One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics
One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
One Knoxville played Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 8 August 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
One Knoxville: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
One Knoxville scores 1.72 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Sarasota Paradise scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: One Knoxville 61%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. Over 2.5: One Knoxville 72%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
One Knoxville has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.43. One Knoxville: 13.8 shots per match, Sarasota Paradise: 12.2.
Match halves
One Knoxville: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.94. Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
One Knoxville: 76-90+ (8 goals). Sarasota Paradise: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
One Knoxville sit 4th, while Sarasota Paradise are only 14th. The hosts’ overall season record stands at 10 wins and 5 defeats, compared with 5 wins and 10 losses for the visitors. At home, One Knoxville win 56% of their matches and score an average of 1.56 goals, whereas Sarasota score just 0.56 goals per away game and lose 67% of their away fixtures. The difference in chance creation is reflected in the numbers: One Knoxville average 15.67 shots and post an xG of 1.79, while their opponents average 10.78 shots and an xG of 1.29. The visitors have failed to score in 56% of their away matches, while Knoxville’s defence concedes 1.11 goals per home game and keeps a clean sheet in 33% of fixtures. In addition, the hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals in that period, whereas Sarasota have scored only 3. Therefore, a One Knoxville victory is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
One Knoxville has a high season BTTS rate of 67%, while both teams scored in as many as 80% of their last five matches. However, the key argument against BTTS is Sarasota’s attack: the visitors average just 0.56 goals per match, and they have scored 3 goals in total across their last five appearances, equating to 0.6 per game. Sarasota have failed to score in 56% of their matches this season, while One Knoxville have kept a clean sheet in 22% of fixtures. The hosts should be able to exploit their opponents’ weak defence, which concedes an average of 1.78 goals, but Sarasota’s low 33% BTTS rate and 5% shot conversion support a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
One Knoxville create chances worth an average of 1.57 xG at home and register 5.0 shots on target per match, while Sarasota Paradise concede as many as 1.78 goals on average away from home. The hosts are also in good offensive form, having scored 9 goals in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 per game. The 1.5 line was covered in 78% of One Knoxville’s matches and 67% of Sarasota’s, clearly supporting the scenario of at least two goals. The visitors score just 0.56 goals on average away from home and have failed to score in 56% of their matches, making their contribution less reliable. However, their poor away defensive record should allow the hosts to drive the score forward. The projected total of 2.53 goals suggests that Over 1.5 offers the most stable edge, while the 2.5 line remains considerably more balanced.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a One Knoxville win, as the hosts were level at the break in 80% of their last five matches, compared with 60% for Sarasota. During this period, the visitors failed to score a single first-half goal while conceding an average of 1.0 goal before the break, limiting their chances of taking the lead. After half-time, the hosts’ advantage should become more pronounced: they score an average of 0.89 goals compared with Sarasota’s 0.44, while the visitors concede as many as 1.11 goals. Across the season, One Knoxville have won 44% of their matches and score 1.33 goals per game, whereas Sarasota have recorded just an 11% win rate, averaging 0.56 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. Recent form also favours the hosts, who have averaged 2.0 points and scored 1.8 goals across their last five matches, compared with 1.0 point and 0.6 goals for the visitors.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| One Knoxville | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
One Knoxville is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - One Knoxville · 1 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
One Knoxville is 83% better for: goals scored per match.
1.72 goals / match - One Knoxville · 0.94 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
One Knoxville is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - One Knoxville · 1.56 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
One Knoxville scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Sarasota Paradise scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while One Knoxville keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - One Knoxville
Over / Under - Sarasota Paradise
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
One Knoxville is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - One Knoxville · 0.94 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
One Knoxville - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
One Knoxville
Sarasota Paradise
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| One Knoxville | Liga | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.83 | 2.87 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 70% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: One Knoxville 1 - 0 - 0 Sarasota Paradise. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?
The USL League One match finished One Knoxville 2:1 Sarasota Paradise. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?
One Knoxville score 1.72 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 0.94. The USL League One average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 61% of One Knoxville's matches and 50% of Sarasota Paradise's.
What form are One Knoxville and Sarasota Paradise in?
Over the last 5 games One Knoxville have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?
The statistical background for One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.