Brazil - Serie BEstádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de BiasiData current as of 21 September 2026

Novorizontino vs São Bernardo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Novorizontino vs São Bernardo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Novorizontino play São Bernardo in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 25 September 2026. Venue: Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.

Current form

Novorizontino: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. São Bernardo: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Novorizontino scores 1.69 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. São Bernardo scores 1.38 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Novorizontino 55%, São Bernardo 59%. Over 2.5: Novorizontino 59%, São Bernardo 45%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Novorizontino has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.35. Novorizontino: 15.7 shots per match, São Bernardo: 12.6.

Match halves

Novorizontino: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.00. São Bernardo: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.86.

Goals by minute

Novorizontino: 76-90+ (14 goals). São Bernardo: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.56)
(3.94)
(5.40)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
1.69Goals scored / match1.38
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
0.93Goals conceded / match1.07
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
49%Average possession50%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
5.41Shots on target / match4.52
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.66Shots per match12.55
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
5.41Shots on target4.52
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
10.8%Shot conversion11%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
49%Possession50%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
1.7xG for1.35
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
1.18xG against1.6
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo

Shooting quality

Novorizontino: AttackingSão Bernardo: Balanced
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
Accuracy (shots on target)35%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Novorizontino is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Novorizontino · 1.8 pts / match - São Bernardo

Novorizontino
WWWDL
Season result split
48% W28% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-8-7
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.17Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
São Bernardo
LWLWW
Season result split
38% W28% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-8-10
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-2-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Novorizontino is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.69 goals / match - Novorizontino · 1.38 goals / match - São Bernardo

Novorizontino is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.93 goals / match - Novorizontino · 1.07 goals / match - São Bernardo

Novorizontino scoring profile: very strong

Novorizontino scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while São Bernardo keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).

São Bernardo scoring profile: very strong

São Bernardo scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).

49Goals scored (season)40
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
27Goals conceded (season)31
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
2.62Average goals in match2.45
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
10Goals scored (last 5)7
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal83%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
52%2 goals34%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
31%3 goals21%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
10%4 goals0%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal72%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
17%2 goals28%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
7%3 goals3%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
0%4 goals3%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time24%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
0%BTTS in both halves3%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
38%Scored in both halves21%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
100%BTTS - last 540%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time28%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Novorizontino is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / match - Novorizontino · 1.21 pts / match - São Bernardo

Novorizontino - half-time state
31% leading59% draw10% trailing
São Bernardo - half-time state
21% leading59% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per match (1st half)1.21
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.52
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
0.41Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
1.1Average goals (1st half)1
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
59%Clean sheet before half-time55%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
45%No goal before half-time55%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.76Points per match (2nd half)1.55
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
1.52Average goals (2nd half)1.45
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
62%Clean sheet after half-time52%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
41%No goal after half-time41%
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo

Novorizontino - second-half results

48% W31% D21% L
44
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding155%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

São Bernardo - second-half results

41% W31% D28% L
35
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding181%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Novorizontino - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match1.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7
São Bernardo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Novorizontino
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
4
8
16-30
11
3
31-45
6
5
46-60
9
2
61-75
14
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

São Bernardo
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
6
5
16-30
5
2
31-45
9
2
46-60
3
9
61-75
13
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Novorizontino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

São Bernardo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
137%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

NovorizontinoLigaSão Bernardo
Average goals in match 2.622.34 2.45
Both teams scored 55%49% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%43% 45%
Clean sheets 31%30% 28%
Goal before half-time 66%67% 66%
Goal after half-time 76%75% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Novorizontino 0 - 1 - 0 São Bernardo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Novorizontino and São Bernardo play?

Novorizontino face São Bernardo on 25 September 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?

Novorizontino score 1.69 goals per game on average and São Bernardo 1.38. The Serie B average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Novorizontino's matches and 59% of São Bernardo's.

What form are Novorizontino and São Bernardo in?

Over the last 5 games Novorizontino have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and São Bernardo 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Novorizontino vs São Bernardo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.