Pachuca vs Necaxa: match statistics
Pachuca vs Necaxa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pachuca played Necaxa in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Hidalgo. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Pachuca: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Necaxa: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pachuca scores 1.50 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Necaxa scores 1.20 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pachuca 50%, Necaxa 90%. Over 2.5: Pachuca 50%, Necaxa 70%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Pachuca has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.54. Pachuca: 16.2 shots per match, Necaxa: 14.4.
Match halves
Pachuca: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80. Necaxa: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Pachuca: 76-90+ (5 goals). Necaxa: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pachuca have a clear edge over the last five matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 4, compared with Necaxa’s 5 scored and 12 conceded. The hosts won 2 matches in that period, while the visitors failed to win any and suffered 4 defeats. At home, Pachuca create chances worth an average xG of 2.1, compared with Necaxa’s 1.35 away from home, and also average 6 shots on target against their opponents’ 3.25. However, Pachuca’s home finishing is not particularly strong: they score an average of 1.5 goals from 20.25 shots, while both teams concede 2 goals per match in these conditions. This limits confidence in the pick, but Necaxa’s recent defensive struggles and Pachuca’s greater volume of chances point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 83% of Pachuca’s home matches and 100% of Necaxa’s away matches, significantly more often than the league average of 57%. Both teams concede an average of 2.0 goals per match in these conditions, and neither has kept a clean sheet, increasing the likelihood of each side scoring. Pachuca creates an average of 1.67 xG at home, while Necaxa allows up to 2.19 xG away, making a home goal look likely. The visitors score an average of 1.0 goals away and have found the net in every such match so far, although Pachuca’s improved recent defence, conceding 0.8 goals across five matches, makes the prediction less certain. Despite this caveat, the record of both defences and the frequency of goals scored by each side so far point to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Pachuca went over 1.5 goals in 83% of their home matches, while Necaxa did so in 100% of their away games, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. Both teams concede an average of 2.0 goals in these conditions, and neither has kept a clean sheet, limiting the likelihood of a low-scoring outcome. The hosts have an xG of 1.67, while their opponents allow an xG of 2.19, giving Pachuca a solid basis to score more than once. In their last five matches, Necaxa conceded an average of 2.4 goals, although Pachuca allowed opponents just 0.8 goals per game over the same period. This contrast calls for caution on higher goal lines, but with a projected total of 3.10 goals, the case for Over 1.5 remains strong.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Pachuca were level at the break in 67% of their matches so far, and Necaxa in 75%; neither team had a half-time lead in this period. After the break, the advantage should lie with the hosts, who have averaged 1.0 goals scored and none conceded in second halves across their last five matches, while Necaxa have averaged 0.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Pachuca’s recent form also supports a home win: they have averaged 1.6 points per match, compared with Necaxa’s 0.2. The hosts also average 1.67 xG, while their opponents allow chances worth 2.19 xG per match, strengthening the case for X/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pachuca | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pachuca is 700% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Pachuca · 0.2 pts / match - Necaxa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pachuca is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Pachuca · 1.2 goals / match - Necaxa
Pachuca is 82% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Pachuca · 2 goals / match - Necaxa
Pachuca scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).
Necaxa scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Pachuca keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pachuca
Over / Under - Necaxa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pachuca is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Pachuca · 0.7 pts / match - Necaxa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pachuca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Necaxa - second-half results
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pachuca
Necaxa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Pachuca | Liga | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 90% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 68% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 84% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Pachuca 2 - 0 - 0 Necaxa. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pachuca vs Necaxa?
The Liga MX match finished Pachuca 3:3 Necaxa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Pachuca and Necaxa?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Pachuca won 2, Necaxa won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Pachuca vs Necaxa?
Pachuca score 1.50 goals per game on average and Necaxa 1.20. The Liga MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Pachuca's matches and 90% of Necaxa's.
What form are Pachuca and Necaxa in?
Over the last 5 games Pachuca have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Necaxa 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pachuca vs Necaxa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.