United States - USL League OneMCU ParkData current as of 16 October 2026

NY Cosmos vs One Knoxville: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

NY Cosmos vs One Knoxville: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

NY Cosmos play One Knoxville in USL League One (United States). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: MCU Park.

Current form

NY Cosmos: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. One Knoxville: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

NY Cosmos scores 1.24 and concedes 2.03 goals per match. One Knoxville scores 1.58 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.99 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: NY Cosmos 66%, One Knoxville 65%. Over 2.5: NY Cosmos 76%, One Knoxville 65%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

One Knoxville has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.52. NY Cosmos: 12.4 shots per match, One Knoxville: 14.0.

Match halves

NY Cosmos: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.86. One Knoxville: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.90.

Goals by minute

NY Cosmos: 76-90+ (12 goals). One Knoxville: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL League One: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

NY CosmosOne Knoxville
1.24Goals scored / match1.58
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
2.03Goals conceded / match1.16
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
47%Average possession54%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
4.17Shots on target / match5.1
NY CosmosOne Knoxville

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.41Shots per match13.97
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
4.17Shots on target5.1
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
10%Shot conversion11.3%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
47%Possession54%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
1.52xG for1.66
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
1.63xG against1.44
NY CosmosOne Knoxville

Shooting quality

NY Cosmos: BalancedOne Knoxville: Balanced
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
Accuracy (shots on target)34%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

One Knoxville is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - NY Cosmos · 0.8 pts / match - One Knoxville

NY Cosmos
LLWLL
Season result split
24% W14% D62% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-18
0.86 pts / match · goal difference -23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-6
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
One Knoxville
LDLWL
Season result split
45% W29% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-9-8
1.65 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-4-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

One Knoxville is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.24 goals / match - NY Cosmos · 1.58 goals / match - One Knoxville

One Knoxville is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.03 goals / match - NY Cosmos · 1.16 goals / match - One Knoxville

NY Cosmos scoring profile: very strong

NY Cosmos scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while One Knoxville keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).

One Knoxville scoring profile: very strong

One Knoxville scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while NY Cosmos keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).

36Goals scored (season)49
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
59Goals conceded (season)36
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
3.28Average goals in match2.74
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
6Goals scored (last 5)6
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
11Goals conceded (last 5)7
NY CosmosOne Knoxville

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal81%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
28%2 goals55%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
14%3 goals19%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
3%4 goals3%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal71%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
79%2 goals35%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
38%3 goals10%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
3%4 goals0%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time29%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
10%BTTS in both halves3%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
24%Scored in both halves26%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville

BTTS and goal count

62%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
80%BTTS - last 540%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

72%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
66%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
28%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

One Knoxville is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.79 pts / match - NY Cosmos · 1.23 pts / match - One Knoxville

NY Cosmos - half-time state
14% leading38% draw48% trailing
One Knoxville - half-time state
19% leading65% draw16% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.79Points per match (1st half)1.23
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.65
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.16
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
38%Clean sheet before half-time58%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
72%No goal before half-time58%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville

After half-time (2nd half)

1.21Points per match (2nd half)1.61
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
1.03Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
1.9Average goals (2nd half)1.45
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
34%Clean sheet after half-time48%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville
24%No goal after half-time39%
NY CosmosOne Knoxville

NY Cosmos - second-half results

28% W38% D34% L
23
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-18
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

One Knoxville - second-half results

42% W35% D23% L
38
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding237%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

NY Cosmos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.8
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-50
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
One Knoxville - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

NY Cosmos
ScoredConceded
2
8
0-15
5
8
16-30
4
13
31-45
10
12
46-60
3
8
61-75
12
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

One Knoxville
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
8
7
16-30
7
5
31-45
10
3
46-60
5
9
61-75
13
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

NY Cosmos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
165%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

One Knoxville

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.85
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).

Teams vs league

NY CosmosLigaOne Knoxville
Average goals in match▲ 3.282.99▼ 2.74
Both teams scored▲ 66%60%▲ 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 76%60%▲ 65%
Clean sheets▼ 17%23%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▼ 72%75%▼ 55%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%81%• 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.99
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+43%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: NY Cosmos 0 - 0 - 1 One Knoxville. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do NY Cosmos and One Knoxville play?

NY Cosmos face One Knoxville on 17 October 2026 in USL League One at MCU Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before NY Cosmos vs One Knoxville?

NY Cosmos score 1.24 goals per game on average and One Knoxville 1.58. The USL League One average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 66% of NY Cosmos's matches and 65% of One Knoxville's.

What form are NY Cosmos and One Knoxville in?

Over the last 5 games NY Cosmos have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and One Knoxville 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NY Cosmos vs One Knoxville?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for NY Cosmos vs One Knoxville: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.