Notts County vs Bristol Rovers: match statistics
Notts County vs Bristol Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Notts County play Bristol Rovers in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Notts County: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Bristol Rovers: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Notts County scores 1.59 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Bristol Rovers scores 1.22 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Notts County 53%, Bristol Rovers 46%. Over 2.5: Notts County 55%, Bristol Rovers 52%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Notts County has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.32. Notts County: 11.0 shots per match, Bristol Rovers: 11.6.
Match halves
Notts County: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.88. Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Notts County: 76-90+ (18 goals). Bristol Rovers: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
On paper the favorite is Notts County: they have scored 73 goals this season and average 2.0 goals per home match, whereas Bristol Rovers have 55 goals this season and average 1.09 goals away. Defensively the hosts also look stronger — Notts concede 1.09 goals on average at home, while Bristol concede 1.64 away, so the hosts have an advantage of about 0.55 goals per match. Notts generate better chances: average home xG is 1.48 versus opponents’ 1.08, they average 5.14 shots on target per match with 16% conversion compared to Bristol’s 1.32 xG, 3.59 shots on target and 10% conversion away. However, Bristol are in excellent form — 5 wins in their last 5 matches, 13 goals scored and only 4 conceded in that period, yielding an average of 3.0 points per match, while Notts have 2 wins in their last 5 and 1.2 points per match. Considering Notts’ seasonal edge (59% home win rate and a +20 home goal difference) and Bristol’s current momentum, I predict a home victory, although the visitors have a realistic chance of an upset.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Notts County | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bristol Rovers is 18% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Notts County · 2.6 pts / match - Bristol Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Notts County is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Notts County · 1.22 goals / match - Bristol Rovers
Notts County is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Notts County · 1.41 goals / match - Bristol Rovers
Notts County scores in 82% of matches (40 of 49 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).
Bristol Rovers scores in 67% of matches (31 of 46 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 33% (16 of 49 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Notts County
Over / Under — Bristol Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Notts County is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.49 pts / match - Notts County · 1.2 pts / match - Bristol Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Notts County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bristol Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Notts County
Bristol Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Notts County | Liga | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.57 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 67% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Notts County 1 - 0 - 0 Bristol Rovers. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Notts County vs Bristol Rovers?
The EFL League Two match finished Notts County 1:1 Bristol Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Notts County vs Bristol Rovers?
Notts County score 1.59 goals per game on average and Bristol Rovers 1.22. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Notts County's matches and 46% of Bristol Rovers's.
What form are Notts County and Bristol Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Notts County have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Bristol Rovers 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Notts County vs Bristol Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.