Oss vs MVV: match statistics
Oss vs MVV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Oss played MVV in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Frans Heesen Stadion. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Oss: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. MVV: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Oss scores 1.00 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. MVV scores 1.50 and concedes 1.88. League average: 3.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Oss 50%, MVV 63%. Over 2.5: Oss 75%, MVV 63%. League level: BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 70%.
xG, shots and style
MVV has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.15. Oss: 10.4 shots per match, MVV: 9.9.
Match halves
Oss: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38. MVV: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Oss: 0-15 (2 goals). MVV: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.70 goals per match, BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 70%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Although MVV sit 3rd in the table and Oss are 20th, the head-to-head figures in this home-and-away split favour the hosts: MVV score an average of 2 goals and concede 1 at home, while Oss score 2 and concede as many as 3 away from home. Oss have won 2 of their 3 home matches, and MVV have won 2 of their 3 away matches, so neither side’s results so far settle this matchup. MVV’s defence is the main factor giving the hosts an edge: they have conceded 12 goals in their last 5 matches, compared with 7 conceded by Oss. However, the quality of chances calls for caution: Oss’s home xG is 1.20, while their opponents register 2.27 xG, giving the visitors a chance to exploit the hosts’ defensive weaknesses. With scoring efficiency broadly even across home and away matches, I’m backing a narrow Oss win, although their high risk of conceding limits confidence in this prediction.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal in favour of both teams scoring is that BTTS landed in 100% of MVV’s matches, and the team failed to keep a clean sheet, conceding an average of 3.0 goals away from home. Oss should also have chances to score, as MVV conceded an average of 2.4 goals across its last 5 matches, while the hosts scored 1.4. On the other hand, MVV scored an average of 2.0 goals away from home, while Oss kept a clean sheet in 40% of its home matches. BTTS landed in 60% of the last 5 matches for both teams, and the league average is 71%, which further supports the BTTS - Yes pick. Some caution is warranted by the visitors’ xG of 1.12, below their average of 2.0 goals scored, but overall the data more strongly support a scenario in which both teams find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick: this line was cleared in 80% of Oss matches and 100% of MVV matches in the available data. The hosts average 1.2 goals at home, while the visitors concede 3.0 per away game, boosting Oss’s chances of scoring. MVV average 2.0 goals away from home, although their xG of 1.12 warrants caution about sustaining such a high scoring rate. Over their last 5 matches, the teams conceded 1.4 and 2.4 goals per game respectively, supporting a forecast of around 3.2 total goals. The 2.5 line has less backing, having been cleared in only 40% of Oss’s home matches, so Over 1.5 goals offers the safer edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Oss were level at half-time in 4 of their 5 home matches, conceding an average of just 0.2 goals in the first half, so a balanced start is the most likely scenario. The hosts’ chances improve after the break: they have won 60% of their home matches, while MVV concede an average of 1.67 goals in second halves away from home. The visitors concede an average of 3.0 goals per away match and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road, which points to Oss breaking the deadlock. However, MVV average 2.0 goals away from home, so a draw at half-time followed by an Oss win is not a clear favourite, but it is the strongest individual HT/FT selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Oss | MVV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MVV is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Oss · 1.4 pts / match - MVV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MVV is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Oss · 1.5 goals / match - MVV
Oss is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Oss · 1.88 goals / match - MVV
Oss scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
MVV scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Oss keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oss
Over / Under - MVV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MVV is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Oss · 1.38 pts / match - MVV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oss - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
MVV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Oss
MVV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Oss | Liga | MVV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.63 | 3.70 | ▼ 3.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 16% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Oss 2 - 0 - 0 MVV. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Oss vs MVV?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Oss 4:1 MVV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Oss and MVV?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Oss won 2, MVV won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Oss vs MVV?
Oss score 1.00 goals per game on average and MVV 1.50. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Oss's matches and 63% of MVV's.
What form are Oss and MVV in?
Over the last 5 games Oss have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and MVV 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oss vs MVV?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Oss vs MVV: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.