Omonia Nicosia vs Paphos: match statistics
Omonia Nicosia vs Paphos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Omonia Nicosia played Paphos in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Omonia Nicosia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Paphos: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Omonia Nicosia scores 2.41 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. Paphos scores 2.00 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Omonia Nicosia 37%, Paphos 44%. Over 2.5: Omonia Nicosia 59%, Paphos 56%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Omonia Nicosia has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.52. Omonia Nicosia: 13.9 shots per match, Paphos: 11.7.
Match halves
Omonia Nicosia: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 1.26. Paphos: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
Omonia Nicosia: 76-90+ (14 goals). Paphos: 76-90+ (21 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Omonia is the favorite — they lead the table with 19 wins and a 65–19 goal record this season. At home the hosts average 2.46 goals scored and concede only 0.38 per game, with a 77% win rate and 69% clean sheets, indicating an exceptionally tight defense. Paphos have strong recent form over the last 5 matches (14 goals and an average of 1.8 points per game), but away they average 1.77 goals scored and concede 1.15, maintaining only a 38% clean sheet rate. The quality of chances favors Omonia: 6.23 shots on target and xG 1.87 at home versus 4.92 shots on target and xG 1.47 for Paphos on the road. Considering Omonia’s unbeaten home record, better conversion rate (17% vs 16%) and superiority in defense and chance creation, I give the hosts the higher probability, although a draw or an away win for the visitors cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favor No BTTS: I assess the probability that both teams will not score at 65% vs 35% for BTTS. Omonia concedes only 0.71 goals per home match and has 57% clean sheets, while their season BTTS rate is only 36%, strongly favoring a clean sheet expected. Paphos away has 54% BTTS and scores 1.77 goals on average away; their xG of 1.47 versus Omonia’s xG against 1.24 shows the visitors create chances but will face a strong defense. Both teams have similar creation metrics (1.57 vs 1.47 xG and 4.71 vs 4.92 shots on target), yet Omonia converts better (18% vs 16%) and has 28% of matches over2.5 without BTTS, which further supports the No Goal scenario. Although Paphos averages 2.8 goals and concedes 0.6 in the last 5 matches, the season-long clean sheet rates for Omonia and the lower home BTTS for the hosts give a stronger signal for both teams not to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.54 goals for Omonia and 1.30 for Paphos (total 2.84), calculated as an average of two methods: xG (Omonia (1.57+1.23)/2 = 1.40; Paphos (1.47+1.24)/2 = 1.36) and season goals conceded comparison (Omonia (2.21+1.15)/2 = 1.68; Paphos (1.77+0.71)/2 = 1.24). Season-long data strongly support Over 1.5: Omonia has Over1.5 in 79% of matches, Paphos in 85% (avg 82%), and over 0.5 occurs in 93%/100% of games, so scoreless matches are rare. The 2.5 line holds only a moderate edge — season Over2.5 is 57% for Omonia and 54% for Paphos, and the last 5 matches show Over2.5 around 60%, so Over2.5 is possible but less certain. Over 3.5 looks unlikely (season 29%/31% ≈ 30%) and with Omonia’s 57% clean sheets it’s prudent to stick to lower lines; therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Omonia holds advantages in key metrics: on average 2.21 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per match versus Paphos’s 1.77 scored and 1.15 conceded, and xG of 1.57 vs 1.47 confirms a slight home edge. In first halves the hosts led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and in those fixtures they averaged 1.8 goals by half-time compared to 1.2 for the visitors, which strongly supports Omonia leading after 45 minutes. Additionally, Omonia have kept a clean sheet at half-time in 71% of matches and average 12.36 shots per game with an 18% conversion rate (versus 11.0 shots and 16% for Paphos), increasing the likelihood of maintaining the lead and turning it into a full-time victory. The visitors, however, have seen both teams score in 54% of their matches, so a Paphos goal and draw scenarios are plausible; nonetheless the strongest signal is a Half-Time/Full-Time outcome of home lead at the break and home win (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Omonia Nicosia | Paphos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paphos is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Omonia Nicosia · 1.8 pts / match - Paphos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Omonia Nicosia is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
2.41 goals / match - Omonia Nicosia · 2 goals / match - Paphos
Omonia Nicosia is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.7 goals / match - Omonia Nicosia · 0.93 goals / match - Paphos
Omonia Nicosia scores in 89% of matches (24 of 27 matches), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 48% (13 of 27 matches).
Paphos scores in 89% of matches (24 of 27 matches), while Omonia Nicosia keeps a clean sheet in 56% (15 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Omonia Nicosia
Over / Under - Paphos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Omonia Nicosia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paphos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +7 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Omonia Nicosia
Paphos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Omonia Nicosia | Liga | Paphos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.11 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 41% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 32% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 73% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Omonia Nicosia 2 - 0 - 0 Paphos. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Omonia Nicosia vs Paphos?
The First Division match finished Omonia Nicosia 2:0 Paphos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Omonia Nicosia and Paphos?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Omonia Nicosia won 2, Paphos won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Omonia Nicosia vs Paphos?
Omonia Nicosia score 2.41 goals per game on average and Paphos 2.00. The First Division average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Omonia Nicosia's matches and 44% of Paphos's.
What form are Omonia Nicosia and Paphos in?
Over the last 5 games Omonia Nicosia have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Paphos 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Omonia Nicosia vs Paphos?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Omonia Nicosia vs Paphos: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.