Ordabasy vs Astana: match statistics
Ordabasy vs Astana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ordabasy played Astana in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Qajimuqan Muñaytpasov. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Ordabasy: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Astana: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ordabasy scores 1.96 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Astana scores 1.78 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ordabasy 54%, Astana 52%. Over 2.5: Ordabasy 58%, Astana 52%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Ordabasy has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.80. Ordabasy: 17.2 shots per match, Astana: 16.0.
Match halves
Ordabasy: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.17. Astana: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Ordabasy: 76-90+ (17 goals). Astana: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ordabasy are the league leaders and have won 85% of their home matches without suffering a single defeat, while Astana win just 18% of their away games. The hosts average 2.08 goals scored at home with an xG of 2.12, whereas Astana concede 1.45 goals per away match and allow opponents an xG of 1.53. Ordabasy’s advantage is also evident in chance creation: they average 19.46 shots and 6.92 shots on target, compared with Astana’s 13.64 shots and 4.73 on target. The visitors are in a strong run of form, with 4 wins and a draw in their last 5 matches, but they have failed to score in as many as 45% of their away games, while Ordabasy’s defence concedes just 0.62 goals per home match. Both teams have scored 12–13 goals in their last five appearances, but the hosts’ significantly more consistent home record points to an Ordabasy victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Ordabasy should create good conditions to score: at home, they average 2.50 goals, generate an xG of 2.07, and record 7.75 shots on target per match, while Astana concede 1.45 goals away from home. However, Astana’s attack is the key obstacle to BTTS, as they score only 1.00 goal per away match and fail to score in as many as 45% of such games. The hosts concede just 0.67 goals on average at home and keep a clean sheet in 42% of their appearances, clearly increasing the chance that the visitors will finish the match without scoring. Although both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five matches and Astana averaged 2.4 goals, the seasonal away data and Ordabasy’s solid defense provide stronger support for the BTTS - No / No Goal option, meaning that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Ordabasy have very strong attacking credentials at home: they score an average of 2.5 goals, create 2.07 xG, and record 7.75 shots on target per match. Astana concede an average of 1.45 goals away from home, while allowing opponents 1.53 xG, so the hosts should generate a significant share of the projected goal tally. The 1.5 line has been covered in 92% of Ordabasy’s matches and 73% of Astana’s, while in their last five appearances the two teams averaged 2.6 and 2.4 goals per match, respectively. In addition, Ordabasy have failed to score in none of their matches, whereas Astana have allowed their opponents to find the net in 82% of games. Over 1.5 is therefore the strongest pick, as even with a limited contribution from the visitors, the hosts’ high-quality attack clearly supports at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ordabasy are clearly stronger at home: they win 92% of their matches, score an average of 2.50 goals, and concede just 0.67, while Astana win only 18% of their away fixtures. The first-half signal is particularly strong, as the hosts were leading at the break in 9 of 12 matches (75%), scoring an average of 1.42 goals and allowing opponents just 0.25. Astana score only 0.45 goals per away match before half-time, were behind at the break in 36% of cases, and have an average xG against of 1.53 compared with the 2.07 xG created by Ordabasy. However, the visitors are in good form, with 4 wins and a draw in their last 5 matches, so their chance of a turnaround has been taken into account; nevertheless, the most likely scenario remains Ordabasy leading at the break and winning the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ordabasy | Astana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Astana is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Ordabasy · 2.6 pts / match - Astana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ordabasy is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Ordabasy · 1.78 goals / match - Astana
Ordabasy is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Ordabasy · 1.04 goals / match - Astana
Ordabasy scores in 96% of matches (23 of 24 matches), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Astana scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Ordabasy keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ordabasy
Over / Under - Astana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ordabasy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Astana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ordabasy
Astana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ordabasy | Liga | Astana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.48 | ▲ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 47% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 67% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Ordabasy 1 - 1 - 1 Astana. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ordabasy vs Astana?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Ordabasy 1:0 Astana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ordabasy and Astana?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ordabasy won 1, Astana won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ordabasy vs Astana?
Ordabasy score 1.96 goals per game on average and Astana 1.78. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Ordabasy's matches and 52% of Astana's.
What form are Ordabasy and Astana in?
Over the last 5 games Ordabasy have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Astana 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ordabasy vs Astana?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.