Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd: match statistics
Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novi Pazar played OFK Beograd in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match was played on 1 August 2026. Venue: Gradski Stadion, Foca. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Novi Pazar: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match. OFK Beograd: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novi Pazar scores 0.50 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. OFK Beograd scores 0.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novi Pazar 0%, OFK Beograd 0%. Over 2.5: Novi Pazar 0%, OFK Beograd 50%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Novi Pazar has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.18. Novi Pazar: 16.5 shots per match, OFK Beograd: 9.0.
Match halves
Novi Pazar: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00. OFK Beograd: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Novi Pazar: 31-45+ (1 goals). OFK Beograd: 0-15 (0 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Novi Pazar has a clear home advantage: 100% wins and 100% clean sheets at home (1/1), averaging 13 shots and 5 shots on target per match and an average xG of 1.66 translating to 1.0 goal per home game. OFK Beograd performs very poorly away — 0 wins, 0 goals scored away (0.0 goals on average), only 4 shots and 1 shot on target per match and xG 0.53, with 100% of away matches without scoring. Defensively the hosts have a clear edge: Novi Pazar concedes 0 goals per match at home on average, while OFK concedes 4 goals on average away; in the last 5 fixtures the hosts scored 5 goals (record 2-2-1), whereas the visitors have 4 goals and only 1 win. Despite lower possession (33% vs 54%), the hosts create significantly more quality chances (5 shots on target vs 1) and have higher shooting efficiency (8% vs 0%), giving them a real offensive advantage. Considering these numbers, I tip a home win, though note that Novi Pazar has conceded 6 goals in the last 5 matches, which leaves some risk from visitors' counterattacks.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Novi Pazar has a clear offensive advantage: 1.82 xG, 14 shots and 7 on target per match on average, while OFK Beograd only posts 0.53 xG, 4 shots and 1 on target; this strongly suggests the hosts will score. OFK’s season-long attack is weak (0.53 xG and 1 on target), although over the last 5 matches it improved to 1.15 xG and 0.8 goals (4 goals in 5), giving them a limited chance to find the net. Novi Pazar’s defense has conceded 1.2 goals on average in the last 5 (6 goals total), and seasonly opponents generate 1.01 xG against them, yet season stats show 0% BTTS for both teams and the league has only 38% of matches with Goal/Goal and 77% of matches ending in a clean sheet, which lowers the probability of both teams scoring. Considering the hosts’ dominance in chance creation (1.82 vs 0.53 xG and 7 vs 1 shots on target), OFK’s limited effectiveness and the league trend toward clean sheets, I back No Goal with a probability of 65% and BTTS - Yes at 35%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model estimates expected goals of 1.71 for Novi Pazar and 0.77 for OFK Beograd, yielding a combined xG = 2.48. Novi Pazar averages 14 shots and 7 shots on target per match versus 4 shots and 1 on target for the visitors; their attacking xG is 1.82 compared to just 0.53 for the visitors, while the away defense concedes on average 1.60 xG. In the last 5 matches both teams recorded 60% of games with over 2.5 goals, and the league average is 2.62 goals per match, so the signal for a goal-heavy game is moderate. Converting the total xG 2.48 into a probability distribution gives roughly 71% chance of Over 1.5, 45% for Over 2.5 and 24% for Over 3.5. The strongest signal is therefore a bet on Over 1.5, since the high home xG, an average of 7 shots on target and the resulting 71% probability provide a clear edge, while Over 2.5 remains more balanced (45%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Novi Pazar has a clear offensive edge: xG 1.82 versus 0.53 for OFK Beograd, and on average 14 shots and 7 on target per match compared to 4 shots and 1 on target for the visitors. OFK Beograd concedes an average of 4.0 goals per match this season and as many as 4.0 goals in second halves, which indicates significant defensive vulnerability after the break. At half-time the stats are similar (an average of 0.8 goals at the break for both teams), and the home side have led at the break in 40% of their last five matches versus 20% for the visitors, so a draw at the break is likely. Considering the xG advantage and shot volume (14 vs 4) and the visitors’ tendency to concede after half-time, the most probable scenario is a draw at half-time and a Novi Pazar win after 90 minutes. Therefore I assign X/1 the highest probability at 38%, 1/1 I rate at 22%, and the combined chances of a visitor win at around 12%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novi Pazar | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.08 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Novi Pazar is 300% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Novi Pazar · 0.5 pts / match - OFK Beograd
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novi Pazar scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while OFK Beograd keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
OFK Beograd scores in 0% of matches (0 of 2 matches), while Novi Pazar keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Novi Pazar
Over / Under — OFK Beograd
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novi Pazar is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Novi Pazar · 1 pts / match - OFK Beograd
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novi Pazar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
OFK Beograd - second-half results
Concedes 2.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goli). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Novi Pazar | Liga | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 0.50 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 38% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 100% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 0% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Novi Pazar 2 - 0 - 1 OFK Beograd. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
The SuperLiga match finished Novi Pazar 1:4 OFK Beograd. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Novi Pazar and OFK Beograd?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Novi Pazar won 2, OFK Beograd won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
Novi Pazar score 0.50 goals per game on average and OFK Beograd 0.00. The SuperLiga average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Novi Pazar's matches and 0% of OFK Beograd's.
What form are Novi Pazar and OFK Beograd in?
Over the last 5 games Novi Pazar have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and OFK Beograd 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.