Italy - Serie C Group BStadio ComunaleData current as of 18 September 2026

Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nuova Monterosi play Livorno in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 21 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale.

Current form

Nuova Monterosi: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Livorno: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nuova Monterosi scores 1.40 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Livorno scores 1.20 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nuova Monterosi 60%, Livorno 40%. Over 2.5: Nuova Monterosi 40%, Livorno 40%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Nuova Monterosi has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.37. Nuova Monterosi: 11.6 shots per match, Livorno: 11.4.

Match halves

Nuova Monterosi: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00. Livorno: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Nuova Monterosi: 76-90+ (3 goals). Livorno: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Nuova MonterosiLivorno
1.4Goals scored / match1.2
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
0.8Goals conceded / match1
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
55%Average possession48%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
3.6Shots on target / match4.8
Nuova MonterosiLivorno

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.6Shots per match11.4
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
3.6Shots on target4.8
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
12.1%Shot conversion10.5%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
55%Possession48%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
1.45xG for1.37
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
1.41xG against1.31
Nuova MonterosiLivorno

Shooting quality

Nuova Monterosi: BalancedLivorno: Balanced
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
Accuracy (shots on target)31%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Livorno is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Nuova Monterosi · 2 pts / match - Livorno

Nuova Monterosi
WLWDD
Season result split
40% W40% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Livorno
WDWLW
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nuova Monterosi is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

1.4 goals / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1.2 goals / match - Livorno

Nuova Monterosi is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.8 goals / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1 goals / match - Livorno

Nuova Monterosi scoring profile: very strong

Nuova Monterosi scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

Livorno scoring profile: mixed

Livorno scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Nuova Monterosi keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

7Goals scored (season)6
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
4Goals conceded (season)5
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
2.2Average goals in match2.2
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
7Goals scored (last 5)6
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
Nuova MonterosiLivorno

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal60%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
20%2 goals40%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
20%3 goals20%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
0%4 goals0%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal60%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
20%2 goals40%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
0%3 goals0%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
0%4 goals0%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time40%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
20%Scored in both halves40%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
60%BTTS - last 540%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time40%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nuova Monterosi is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Nuova Monterosi · 0.8 pts / match - Livorno

Nuova Monterosi - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
Livorno - half-time state
0% leading80% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.8
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
1Average goals (1st half)1
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
40%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
60%No goal before half-time60%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno

After half-time (2nd half)

2.2Points per match (2nd half)2
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
0.2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.2
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
80%Clean sheet after half-time80%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno
20%No goal after half-time40%
Nuova MonterosiLivorno

Nuova Monterosi - second-half results

60% W40% D0% L
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Livorno - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nuova Monterosi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.20
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Livorno - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nuova Monterosi
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Livorno
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.20
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
83%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-32%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nuova Monterosi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.61
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

Livorno

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

Nuova MonterosiLigaLivorno
Average goals in match 2.202.64 2.20
Both teams scored 60%58% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%52% 40%
Clean sheets 40%26% 40%
Goal before half-time 80%70% 40%
Goal after half-time 80%74% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+32%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Nuova Monterosi 1 - 0 - 1 Livorno. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Nuova Monterosi
0 : 2
Livorno
Livorno
0 : 1
Nuova Monterosi

FAQ

When do Nuova Monterosi and Livorno play?

Nuova Monterosi face Livorno on 21 September 2026 in Serie C Group B at Stadio Comunale. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nuova Monterosi and Livorno?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nuova Monterosi won 1, Livorno won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno?

Nuova Monterosi score 1.40 goals per game on average and Livorno 1.20. The Serie C Group B average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Nuova Monterosi's matches and 40% of Livorno's.

What form are Nuova Monterosi and Livorno in?

Over the last 5 games Nuova Monterosi have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Livorno 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno?

The statistical background for Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.