Nõmme United vs Nõmme Kalju: match statistics
Nõmme United vs Nõmme Kalju: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nõmme United play Nõmme Kalju in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 3 July 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Männiku staadion. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Nõmme United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Nõmme Kalju: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nõmme United scores 1.95 and concedes 2.30 goals per match. Nõmme Kalju scores 1.65 and concedes 0.80. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nõmme United 90%, Nõmme Kalju 50%. Over 2.5: Nõmme United 95%, Nõmme Kalju 40%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Nõmme Kalju has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.50. Nõmme United: 11.9 shots per match, Nõmme Kalju: 15.0.
Match halves
Nõmme United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.20. Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Nõmme United: 76-90+ (10 goals). Nõmme Kalju: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 8.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict an away win (2) — Nõmme Kalju sit 3rd with 9 wins this season, while Nõmme United are 7th with 6 wins. Kalju’s decisive advantage is defensively oriented: the visitors concede just 0.63 goals per away match and keep clean sheets in 63% of away games, whereas United concede 2.13 goals per home match and have registered no clean sheets (0%). United are however dangerous offensively at home — averaging 12.5 shots and 2.5 goals per game with a 20% conversion rate — while Kalju average 13 shots and 1.38 goals on the road with an 11% conversion. xG indicates similar chance volume (1.63 xG for United at home versus 1.62 xG for Kalju away), but United allow 2.03 xG against compared to Kalju’s 1.32 xG, which favors the visitors. Although in the last 5 matches United average 1.2 pts/game and have scored 7 goals, while Kalju average 0.6 pts/game and 5 goals, the season-long form and markedly superior away defence lead me to mark Kalju as the favorite.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nõmme United | Nõmme Kalju | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nõmme United is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Nõmme United · 1.2 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme United is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.95 goals / match - Nõmme United · 1.65 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju
Nõmme Kalju is 187% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.3 goals / match - Nõmme United · 0.8 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju
Nõmme United scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Nõmme Kalju scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nõmme United
Over / Under — Nõmme Kalju
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nõmme Kalju is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Nõmme United · 1.75 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nõmme United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nõmme Kalju - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nõmme United
Nõmme Kalju
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Nõmme United | Liga | Nõmme Kalju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.25 | 3.11 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 90% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 95% | 66% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 74% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 88% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nõmme United 0 - 0 - 1 Nõmme Kalju. Average goals 8.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nõmme United vs Nõmme Kalju?
The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme United 1:3 Nõmme Kalju. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme United vs Nõmme Kalju?
Nõmme United score 1.95 goals per game on average and Nõmme Kalju 1.65. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 90% of Nõmme United's matches and 50% of Nõmme Kalju's.
What form are Nõmme United and Nõmme Kalju in?
Over the last 5 games Nõmme United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Nõmme Kalju 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme United vs Nõmme Kalju?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nõmme United vs Nõmme Kalju: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.