Novara vs Cittadella: match statistics
Novara vs Cittadella: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novara played Cittadella in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Novara: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Cittadella: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novara scores 1.00 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Cittadella scores 1.75 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novara 50%, Cittadella 38%. Over 2.5: Novara 50%, Cittadella 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Cittadella has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.42. Novara: 12.5 shots per match, Cittadella: 15.4.
Match halves
Novara: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.88. Cittadella: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
Novara: 76-90+ (4 goals). Cittadella: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cittadella have won 7 of their 8 matches this season and 4 of their last 5, while Novara have managed just one win in their last five games. The visitors have won all 3 of their away matches so far, whereas the hosts are winless in 4 home games. Cittadella also boast the more effective defence: they concede an average of 0.33 goals away from home and have kept a clean sheet in 67% of matches, while Novara concede 1.75 goals per game at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The visitors create chances worth 1.92 xG per away match, compared with Novara’s 1.35 xG at home, and their average of 4 shots on target is twice the hosts’ tally. These differences give Cittadella a clear edge, although a draw remains possible, as 2 of Novara’s 4 home matches have ended level.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes has occurred in 40% of Novara’s home matches and 33% of Cittadella’s away matches, below the league average of 52%. Both teams keep clean sheets frequently: the hosts in 60% and the visitors in 67% of matches under these conditions, strengthening the case for at least one side to fail to score. Novara may find it particularly difficult to get on the scoresheet, having averaged 0.8 goals over their last 5 matches, while Cittadella have conceded just 0.6. The risk to this pick is the attacking potential of both teams: their average xG is 1.90 and 1.92, and neither side failed to score in the matches analysed. Nevertheless, the clean-sheet data and historical BTTS frequency support BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team will fail to score—not necessarily that the match will finish 0-0.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: none of Novara’s home matches or Cittadella’s away matches so far have gone over this line. Both teams rarely concede in these conditions — Novara average 0.6 goals conceded per match, while Cittadella average 0.33 — limiting the chances of a high-scoring game. However, their attacking potential means a very low goal count cannot be assumed: the hosts average 1.90 xG, and the visitors 1.92 xG. Over their last 5 matches, Cittadella have scored an average of 1.8 goals, compared with 0.8 for Novara, so the 2.40-goal forecast reflects the visitors’ current form advantage. At that projected total, Under 3.5 goals remains a clearer pick than either side of the 2.5-goal line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Cittadella win at full-time. In their last five matches, both teams had failed to score before the break four times, while Cittadella had led at the break only once, pointing to a closely contested opening period. After the break, the visitors have recently averaged 1.6 goals and won the second half in all five of their last matches, whereas Novara have won it only once. Cittadella have won four of their last five matches, compared with just one for Novara, so current form supports a second-half turnaround in the visitors’ favour. Novara’s strong home record—four wins in five matches—is the main risk to this pick, which is why X/2 has only a slight edge over 2/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novara | Cittadella | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cittadella is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Novara · 2.4 pts / match - Cittadella
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cittadella is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Novara · 1.75 goals / match - Cittadella
Cittadella is 150% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Novara · 0.5 goals / match - Cittadella
Novara scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Cittadella keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 matches).
Cittadella scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novara
Over / Under - Cittadella
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cittadella is 361% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.38 pts / match - Novara · 1.75 pts / match - Cittadella
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novara - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cittadella - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 88%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novara
Cittadella
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Novara | Liga | Cittadella | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.25 | 2.28 | • 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 33% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 59% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Novara 0 - 1 - 1 Cittadella. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novara vs Cittadella?
The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 0:2 Cittadella. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Novara and Cittadella?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Novara won 0, Cittadella won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Cittadella?
Novara score 1.00 goals per game on average and Cittadella 1.75. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Novara's matches and 38% of Cittadella's.
What form are Novara and Cittadella in?
Over the last 5 games Novara have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Cittadella 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Cittadella?
The statistical background for Novara vs Cittadella — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.