Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio PalograndeData current as of 22 September 2026

Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Once Caldas play Atlético Bucaramanga in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Palogrande.

Current form

Once Caldas: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Atlético Bucaramanga: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Once Caldas scores 1.48 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Atlético Bucaramanga scores 1.43 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Once Caldas 71%, Atlético Bucaramanga 54%. Over 2.5: Once Caldas 45%, Atlético Bucaramanga 46%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Once Caldas has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.35. Once Caldas: 15.3 shots per match, Atlético Bucaramanga: 12.5.

Match halves

Once Caldas: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.84. Atlético Bucaramanga: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Once Caldas: 76-90+ (14 goals). Atlético Bucaramanga: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.97)
(3.24)
(3.80)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
1.48Goals scored / match1.43
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
1.19Goals conceded / match1
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
52%Average possession49%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
5.71Shots on target / match4.11
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.32Shots per match12.46
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
5.71Shots on target4.11
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
9.7%Shot conversion11.5%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
52%Possession49%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
1.68xG for1.35
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
1.41xG against1.14
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga

Shooting quality

Once Caldas: AttackingAtlético Bucaramanga: Balanced
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
Accuracy (shots on target)37%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Bucaramanga is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Once Caldas · 1.8 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga

Once Caldas
WLLWL
Season result split
35% W42% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-13-7
1.48 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-4
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.95Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Atlético Bucaramanga
DDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
32% W46% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-13-6
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-6-5
Last 5 away
3-2-0
WWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Bucaramanga is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.19 goals / match - Once Caldas · 1 goals / match - Atlético Bucaramanga

Once Caldas scoring profile: very strong

Once Caldas scores in 84% of matches (26 of 31 matches), while Atlético Bucaramanga keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).

Atlético Bucaramanga scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Bucaramanga scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 matches).

46Goals scored (season)40
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
37Goals conceded (season)28
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
2.68Average goals in match2.43
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
4Goals scored (last 5)8
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal71%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
39%2 goals39%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
13%3 goals18%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
10%4 goals7%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal64%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
29%2 goals36%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
3%3 goals0%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
3%4 goals0%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
Atlético Bucaramanga - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 28 matches
55%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time32%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
6%BTTS in both halves11%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
29%Scored in both halves29%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
40%BTTS - last 560%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Bucaramanga is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.32 pts / match - Once Caldas · 1.39 pts / match - Atlético Bucaramanga

Once Caldas - half-time state
26% leading55% draw19% trailing
Atlético Bucaramanga - half-time state
29% leading54% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.32Points per match (1st half)1.39
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.75
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
1.16Average goals (1st half)1.25
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
52%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
52%No goal before half-time50%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per match (2nd half)1.29
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
0.84Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
1.52Average goals (2nd half)1.18
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
48%Clean sheet after half-time54%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
35%No goal after half-time50%
Once CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga

Once Caldas - second-half results

26% W58% D16% L
41
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Bucaramanga - second-half results

25% W54% D21% L
39
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Once Caldas - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Atlético Bucaramanga - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Once Caldas
ScoredConceded
10
3
0-15
2
6
16-30
8
7
31-45
5
6
46-60
7
6
61-75
14
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Atlético Bucaramanga
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
7
5
16-30
10
7
31-45
4
5
46-60
6
2
61-75
9
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.55
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Once Caldas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Atlético Bucaramanga

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Once CaldasLigaAtlético Bucaramanga
Average goals in match 2.682.57 2.43
Both teams scored 71%55% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%48% 46%
Clean sheets 16%26% 36%
Goal before half-time 68%68% 68%
Goal after half-time 71%79% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.05
Away goals / match
+46%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Once Caldas 1 - 2 - 0 Atlético Bucaramanga. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Atlético Bucaramanga
1 : 1
Once Caldas
CA Bucaramanga
0 : 0
Once Caldas SA
Once Caldas SA
2 : 1
CA Bucaramanga

FAQ

When do Once Caldas and Atlético Bucaramanga play?

Once Caldas face Atlético Bucaramanga on 26 September 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Palogrande. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Once Caldas and Atlético Bucaramanga?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 1, Atlético Bucaramanga won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

Once Caldas score 1.48 goals per game on average and Atlético Bucaramanga 1.43. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Once Caldas's matches and 54% of Atlético Bucaramanga's.

What form are Once Caldas and Atlético Bucaramanga in?

Over the last 5 games Once Caldas have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Atlético Bucaramanga 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Once Caldas vs Atlético Bucaramanga: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.