Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United: match statistics
Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Niger Tornadoes play Kwara United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Niger Tornadoes: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Kwara United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Niger Tornadoes scores 0.97 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Kwara United scores 0.92 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Niger Tornadoes 26%, Kwara United 34%. Over 2.5: Niger Tornadoes 32%, Kwara United 29%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Niger Tornadoes has higher xG: 1.52 vs 0.99. Niger Tornadoes: 8.9 shots per match, Kwara United: 3.6.
Match halves
Niger Tornadoes: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61. Kwara United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.34.
Goals by minute
Niger Tornadoes: 76-90+ (13 goals). Kwara United: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Niger Tornadoes are clear favorites based on dominant home metrics: at home they average 1.59 goals scored and concede only 0.41 per match, have xG 1.90 versus opponents' xG 1.34 and record clean sheets in 76% of games. Their superiority in chance quality is reflected in the numbers – at home they average 5.2 shots on target and 15 shots per match with an 11% conversion rate, compared to Kwara United’s away figures of 2.27 on target, 6.36 shots and 6% conversion. Visitors show better recent form over the last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, averaging 2 points per game), but on the road they score just 0.47 goals and concede 1.29 per match. Additionally, Kwara fail to score in 65% of away fixtures, while the hosts keep a clean sheet in 76% of home games, which heavily reduces the visitors’ chances. Considering the xG advantage (1.90 vs 0.88), superior shot volume and the hosts’ low goals conceded average, I predict a Niger Tornadoes win; probability estimate: home 72%, draw 18%, away 10%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Niger Tornadoes | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 1.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kwara United is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.6 pts / match - Kwara United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Niger Tornadoes is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes · 0.92 goals / match - Kwara United
Niger Tornadoes scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
Kwara United scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 45% (17 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Niger Tornadoes
Over / Under — Kwara United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kwara United is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes · 1.37 pts / match - Kwara United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Niger Tornadoes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Niger Tornadoes
Kwara United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Niger Tornadoes | Liga | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.92 | 2.02 | ▼ 1.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 38% | ▼ 34% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 37% | • 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▲ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 66% | 64% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Niger Tornadoes 0 - 0 - 1 Kwara United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United?
The NPFL match finished Niger Tornadoes 2:2 Kwara United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United?
Niger Tornadoes score 0.97 goals per game on average and Kwara United 0.92. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Niger Tornadoes's matches and 34% of Kwara United's.
What form are Niger Tornadoes and Kwara United in?
Over the last 5 games Niger Tornadoes have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Kwara United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.