Nõmme Kalju vs Trans: match statistics
Nõmme Kalju vs Trans: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nõmme Kalju played Trans in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Hiiu staadion. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Nõmme Kalju: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Trans: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nõmme Kalju scores 1.74 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. Trans scores 0.78 and concedes 2.30. League average: 3.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nõmme Kalju 56%, Trans 44%. Over 2.5: Nõmme Kalju 48%, Trans 70%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Nõmme Kalju has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.49. Nõmme Kalju: 16.0 shots per match, Trans: 12.8.
Match halves
Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.78. Trans: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Nõmme Kalju: 16-30 (11 goals). Trans: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.12 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 5-1-1. Average goals 2.29, BTTS 43%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nõmme Kalju sit 3rd, while Trans are only 10th, and the entire season confirms a significant difference in quality: the hosts have won 13 matches, compared with just 5 for the visitors. At home, Kalju average 2.23 goals and 6.23 shots on target per match, whereas Trans score just 0.38 goals away from home, with a 3% shooting accuracy. The visitors have lost 85% of their away matches, concede an average of 2.92 goals on the road, and have failed to score in 69% of those fixtures. Kalju are admittedly on a poor overall run, with 4 defeats in their last 5 appearances, but Trans have also lost 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded 10 goals in the process. The hosts’ superiority in chance creation is clear, with an average home xG of 1.93 compared with Trans’ 1.35 away from home, making a Kalju win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Trans’s poor finishing: the visitors score just 0.38 goals per match this season and have failed to score in 69% of their games. Their BTTS rate is only 31%, clearly below Nõmme Kalju’s 54% and the league-wide figure of 59%. Kalju have defensive issues, conceding an average of 1.69 goals, rising to 1.8 across their last five matches; however, Trans have scored just 0.8 goals per game during this period. The hosts should nevertheless find the net, as Trans concede an average of 2.92 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in only 8% of their appearances. Trans’s higher recent xG of 1.38, compared with the 1.55 xG allowed by Kalju, gives the visitors a reasonable chance of scoring, but their long-term inefficiency more strongly supports a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Nõmme Kalju have scored 46 goals this season, while Trans have conceded as many as 60, with the visitors averaging 2.92 goals conceded per match—strongly supporting the prospect of at least two goals. Both teams had matches featuring a minimum of 2 goals in 92% and 77% of cases, respectively, while each team’s matches finished Over 2.5 goals in an identical 69% of cases. Kalju also create better chances, averaging 1.60 xG and 2.16 xG across their last five matches, while Trans’s defence allows an average xG of 1.78. However, the visitors are highly inefficient in attack, scoring only 0.38 goals on average and failing to score in 69% of matches, making the 2.5 line less certain than the lower threshold. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as Trans’s weak defence should be enough for Kalju to drive the scoreline even with limited attacking output from the visitors.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Nõmme Kalju win, as both teams often struggle to open the scoring: Kalju average 0.54 goals before the break, compared with just 0.31 for Trans. Trans have been behind at half-time in 62% of matches, while Kalju have led after 45 minutes in only 23%, supporting a cautious, level scenario at the interval. The second half is decisive, with Trans scoring just 0.08 goals per match and conceding as many as 1.77, while failing to win any match in this period. Kalju also have the higher average xG, 1.60 versus 1.35, and Trans have lost 85% of their matches this season while allowing opponents an average of 2.92 goals, so the hosts should capitalise on their advantage after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nõmme Kalju | Trans | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nõmme Kalju is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju · 0.4 pts / match - Trans
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme Kalju is 123% better for: goals scored per match.
1.74 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 0.78 goals / match - Trans
Nõmme Kalju is 140% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.96 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju · 2.3 goals / match - Trans
Nõmme Kalju scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while Trans keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 matches).
Trans scores in 52% of matches (14 of 27 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nõmme Kalju
Over / Under - Trans
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nõmme Kalju is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju · 0.81 pts / match - Trans
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nõmme Kalju - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Trans - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nõmme Kalju
Trans
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Nõmme Kalju | Liga | Trans | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.70 | 3.12 | • 3.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 65% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 22% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 88% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): Nõmme Kalju 5 - 1 - 1 Trans. Average goals 2.29, both teams scored in 43% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nõmme Kalju vs Trans?
The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme Kalju 2:0 Trans. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme Kalju and Trans?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Nõmme Kalju won 5, Trans won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.29 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme Kalju vs Trans?
Nõmme Kalju score 1.74 goals per game on average and Trans 0.78. The Meistriliiga average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Nõmme Kalju's matches and 44% of Trans's.
What form are Nõmme Kalju and Trans in?
Over the last 5 games Nõmme Kalju have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Trans 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme Kalju vs Trans?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nõmme Kalju vs Trans: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.