Novara vs Lumezzane: match statistics
Novara vs Lumezzane: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novara play Lumezzane in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Novara: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Lumezzane: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novara scores 1.05 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Lumezzane scores 1.21 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novara 53%, Lumezzane 53%. Over 2.5: Novara 32%, Lumezzane 37%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Novara has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.36. Novara: 11.6 shots per match, Lumezzane: 9.7.
Match halves
Novara: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.50. Lumezzane: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Novara: 61-75 (9 goals). Lumezzane: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I expect a draw because the statistics point to a strong tendency for shared points: Novara have as many as 53% draws at home, while Lumezzane record 41% draws away. The hosts, however, have the edge in quality of play — Novara’s average home xG is 1.52 versus the visitors’ 1.28 away xG, more shots (12.35 vs 9.53) and more shots on target (4.24 vs 3.47). Novara’s attack scores on average 1.18 goals at home, whereas Lumezzane score 0.88 goals away on average, and Novara finish without a goal less often (29% vs 35%). Defensively, Lumezzane have a higher clean sheet rate on the road (41% vs 29%), but they also concede more expected goals (average xG against 1.67 vs 1.09), which keeps the match at risk of goals. Considering form over the last 5 matches (Novara 1.6 pts/match vs Lumezzane 1.2 pts/match) and the ratios noted above, I assess the probabilities as: draw 45%, home win 35%, away win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novara | Lumezzane | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lumezzane is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Novara · 2.2 pts / match - Lumezzane
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lumezzane is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Novara · 1.21 goals / match - Lumezzane
Novara scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Lumezzane keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
Lumezzane scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Novara
Over / Under — Lumezzane
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lumezzane is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Novara · 1.47 pts / match - Lumezzane
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lumezzane - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novara
Lumezzane
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Novara | Liga | Lumezzane | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.08 | 2.34 | • 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 43% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 30% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | • 66% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▼ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Novara 0 - 1 - 0 Lumezzane. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novara vs Lumezzane?
The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 1:3 Lumezzane. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Lumezzane?
Novara score 1.05 goals per game on average and Lumezzane 1.21. The Serie C Group A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Novara's matches and 53% of Lumezzane's.
What form are Novara and Lumezzane in?
Over the last 5 games Novara have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Lumezzane 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Lumezzane?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.