Olympique Marseille vs Paris: match statistics
Olympique Marseille vs Paris: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Olympique Marseille played Paris in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 6 September 2026. Venue: Stade Vélodrome. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Olympique Marseille: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match. Paris: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Olympique Marseille scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Paris scores 1.50 and concedes 0.00. League average: 3.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Olympique Marseille 0%, Paris 0%. Over 2.5: Olympique Marseille 50%, Paris 50%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Olympique Marseille has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.18. Olympique Marseille: 13.5 shots per match, Paris: 12.5.
Match halves
Olympique Marseille: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 2.00. Paris: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Olympique Marseille: 76-90+ (2 goals). Paris: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Olympique Marseille have clearly superior home numbers: they won their only match so far, scoring 4 goals and conceding none. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.86 xG while allowing opponents just 0.70 xG, and they also average 14 shots per match, including 8 on target. Paris drew their only away match 0:0, failing to score despite averaging 10 attempts, while their attacking xG stands at just 0.87. Current form also favors Marseille, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 11 goals in that run, whereas Paris have lost 2 of their 5 matches and conceded 9 goals. The visitors’ solid defense could increase the likelihood of a draw, but the hosts’ advantage in chance quality, finishing efficiency, and home-field advantage points to a 1 result.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Paris have not yet scored in the available season data, with a shot-conversion rate of 0% and just 1 shot on target per match. Marseille have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their home matches, while Paris’s average away xG is only 0.87. The hosts are clearly more dangerous in attack, however, creating an average of 1.49 xG and registering 4 shots on target per match, making a Marseille goal without a reply a realistic scenario. In the last five matches, BTTS occurred for both teams in 40% of cases, below the league average of 56%, while Marseille conceded an average of just 1.0 goal. Paris’s improved recent attacking form, averaging 1.4 goals across five matches, reduces confidence in the pick but does not outweigh their weak away data and the hosts’ solid defence.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Marseille have averaged 2.2 goals scored over their last five matches, while Paris have conceded 1.8 goals per game during that period, clearly strengthening the case for at least two goals. The hosts created an average of 1.98 xG, whereas the visitors’ average xG conceded stood at 1.42, making their attacking projection the strongest component of the model. Paris have recently scored 1.4 goals per game, but their xG was only 0.99, while Marseille allowed opponents just 0.83 xG, limiting the chances of a very high-scoring game. Nevertheless, Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of the teams’ last five matches, and the league average is 3.0 goals, making Over 1.5 the safest line with a clear edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Marseille have clearly been in better form across their last five matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Paris have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The hosts won 60% of those games, compared with just 20% victories for the visitors, reinforcing the scenario of a Marseille win at full time. In the first halves, Marseille averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while Paris recorded averages of 0.75 goals scored and conceded, so a home lead at the break is not entirely certain. Although Paris led at half-time in 50% of their last five matches, their weaker second-half defence, conceding an average of 1.0 goal, favours Marseille maintaining or building its advantage after the interval. The strongest single HT/FT outcome therefore remains Marseille leading at half-time and winning at full time: 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Olympique Marseille | Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 20% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paris is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Olympique Marseille · 2 pts / match - Paris
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olympique Marseille is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Olympique Marseille · 1.5 goals / match - Paris
Olympique Marseille scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Paris keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 matches).
Paris scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Olympique Marseille keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Olympique Marseille
Over / Under - Paris
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paris is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Olympique Marseille · 2 pts / match - Paris
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Olympique Marseille - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Olympique Marseille
Paris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Olympique Marseille | Liga | Paris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 3.04 | ▼ 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 62% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 23% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 73% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Olympique Marseille 1 - 1 - 0 Paris. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Olympique Marseille vs Paris?
The Ligue 1 match finished Olympique Marseille 2:3 Paris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Olympique Marseille and Paris?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Olympique Marseille won 1, Paris won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Olympique Marseille vs Paris?
Olympique Marseille score 2.00 goals per game on average and Paris 1.50. The Ligue 1 average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Olympique Marseille's matches and 0% of Paris's.
What form are Olympique Marseille and Paris in?
Over the last 5 games Olympique Marseille have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Paris 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Olympique Marseille vs Paris?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Olympique Marseille vs Paris: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.