Nõmme United vs Vaprus: match statistics
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Nõmme United vs Vaprus: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nõmme United play Vaprus in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 23 October 2026. Venue: Männiku staadion.
Current form
Nõmme United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Vaprus: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nõmme United scores 1.56 and concedes 2.31 goals per match. Vaprus scores 1.31 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nõmme United 75%, Vaprus 66%. Over 2.5: Nõmme United 88%, Vaprus 66%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Nõmme United has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.25. Nõmme United: 12.0 shots per match, Vaprus: 9.6.
Match halves
Nõmme United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88. Vaprus: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Nõmme United: 76-90+ (11 goals). Vaprus: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 4.67, BTTS 67%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nõmme United | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nõmme United is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Nõmme United · 0.4 pts / match - Vaprus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme United is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Nõmme United · 1.31 goals / match - Vaprus
Vaprus is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.31 goals / match - Nõmme United · 2 goals / match - Vaprus
Nõmme United scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
Vaprus scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 3% (1 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nõmme United
Over / Under - Vaprus
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vaprus is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Nõmme United · 1.16 pts / match - Vaprus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nõmme United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nõmme United
Vaprus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Nõmme United | Liga | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.88 | 3.09 | ▲ 3.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 56% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 88% | 64% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 3% | 23% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 88% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Nõmme United 2 - 0 - 1 Vaprus. Average goals 4.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
When do Nõmme United and Vaprus play?
Nõmme United face Vaprus on 23 October 2026 in Meistriliiga at Männiku staadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme United and Vaprus?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nõmme United won 2, Vaprus won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
Nõmme United score 1.56 goals per game on average and Vaprus 1.31. The Meistriliiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Nõmme United's matches and 66% of Vaprus's.
What form are Nõmme United and Vaprus in?
Over the last 5 games Nõmme United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Vaprus 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
The statistical background for Nõmme United vs Vaprus — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.