Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nuova Monterosi play Livorno in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 21 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale.
Current form
Nuova Monterosi: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Livorno: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nuova Monterosi scores 1.40 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Livorno scores 1.20 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nuova Monterosi 60%, Livorno 40%. Over 2.5: Nuova Monterosi 40%, Livorno 40%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Nuova Monterosi has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.37. Nuova Monterosi: 11.6 shots per match, Livorno: 11.4.
Match halves
Nuova Monterosi: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00. Livorno: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Nuova Monterosi: 76-90+ (3 goals). Livorno: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nuova Monterosi | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Livorno is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Nuova Monterosi · 2 pts / match - Livorno
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nuova Monterosi is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1.2 goals / match - Livorno
Nuova Monterosi is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1 goals / match - Livorno
Nuova Monterosi scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Livorno scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Nuova Monterosi keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nuova Monterosi
Over / Under - Livorno
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nuova Monterosi is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Nuova Monterosi · 0.8 pts / match - Livorno
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nuova Monterosi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Livorno - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nuova Monterosi
Livorno
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Nuova Monterosi | Liga | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 26% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 70% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nuova Monterosi 1 - 0 - 1 Livorno. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Nuova Monterosi and Livorno play?
Nuova Monterosi face Livorno on 21 September 2026 in Serie C Group B at Stadio Comunale. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nuova Monterosi and Livorno?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nuova Monterosi won 1, Livorno won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno?
Nuova Monterosi score 1.40 goals per game on average and Livorno 1.20. The Serie C Group B average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Nuova Monterosi's matches and 40% of Livorno's.
What form are Nuova Monterosi and Livorno in?
Over the last 5 games Nuova Monterosi have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Livorno 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno?
The statistical background for Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


