Orange County SC vs Oakland Roots: match statistics
Orange County SC vs Oakland Roots: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Orange County SC played Oakland Roots in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Championship Soccer Stadium at OC Great Park. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Orange County SC: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Oakland Roots: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Orange County SC scores 1.10 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Oakland Roots scores 1.78 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Orange County SC 40%, Oakland Roots 78%. Over 2.5: Orange County SC 20%, Oakland Roots 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Oakland Roots has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.14. Orange County SC: 9.7 shots per match, Oakland Roots: 11.7.
Match halves
Orange County SC: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60. Oakland Roots: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Orange County SC: 16-30 (3 goals). Oakland Roots: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-3. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a draw because Oakland Roots arrive in better form: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches and an average of 1.6 points per game, while Orange County have not won any of their last 5 (0-2-3) and average only 0.4 pts/game. The visitors’ attack is more efficient — Oakland averages 1.75 goals away, 12 shots with 3.25 on target and a 15% conversion rate, versus the hosts’ 0.8 goals, 9.8 shots, 2.6 on target and 8% conversion. Nevertheless, the hosts defend effectively at home: only 0.4 goals conceded per game and 60% clean sheets in home matches, which indicates their defense can neutralize opponents’ offensive advantage. Differences in chance quality are confirmed by xG — the visitors have xG for 1.38 versus the hosts’ 1.10, but also higher xG against 1.54 versus 1.09, suggesting Oakland creates chances but also concedes them. Taking into account Orange County’s effective home defense and the fact that the visitors have no clean-sheet away games (0% FTS) alongside a high away draw rate (75%), I propose the probability distribution: home 25%, draw 40%, away 35%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have BTTS rates of 80% (Orange County) and 75% (Oakland Roots), clearly above the league average of 56%. This season Orange averages 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Oakland has 1.75 scored and 1.5 conceded; their xG are 1.41 (Orange) and 1.38 (Oakland), with xG against 1.32 versus 1.54, indicating similar offensive potential and higher susceptibility to conceding from Oakland. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 80% of fixtures for both sides; across those five Orange averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded, and Oakland averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded, so both teams have recently been consistently exchanging goals. Additionally Orange has 0% clean sheets at home, while Oakland has 25% clean sheets, and shot-on-target stats 4.8 to 3.25 with conversion rates 16% vs 15% confirm creation and exploitation of chances. Considering these figures (80%/75% seasonal BTTS, 80% in last 5, xG against 1.54 for Oakland and Orange’s lack of CS), the strongest signal is BTTS - Yes — I estimate an 85% probability of BTTS and 15% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal indicators clearly favor Over 1.5: Orange County has 80% of matches with over 1.5 goals, Oakland Roots 75%, averaging ~77.5% of games with at least 2 goals. The xG model forecasts ~1.48 for Orange County (xG_for 1.41 vs Oakland defense xG_against 1.54 => average 1.48) and ~1.35 for Oakland Roots (xG_for 1.38 vs Orange defense xG_against 1.32 => 1.35), totaling ~2.83 expected goals. Additionally both teams have high BTTS rates (80% and 75%) and average 4.8 and 3.25 shots on target, which increases scoring probability and also supports Over 2.5 (seasonal Over 2.5: 60% home, 75% away, average ~67.5%). Based on this the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (approx. 77–80% data support); Over 2.5 is also likely (~68%) but less certain, while Over 3.5 remains risky (~48%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Orange County led at half-time in 3 of 5 matches (60%), averaging 1.0 goals to the break and conceding only 0.2, yielding an HT goal difference of +4 (GoalsHT_home = 6, GoalDifferenceHT_home = 4) and a strong signal for the home side to lead at the break. Over full matches the hosts win 60% of home games and have a season points average of 2.0 (seasonPPG_home = 2.0) versus 25% wins and 1.5 points per game for Oakland, so the full-time result also favors Orange County. At the same time Orange County concedes on average 1.0 goals in the second half (conceded_2hg_avg_home = 1.0) and have conceded 1.4 goals after the break in the last 5 matches, with a season BTTS rate of 80% for the hosts, which raises the risk of being pegged back after half-time. Considering a 60% chance to lead at the break and the home advantage in full-time outcomes, the most likely scenario is 1/1 (lead at the break and home win) — I estimate it at about 40%. The remaining distribution reflects the risk of losing the lead and draws after the break: 1/X = 14%, 1/2 = 6%, X/1 = 8%, X/X = 20% and X/2 = 12%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Orange County SC | Oakland Roots | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oakland Roots is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Orange County SC · 1.8 pts / match - Oakland Roots
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oakland Roots is 62% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Orange County SC · 1.78 goals / match - Oakland Roots
Orange County SC is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Orange County SC · 1.33 goals / match - Oakland Roots
Orange County SC scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Oakland Roots keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Oakland Roots scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Orange County SC
Over / Under - Oakland Roots
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oakland Roots is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Orange County SC · 1.78 pts / match - Oakland Roots
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Orange County SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Oakland Roots - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Orange County SC
Oakland Roots
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Orange County SC | Liga | Oakland Roots | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.90 | 2.74 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 56% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 27% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 68% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Orange County SC 2 - 0 - 3 Oakland Roots. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Orange County SC vs Oakland Roots?
The USL Championship match finished Orange County SC 3:2 Oakland Roots. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Orange County SC and Oakland Roots?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Orange County SC won 2, Oakland Roots won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Orange County SC vs Oakland Roots?
Orange County SC score 1.10 goals per game on average and Oakland Roots 1.78. The USL Championship average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Orange County SC's matches and 78% of Oakland Roots's.
What form are Orange County SC and Oakland Roots in?
Over the last 5 games Orange County SC have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Oakland Roots 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orange County SC vs Oakland Roots?
The statistical background for Orange County SC vs Oakland Roots — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.