Italy - Serie C Group BStadio ComunaleData current as of 15 October 2026

Nuova Monterosi vs Forlì: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nuova Monterosi vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nuova Monterosi play Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale.

Current form

Nuova Monterosi: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Forlì: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nuova Monterosi scores 1.22 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Forlì scores 1.56 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.50 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nuova Monterosi 67%, Forlì 78%. Over 2.5: Nuova Monterosi 33%, Forlì 33%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Nuova Monterosi has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.54. Nuova Monterosi: 13.2 shots per match, Forlì: 12.7.

Match halves

Nuova Monterosi: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.89. Forlì: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.89.

Goals by minute

Nuova Monterosi: 76-90+ (5 goals). Forlì: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Nuova MonterosiForlì
1.22Goals scored / match1.56
Nuova MonterosiForlì
0.89Goals conceded / match1.44
Nuova MonterosiForlì
52%Average possession48%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
4.22Shots on target / match4.33
Nuova MonterosiForlì

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.22Shots per match12.67
Nuova MonterosiForlì
4.22Shots on target4.33
Nuova MonterosiForlì
9.2%Shot conversion12.3%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
52%Possession48%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
1.59xG for1.54
Nuova MonterosiForlì
1.67xG against1.52
Nuova MonterosiForlì

Shooting quality

Nuova Monterosi: BalancedForlì: Balanced
Nuova MonterosiForlì
Accuracy (shots on target)32%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nuova Monterosi is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Nuova Monterosi · 0.8 pts / match - Forlì

Nuova Monterosi
DDLWD
Season result split
33% W44% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-2
1.44 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.99BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 20%
Forlì
DDDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
22% W56% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-5-2
1.22 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-4-1
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forlì is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

1.22 goals / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1.56 goals / match - Forlì

Nuova Monterosi is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.89 goals / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1.44 goals / match - Forlì

Nuova Monterosi scoring profile: very strong

Nuova Monterosi scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).

Forlì scoring profile: very strong

Forlì scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Nuova Monterosi keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

11Goals scored (season)14
Nuova MonterosiForlì
8Goals conceded (season)13
Nuova MonterosiForlì
2.11Average goals in match3
Nuova MonterosiForlì
5Goals scored (last 5)4
Nuova MonterosiForlì
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
Nuova MonterosiForlì

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal78%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
11%2 goals33%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
11%3 goals11%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
0%4 goals11%
Nuova MonterosiForlì

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal100%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
22%2 goals33%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
0%3 goals11%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
0%4 goals0%
Nuova MonterosiForlì

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time44%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
0%BTTS in both halves22%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
11%Scored in both halves33%
Nuova MonterosiForlì

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
80%BTTS - last 580%
Nuova MonterosiForlì

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time56%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Nuova MonterosiForlì

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Nuova MonterosiForlì

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nuova Monterosi - half-time state
11% leading44% draw44% trailing
Forlì - half-time state
11% leading44% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.78Points per match (1st half)0.78
Nuova MonterosiForlì
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.67
Nuova MonterosiForlì
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)1
Nuova MonterosiForlì
1Average goals (1st half)1.67
Nuova MonterosiForlì
44%Clean sheet before half-time11%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
67%No goal before half-time56%
Nuova MonterosiForlì

After half-time (2nd half)

2.11Points per match (2nd half)1.89
Nuova MonterosiForlì
0.89Goals scored (2nd half)0.89
Nuova MonterosiForlì
0.22Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
Nuova MonterosiForlì
1.11Average goals (2nd half)1.33
Nuova MonterosiForlì
78%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Nuova MonterosiForlì
22%No goal after half-time33%
Nuova MonterosiForlì

Nuova Monterosi - second-half results

56% W44% D0% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Forlì - second-half results

44% W56% D0% L
7
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nuova Monterosi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.402.20
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-3+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Forlì - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.80
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-3+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nuova Monterosi
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
3
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Forlì
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
0
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
78%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nuova Monterosi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.78
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
45% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
45%

Forlì

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
142%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

Nuova MonterosiLigaForlì
Average goals in match▼ 2.112.50▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 67%57%▲ 78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%44%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 33%26%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%70%▲ 89%
Goal after half-time▲ 78%73%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.50
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Nuova Monterosi 0 - 1 - 1 Forlì. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Nuova Monterosi
2 : 2
Forlì
Forlì
1 : 0
Nuova Monterosi

FAQ

When do Nuova Monterosi and Forlì play?

Nuova Monterosi face Forlì on 17 October 2026 in Serie C Group B at Stadio Comunale. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nuova Monterosi and Forlì?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nuova Monterosi won 0, Forlì won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nuova Monterosi vs Forlì?

Nuova Monterosi score 1.22 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.56. The Serie C Group B average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Nuova Monterosi's matches and 78% of Forlì's.

What form are Nuova Monterosi and Forlì in?

Over the last 5 games Nuova Monterosi have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Forlì 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nuova Monterosi vs Forlì?

The statistical background for Nuova Monterosi vs Forlì — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.