scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Niger Tornadoes
Over / Under - Barau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barau is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.6 pts / match - Barau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Niger Tornadoes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Barau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Niger Tornadoes
Barau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Niger Tornadoes | Liga | Barau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.70 | 2.35 | • 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 46% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 41% | • 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 34% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 69% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 68% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Niger Tornadoes 1 - 0 - 1 Barau. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Niger Tornadoes and Barau play?
Niger Tornadoes face Barau on 30 October 2026 in NPFL at Ilorin Township Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Niger Tornadoes and Barau?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Niger Tornadoes won 1, Barau won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Niger Tornadoes vs Barau?
Niger Tornadoes score 0.90 goals per game on average and Barau 1.30. The NPFL average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Niger Tornadoes's matches and 60% of Barau's.
What form are Niger Tornadoes and Barau in?
Over the last 5 games Niger Tornadoes have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Barau 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Niger Tornadoes vs Barau?
The statistical background for Niger Tornadoes vs Barau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.