Kazakhstan - Kazakhstan Premier LeagueStadion Qajimuqan MuñaytpasovData current as of 08 September 2026

Ordabasy vs Astana: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ordabasy vs Astana: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ordabasy play Astana in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 12 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Qajimuqan Muñaytpasov.

Current form

Ordabasy: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Astana: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ordabasy scores 1.96 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Astana scores 1.78 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.47 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ordabasy 54%, Astana 52%. Over 2.5: Ordabasy 58%, Astana 52%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Ordabasy has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.80. Ordabasy: 17.2 shots per match, Astana: 16.0.

Match halves

Ordabasy: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.17. Astana: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Ordabasy: 76-90+ (17 goals). Astana: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.56)
(3.12)
(2.82)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.96Goals scored / match1.78
OrdabasyAstana
0.75Goals conceded / match1.04
OrdabasyAstana
57%Average possession60%
OrdabasyAstana
6.46Shots on target / match6.3
OrdabasyAstana

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.17Shots per match15.96
OrdabasyAstana
6.46Shots on target6.3
OrdabasyAstana
11.4%Shot conversion11.2%
OrdabasyAstana
57%Possession60%
OrdabasyAstana
1.94xG for1.8
OrdabasyAstana
1.01xG against1.3
OrdabasyAstana

Shooting quality

Ordabasy: DominantAstana: Dominant
OrdabasyAstana
Accuracy (shots on target)38%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Astana is 8% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Ordabasy · 2.6 pts / match - Astana

Ordabasy
WWWWL
Season result split
71% W17% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-4-3
2.29 pts / match · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-2-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.21Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Astana
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
57% W26% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-6-4
1.96 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-5-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LDWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ordabasy is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1.96 goals / match - Ordabasy · 1.78 goals / match - Astana

Ordabasy is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.75 goals / match - Ordabasy · 1.04 goals / match - Astana

Ordabasy scoring profile: very strong

Ordabasy scores in 96% of matches (23 of 24 matches), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).

Astana scoring profile: strong

Astana scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Ordabasy keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).

47Goals scored (season)41
OrdabasyAstana
18Goals conceded (season)24
OrdabasyAstana
2.71Average goals in match2.83
OrdabasyAstana
13Goals scored (last 5)12
OrdabasyAstana
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
OrdabasyAstana

How often they score at least...

96%1 goal78%
OrdabasyAstana
71%2 goals61%
OrdabasyAstana
25%3 goals26%
OrdabasyAstana
4%4 goals13%
OrdabasyAstana

How often they concede at least...

54%1 goal70%
OrdabasyAstana
17%2 goals26%
OrdabasyAstana
4%3 goals4%
OrdabasyAstana
0%4 goals4%
OrdabasyAstana

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
OrdabasyAstana
8%BTTS in both halves4%
OrdabasyAstana
46%Scored in both halves43%
OrdabasyAstana

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
OrdabasyAstana
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
OrdabasyAstana
40%BTTS - last 560%
OrdabasyAstana

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
OrdabasyAstana
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
OrdabasyAstana
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
OrdabasyAstana

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
OrdabasyAstana
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
OrdabasyAstana
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
OrdabasyAstana

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ordabasy - half-time state
50% leading38% draw13% trailing
Astana - half-time state
52% leading30% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.88Points per match (1st half)1.87
OrdabasyAstana
0.79Goals scored (1st half)0.96
OrdabasyAstana
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
OrdabasyAstana
1.08Average goals (1st half)1.43
OrdabasyAstana
71%Clean sheet before half-time70%
OrdabasyAstana
38%No goal before half-time39%
OrdabasyAstana

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)1.48
OrdabasyAstana
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
OrdabasyAstana
0.46Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
OrdabasyAstana
1.63Average goals (2nd half)1.39
OrdabasyAstana
63%Clean sheet after half-time52%
OrdabasyAstana
21%No goal after half-time39%
OrdabasyAstana

Ordabasy - second-half results

54% W38% R8% P
45
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Astana - second-half results

35% W43% R22% P
43
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.87
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ordabasy - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.002.00
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+6+4
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
Astana - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.60
Goals scored / match1.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+6+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ordabasy
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
5
2
16-30
8
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
8
2
61-75
17
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

Astana
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
7
4
16-30
9
4
31-45
10
4
46-60
4
2
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ordabasy

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.93
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
135%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Astana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
175%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).

Teams vs league

OrdabasyLigaAstana
Average goals in match 2.712.47 2.83
Both teams scored 54%54% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%47% 52%
Clean sheets 46%27% 30%
Goal before half-time 75%66% 74%
Goal after half-time 83%74% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.02
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Ordabasy 1 - 1 - 1 Astana. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Astana
1 : 1
Ordabasy
FK Ordabasy Shymkent
1 : 0
FK Astana
FK Astana
2 : 1
FK Ordabasy Shymkent

FAQ

When do Ordabasy and Astana play?

Ordabasy face Astana on 12 September 2026 in Kazakhstan Premier League at Stadion Qajimuqan Muñaytpasov. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ordabasy and Astana?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ordabasy won 1, Astana won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ordabasy vs Astana?

Ordabasy score 1.96 goals per game on average and Astana 1.78. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Ordabasy's matches and 52% of Astana's.

What form are Ordabasy and Astana in?

Over the last 5 games Ordabasy have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Astana 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ordabasy vs Astana?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.