Olimpia Elbląg vs Mławianka Mława: match statistics
Olimpia Elbląg vs Mławianka Mława: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Olimpia Elbląg played Mławianka Mława in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadion MOSiR. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Olimpia Elbląg: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Mławianka Mława: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Olimpia Elbląg scores 1.45 and concedes 1.82 goals per match. Mławianka Mława scores 2.00 and concedes 2.91. League average: 3.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Olimpia Elbląg 73%, Mławianka Mława 73%. Over 2.5: Olimpia Elbląg 73%, Mławianka Mława 73%. League level: BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Mławianka Mława has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.57. Olimpia Elbląg: 10.7 shots per match, Mławianka Mława: 13.3.
Match halves
Olimpia Elbląg: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.55. Mławianka Mława: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 1.27.
Goals by minute
Olimpia Elbląg: 0-15 (5 goals). Mławianka Mława: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.60 goals per match, BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Olimpia Elbląg have a slight edge thanks to home advantage and their opponents’ defensive frailties: Mławianka Mława concede an average of 3.5 goals per away game, while the hosts score 1.33 at home. However, the visitors are more dangerous in attack, averaging 2.33 goals away from home against 1.94 xG, and have scored 14 goals in their last five matches compared with Olimpia’s 6. Their attacking threat is offset by defensive problems: they have conceded 17 goals across those same five games, while the hosts have conceded 8. Both teams have won 2 of their last 5 matches, but Mławianka’s away goal difference stands at minus 7, and Olimpia have lost 67% of their home games. Therefore, a home win is the most likely outcome, although the visitors’ attacking efficiency makes this far from a confident pick.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 60% of Olimpia Elbląg matches and 83% of Mławianka Mława matches; over their last 5 appearances, the figures were 60% and 80%, respectively. Olimpia concede an average of 2.2 goals per match and have yet to keep a clean sheet, which bodes well for the visitors, who score an average of 2.33 goals. On the other hand, Mławianka concede as many as 3.5 goals per match, or 3.4 over their last 5 matches, giving the hosts a clear chance to find the net as well. The teams’ average xG figures—1.86 for Olimpia and 1.94 for Mławianka—further support the prospect of both sides scoring. The risk with this pick is that Olimpia have failed to score in 40% of their matches; however, the visitors’ defensive struggles point towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Mławianka concede an average of 3.5 goals per match and have conceded 3.4 in their last five games, giving Olimpia—who average 1.6 goals—a clear opportunity to find the net. The visitors also carry attacking threat: they score an average of 2.33 goals, while Olimpia concede 2.2 and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their matches. Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of Olimpia’s and 80% of Mławianka’s last five games, giving higher lines a strong statistical basis as well. The strongest signal, however, is Over 1.5 goals: this line landed in 80% and 83% of the teams’ matches, respectively, while the projected total of 4.4 goals provides a substantial margin over it.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Olimpia led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Mławianka conceded an average of 0.8 goals before half-time over that period, which supports the prospect of the home side leading at the break. Their chances of holding on to that lead are boosted by the visitors’ poor defence: they concede an average of 3.5 goals per match this season and 3.4 across their last five games. In addition, Olimpia’s average xG is 1.86, while their opponents allow chances worth 2.03 xG per match. However, the 1/1 HT/FT pick is not without risk, as Mławianka score an average of 2.33 goals and have netted 1.4 goals after half-time in their last five matches, compared with just 0.2 for Olimpia. Despite this, Olimpia’s recent tendency to lead at the break, combined with the high number of goals conceded by the visitors, makes 1/1 the most likely single scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Olimpia Elbląg | Mławianka Mława | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mławianka Mława is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg · 2 goals / match - Mławianka Mława
Olimpia Elbląg is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.82 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg · 2.91 goals / match - Mławianka Mława
Olimpia Elbląg scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Mławianka Mława keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
Mławianka Mława scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Olimpia Elbląg keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Olimpia Elbląg
Over / Under - Mławianka Mława
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olimpia Elbląg is 73% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - Olimpia Elbląg · 1 pts / match - Mławianka Mława
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olimpia Elbląg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 36%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mławianka Mława - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 4.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Olimpia Elbląg
Mławianka Mława
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Olimpia Elbląg | Liga | Mławianka Mława | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.27 | 3.60 | ▲ 4.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 65% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 18% | 16% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 82% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Olimpia ElblągGoalTomasz Kaczmarek
- Mławianka MławaGoalMateusz Stryjewski
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Olimpia Elbląg 0 - 1 - 1 Mławianka Mława. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Olimpia Elbląg vs Mławianka Mława?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Olimpia Elbląg 2:1 Mławianka Mława. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Olimpia Elbląg and Mławianka Mława?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Olimpia Elbląg won 0, Mławianka Mława won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Olimpia Elbląg vs Mławianka Mława?
Olimpia Elbląg score 1.45 goals per game on average and Mławianka Mława 2.00. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Olimpia Elbląg's matches and 73% of Mławianka Mława's.
What form are Olimpia Elbląg and Mławianka Mława in?
Over the last 5 games Olimpia Elbląg have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Mławianka Mława 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olimpia Elbląg vs Mławianka Mława?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.