Croatia - Prva HNLStadion Gradski vrtData current as of 07 October 2026

Osijek vs Istra 1961: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Osijek vs Istra 1961: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Osijek play Istra 1961 in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match date is 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Gradski vrt.

Current form

Osijek: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Istra 1961: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Osijek scores 2.13 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Istra 1961 scores 1.75 and concedes 1.63. League average: 3.15 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Osijek 38%, Istra 1961 63%. Over 2.5: Osijek 63%, Istra 1961 75%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Osijek has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.58. Osijek: 17.6 shots per match, Istra 1961: 13.1.

Match halves

Osijek: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.75. Istra 1961: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Osijek: 0-15 (6 goals). Istra 1961: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prva HNL: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-3. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.04)
(3.60)
(3.60)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.13Goals scored / match1.75
OsijekIstra 1961
1.38Goals conceded / match1.63
OsijekIstra 1961
54%Average possession47%
OsijekIstra 1961
5.75Shots on target / match5
OsijekIstra 1961

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.63Shots per match13.13
OsijekIstra 1961
5.75Shots on target5
OsijekIstra 1961
12.1%Shot conversion13.3%
OsijekIstra 1961
54%Possession47%
OsijekIstra 1961
1.92xG for1.58
OsijekIstra 1961
1.54xG against1.72
OsijekIstra 1961

Shooting quality

Osijek: AttackingIstra 1961: Counter-attacking
OsijekIstra 1961
Accuracy (shots on target)33%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Osijek is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Osijek · 1 pts / match - Istra 1961

Osijek
LWLWD
Season result split
63% W13% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-2
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.78BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Istra 1961
LDDWL
Season result split
25% W38% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-3
1.13 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 away
0-2-1
DLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.84BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Osijek is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

2.13 goals / match - Osijek · 1.75 goals / match - Istra 1961

Osijek is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.38 goals / match - Osijek · 1.63 goals / match - Istra 1961

Osijek scoring profile: very strong

Osijek scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

Istra 1961 scoring profile: strong

Istra 1961 scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Osijek keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).

17Goals scored (season)14
OsijekIstra 1961
11Goals conceded (season)13
OsijekIstra 1961
3.5Average goals in match3.38
OsijekIstra 1961
8Goals scored (last 5)7
OsijekIstra 1961
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
OsijekIstra 1961

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
OsijekIstra 1961
50%2 goals75%
OsijekIstra 1961
38%3 goals25%
OsijekIstra 1961
25%4 goals0%
OsijekIstra 1961

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal75%
OsijekIstra 1961
38%2 goals63%
OsijekIstra 1961
25%3 goals25%
OsijekIstra 1961
25%4 goals0%
OsijekIstra 1961

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time38%
OsijekIstra 1961
0%BTTS in both halves25%
OsijekIstra 1961
38%Scored in both halves50%
OsijekIstra 1961

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
OsijekIstra 1961
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
OsijekIstra 1961
40%BTTS - last 560%
OsijekIstra 1961

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
OsijekIstra 1961
63%Min. 2 goals before half-time75%
OsijekIstra 1961
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
OsijekIstra 1961

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
OsijekIstra 1961
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
OsijekIstra 1961
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
OsijekIstra 1961

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Osijek is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.75 pts / match - Osijek · 1.5 pts / match - Istra 1961

Osijek - half-time state
50% leading25% draw25% trailing
Istra 1961 - half-time state
38% leading38% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.75Points per match (1st half)1.5
OsijekIstra 1961
1.38Goals scored (1st half)1
OsijekIstra 1961
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
OsijekIstra 1961
1.88Average goals (1st half)1.75
OsijekIstra 1961
75%Clean sheet before half-time50%
OsijekIstra 1961
38%No goal before half-time38%
OsijekIstra 1961

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.13
OsijekIstra 1961
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
OsijekIstra 1961
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
OsijekIstra 1961
1.63Average goals (2nd half)1.63
OsijekIstra 1961
50%Clean sheet after half-time25%
OsijekIstra 1961
50%No goal after half-time38%
OsijekIstra 1961

Osijek - second-half results

38% W38% D25% L
14
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Istra 1961 - second-half results

25% W38% D38% L
12
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding66%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Osijek - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.81.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Istra 1961 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Osijek
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Istra 1961
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
4
3
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Osijek

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 35% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Istra 1961

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
148%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

OsijekLigaIstra 1961
Average goals in match▲ 3.503.15▲ 3.38
Both teams scored▼ 38%51%▲ 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 63%64%▲ 75%
Clean sheets▲ 50%28%▼ 25%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%72%▲ 75%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%79%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.15
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.97
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+67%
Home attack advantage
+40%
Home defence advantage
+44%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Osijek 1 - 0 - 3 Istra 1961. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Osijek and Istra 1961 play?

Osijek face Istra 1961 on 10 October 2026 in Prva HNL at Stadion Gradski vrt. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Osijek and Istra 1961?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Osijek won 1, Istra 1961 won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Osijek vs Istra 1961?

Osijek score 2.13 goals per game on average and Istra 1961 1.75. The Prva HNL average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Osijek's matches and 63% of Istra 1961's.

What form are Osijek and Istra 1961 in?

Over the last 5 games Osijek have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Istra 1961 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Osijek vs Istra 1961?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.