Oulu vs Gnistan: match statistics
Oulu vs Gnistan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Oulu played Gnistan in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Raatin stadion. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Oulu: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Gnistan: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Oulu scores 1.09 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Gnistan scores 1.61 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Oulu 39%, Gnistan 57%. Over 2.5: Oulu 35%, Gnistan 43%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Gnistan has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.26. Oulu: 10.8 shots per match, Gnistan: 13.4.
Match halves
Oulu: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.70. Gnistan: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Oulu: 61-75 (7 goals). Gnistan: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-3. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Oulu have a clear home advantage: they win 55% of their home matches and concede just 0.82 goals per game there, while Gnistan win 36% of their away fixtures. The hosts keep a clean sheet in 45% of their home appearances, compared with just 18% of the visitors’ away matches, increasing Oulu’s chances of capitalizing on their opportunities. Gnistan are more effective away from home, averaging 1.36 goals compared with Oulu’s 1.09, and have scored 9 goals in their last five league rounds, against 4 for the hosts. At the same time, the visitors’ defense allows an average xG of 1.68, significantly more than the 1.19 xG Oulu generate at home, so the hosts’ advantage should be narrow but tangible. However, Gnistan’s high away draw rate of 36% means that a share of the points remains a highly likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonally, both teams have recorded BTTS in 55% of their matches, slightly above the league average of 49%, but Oulu’s current form clearly reduces the likelihood of the hosts scoring. Oulu have scored just 4 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.8 per game, while BTTS occurred in only 20% of those fixtures. Their current xG stands at 0.92, whereas Gnistan have kept a clean sheet in 18% of matches and concede only 1.09 goals per game on a seasonal basis. Gnistan are in better attacking rhythm, scoring 1.8 goals with an xG of 1.92 across their last 5 matches, so the visitors are more likely to find the net. However, the strongest scenario remains BTTS - No, meaning at least one team fails to score, primarily due to Oulu’s poor recent finishing.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Over 1.5 goals landed in 82% of both teams’ league matches, creating a very strong combined signal for at least two goals. Oulu average 1.91 goals at home and generate 1.80 xG, while Gnistan concede an average of 1.09 goals away from home, with conceded xG as high as 1.68. The visitors are also capable of responding, having scored an average of 1.8 goals in their last five matches, with xG at 1.92. Oulu’s weaker recent run, with only 0.8 goals scored per match, lowers the projection for higher lines but does not undermine the high probability of Over 1.5 goals. The combined projection of 2.55 goals, along with the fact that both teams conceded at least one goal in 73% and 82% of their matches, supports Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most logical starting point: Oulu were level at the break in 45% of their matches, rising to 60% across their last five games. The hosts score only 0.73 goals per match before half-time, while Gnistan concede just 0.45 on average during this phase, limiting the chances of Oulu taking an early lead. After the break, the hosts’ advantage becomes more pronounced: Oulu average 1.18 goals and win the second half in 55% of their matches, while Gnistan lose the second half as often as 55% of the time. Oulu’s case for the full-time win is further supported by their higher xG, 1.80 compared with 1.23, and a significantly higher average number of shots on target, 5.64 to 3.55.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Oulu | Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gnistan is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Oulu · 1.8 pts / match - Gnistan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gnistan is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Oulu · 1.61 goals / match - Gnistan
Oulu is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Oulu · 1.3 goals / match - Gnistan
Oulu scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
Gnistan scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Oulu keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oulu
Over / Under - Gnistan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gnistan is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Oulu · 1.39 pts / match - Gnistan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oulu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gnistan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Oulu
Gnistan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Oulu | Liga | Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 45% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 29% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Oulu 1 - 0 - 3 Gnistan. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Oulu vs Gnistan?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Oulu 1:2 Gnistan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Oulu and Gnistan?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Oulu won 1, Gnistan won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Oulu vs Gnistan?
Oulu score 1.09 goals per game on average and Gnistan 1.61. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Oulu's matches and 57% of Gnistan's.
What form are Oulu and Gnistan in?
Over the last 5 games Oulu have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Gnistan 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oulu vs Gnistan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Oulu vs Gnistan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.