Osijek vs Gorica: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Osijek presents poor home form with only a 23% home win rate and a high rate of 54% of matches without scoring, making them unpredictable in attack. Gorica, despite better recent form (1.6 PPG), has very poor away results - a 50% loss rate and only an 8% clean sheet rate, indicating defensive issues. Both teams have a negative goal difference in their respective splits (Osijek -6 at home, Gorica -5 away), and their xG values are close, confirming an even level of play. Taking into account Osijek's high draw percentage at home (38%) and the instability of both teams, a draw seems the most probable outcome for this match.
Osijek vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Osijek played Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Osijek: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Gorica: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Osijek scores 0.88 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Gorica scores 1.16 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Osijek 44%, Gorica 60%. Over 2.5: Osijek 40%, Gorica 52%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Osijek has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.37. Osijek: 12.0 shots per match, Gorica: 11.6.
Match halves
Osijek: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.48. Gorica: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Osijek: 31-45+ (7 goals). Gorica: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very evenly matched chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Osijek presents poor home form with only a 23% home win rate and a high rate of 54% of matches without scoring, making them unpredictable in attack. Gorica, despite better recent form (1.6 PPG), has very poor away results - a 50% loss rate and only an 8% clean sheet rate, indicating defensive issues. Both teams have a negative goal difference in their respective splits (Osijek -6 at home, Gorica -5 away), and their xG values are close, confirming an even level of play. Taking into account Osijek's high draw percentage at home (38%) and the instability of both teams, a draw seems the most probable outcome for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Osijek | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Osijek is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Osijek · 1 pts / match - Gorica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gorica is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Osijek · 1.16 goals / match - Gorica
Osijek is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Osijek · 1.52 goals / match - Gorica
Osijek scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
Gorica scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Osijek keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Osijek
Over / Under - Gorica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gorica is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Osijek · 1.48 pts / match - Gorica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Osijek - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 28%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Osijek
Gorica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Osijek | Liga | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.67 | • 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 57% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 51% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 25% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 81% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Osijek 1 - 1 - 0 Gorica. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Osijek vs Gorica?
The Prva HNL match finished Osijek 0:0 Gorica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Osijek and Gorica?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Osijek won 1, Gorica won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Osijek vs Gorica?
Osijek score 0.88 goals per game on average and Gorica 1.16. The Prva HNL average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Osijek's matches and 60% of Gorica's.
What form are Osijek and Gorica in?
Over the last 5 games Osijek have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Gorica 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Osijek vs Gorica?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Osijek vs Gorica: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.