Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati: match statistics
Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Orlando City played FC Cincinnati in MLS (United States). The match was played on 15 August 2026. Venue: Inter&Co Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Orlando City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. FC Cincinnati: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Orlando City scores 1.67 and concedes 2.61 goals per match. FC Cincinnati scores 2.50 and concedes 2.44. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Orlando City 61%, FC Cincinnati 78%. Over 2.5: Orlando City 72%, FC Cincinnati 72%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
FC Cincinnati has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.37. Orlando City: 11.9 shots per match, FC Cincinnati: 13.8.
Match halves
Orlando City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.94. FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.39.
Goals by minute
Orlando City: 16-30 (9 goals). FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 8.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Orlando City have a clearly stronger home profile: they win 50% of their home matches, while FC Cincinnati win just 11% of their away games. The hosts average 1.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded at home, whereas Cincinnati score almost exactly the same number away from home, 1.89, but allow opponents to score as many as 2.78 goals per match. FC Cincinnati are in better recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring 14 goals in the process, compared with Orlando’s 3 wins and 10 goals. Nevertheless, the visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in any away match, while their average xG conceded on the road stands at 1.93, which should give Orlando plenty of opportunities. Both sides have similar attacking potential in terms of xG—1.40 for the hosts versus 1.44 for the visitors—but Orlando’s stronger home results point towards a narrow victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is very strong, as BTTS occurred in 67% of Orlando City matches and as many as 89% of FC Cincinnati games, well above the league average of 61%. Orlando scores an average of 3.11 goals per match, while Cincinnati averages 1.89, with both defences allowing plenty of goals: 2.11 and 2.78 goals conceded per game, respectively. Particularly significant is the fact that Cincinnati have kept a clean sheet in none of their matches this season, while Orlando have failed to score in just 11% of their games. The form over the last five matches also supports the BTTS - Yes option: the hosts averaged 2.0 goals, the visitors 2.8, while BTTS occurred in 60% and 80% of those games, respectively. The high xG figures for both sides—1.72 for Orlando and 1.44 for Cincinnati this season—alongside xG against values of 1.70 and 1.93, point to genuine scoring opportunities for both teams.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have very strong goal-scoring profiles: Orlando matches average 3.11 goals, while FC Cincinnati concede a combined average of 2.78 goals per game. The Over 1.5 line has landed in 89% of matches for both teams, with at least one goal scored in 100% of their respective fixtures. Recent form also points to an open game, as Orlando have scored 10 goals in their last five appearances and Cincinnati as many as 14, while Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of both teams’ matches during this period. The hosts create chances worth an average xG of 1.72, whereas the visitors face opponents generating an average of 1.93 xG against them, strengthening the outlook for Orlando goals. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5, combining near-perfect historical consistency with high goal averages for both sides.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Orlando City have a clearly superior overall season record: they win 67% of their matches and average 2.11 points per game, whereas FC Cincinnati win only 11% of their matches and average 0.78 points. However, a draw is the most likely HT outcome, as the hosts have been level at half-time in 44% of their matches, compared with 56% for the visitors. Cincinnati are in good current form, with four wins in their last five matches and an average of 1.6 goals before the break, which reduces confidence in Orlando taking an early lead. After the interval, the hosts’ advantage should increase: Orlando score an average of 1.89 goals in second halves, while Cincinnati concede 1.56. The HT/FT scenario of a draw at half-time followed by an Orlando City victory best combines a cautious start with the hosts’ superior season-long quality and stronger second-half performance.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Orlando City | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Cincinnati is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Orlando City · 2 pts / match - FC Cincinnati
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Cincinnati is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Orlando City · 2.5 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.61 goals / match - Orlando City · 2.44 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
Orlando City scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
FC Cincinnati scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Orlando City keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Orlando City
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Orlando City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Orlando City
FC Cincinnati
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Orlando City | Liga | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.28 | 3.22 | ▲ 4.94 |
| Both teams scored | • 61% | 61% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 61% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 22% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Orlando City 0 - 0 - 1 FC Cincinnati. Average goals 8.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati?
The MLS match finished Orlando City 1:1 FC Cincinnati. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati?
Orlando City score 1.67 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati 2.50. The MLS average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Orlando City's matches and 78% of FC Cincinnati's.
What form are Orlando City and FC Cincinnati in?
Over the last 5 games Orlando City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and FC Cincinnati 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.